HURRICANE NEWS, CYCLONE NEWS,STORM ALERTS,DISASTERNEWS

News TSW Twitter WorldWeather NavyCylonePage RamsdisTropicalStorm SatelliteServer CycloneTracking TSR SevereWorldWeather JapanCyclone
Add Favorite!

"IRENE" Satellite & Track

>>> HOME

Hurricane & Cyclone Warnings

Weather Forecast Hurricane sector

Satellite Hurricane sector

Satellite Typhoon sector

Tropical Cyclones ASIA

TC Warning Agencies

Tropical Storm Forecast Trackmaps

Global Tropical Storm Trackmaps

Hurricane & Tropical Storm News

Breaking US Weather News Video

Hurricane Scale

Worldwide Tropical storm names

Current Events

Storm Events 2008

International Weather Conditions

Latest Weather/Disaster News

Nat. Weather Service

Global Tropical storm activity

WMO World Weather forecast

Severe World Weather

List of Tropical Cyclone RSMCs

Tornado warnings

Tropical storm Distances calculator

Satellite Server

NASA ESO IMAGES

NOAA Severe Storms & Special Events

GOES Project

NEXSAT / NPOES Satellite

CIMMS Cyclone Tracker & Satellite

C-America & Caribbean Satellite

MTSAT Satellite

World News

TSUNAMI WARNINGS

World Meteo service

EARTHQUAKE WARNING

EUMETSAT

STORM WARNINGS !
  • Image Hosted by ImageShack.us
  • Breaking Weather News video
  • NOAA Watch
  • Tropical Cyclone Warning !
  • Tropical storm warning
  • Hurricane warning
  • Tornado/Thunderstorm warning
  • Earthquake warning WW
  • Tsunami warning
  • Floodwarning UK
  • Joint Thyphoon Warning center
  • Naval Maritime Forecast Center
  • CIMSS Tropical Cyclones
  • NRL Monterey Marine Meteorology Division
  • Hong Kong Observatory
  • National Hurricane Center
  • Hurricane Hunters
  • Hurricane Hunters Recon Data
  • US National Weather Service
  • Weer Alarm Nederland
  • Tropical Storm Warning
  • Joint Typhoon Warning Center
  • Tropical Storm Risk
  • NASA Hurricane page
  • Japan meterological Agency
  • Hong Kong Observatory
  • CIMSS
  • Weather forecast America
  • Breaking Weather News video
  • Latest Hurricane News
  • Weather Video 1
  • Weather Video 2
  • Accuweather forecast
  • Hurricane/Storm Video
  • TyphoonNews
  • Storm&Earthquake News
  • Latest weathernews
  • Environment news
  • Global warming news
  • Global Disasters
  • Floodingnews
  • Worldstorms
  • Quake warning
  • World Weather
  • Redcross news
  • Worldvolcano
  • Hurricanepost
  • Tsunaminews
  • wn environment
  • Powered By
    widgetmate.com
    Sponsored By
    Digital Camera
    Archive
    News Video
  • Reuters News
  • CNN news
  • Yahoo news
  • YAHOO NEWS VIDEO
  • Video by Topic
  • Video by Category
  • World news video
  • US local video
  • Global News Headlines
  • Global Frontpage News
  • News video
  • Headline News
  • Political News
  • Climate change
  • Environment News
  • Bird Flu News
  • Strange News
  • Mideast Conflict
  • Iraq News
  • Military News
  • Terrorism News
  • Dutch News
  • Hurricane & Typhoon News
  • LINKS
  • World News
    Google Earth Downloads
  • Google Earth Download
  • Google Earth blog
  • Realtime Rainfall
  • Realtime wildfire
  • Global temperature
  • NOAA Observing system
  • NWS Warning
  • Storm Reports
  • Satellite
  • Satellite Visible(loop)
  • Satellite IR(loop)
  • Satellite Water vapor(loop)
  • Continental US Radar
  • NOAA downloads
  • Hurricanes live pos.
  • Cloud map
  • Severe weather
  • Lightning
  • Live day & Night
  • GOES East
  • GOES West
  • SECC on Google Earht
  • RRS
  • Image Hosted by ImageShack.us
  • GUSTAV forecast and strike probability map 1sept.
    Sunday, August 31, 2008



    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 11:30 PM  
    GUSTAV MOVING QUICKLY NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO...HURRICANE WARNING EXTENDED WESTWARD
    HURRICANE GUSTAV ADVISORY NUMBER 29
    NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072008
    400 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2008

    ...GUSTAV MOVING QUICKLY NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE CENTRAL GULF OF
    MEXICO...HURRICANE WARNING EXTENDED WESTWARD...

    AT 4 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE HURRICANE WARNING IS EXTENDED WESTWARD ALONG THE LOUISIANA AND TEXAS COASTS TO JUST EAST OF HIGH ISLAND TEXAS. A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM JUST EAST OF HIGH ISLAND EASTWARD TO THE ALABAMA-FLORIDA BORDER...INCLUDING THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

    PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF THE
    ALABAMA-FLORIDA BORDER TO THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER. A TROPICAL
    STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

    AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS DISCONTINUED
    FOR THE DRY TORTUGAS.

    FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
    INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
    BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

    AT 400 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV WAS LOCATED
    NEAR LATITUDE 26.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.3 WEST OR ABOUT 215 MILES...
    350 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.

    GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/HR. THIS
    GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD
    SPEED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...
    GUSTAV SHOULD MAKE LANDFALL ON THE NORTHERN GULF COAST ON MONDAY.

    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...185 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
    GUSTS. GUSTAV IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
    SCALE. SOME RE-INTENSIFICATION IS POSSIBLE TONIGHT. FLUCTUATIONS
    IN STRENGTH ARE LIKELY THEREAFTER...BUT GUSTAV IS FORECAST TO
    REMAIN A MAJOR HURRICANE UNTIL LANDFALL.

    HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 65 MILES...100 KM...FROM
    THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 220
    MILES...350 KM. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS SHOULD BEGIN TO SPREAD
    ONTO THE NORTHERN GULF COAST TONIGHT...WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS
    STARTING TO SPREAD ONSHORE EARLY MONDAY MORNING.

    THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
    HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 957 MB...28.26 INCHES.

    AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS STORM SURGE OF 10 TO 14 FEET ABOVE NORMAL
    TIDAL LEVELS IS EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER
    OF GUSTAV CROSSES THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. ABOVE NORMAL TIDES IN
    THE DRY TORTUGAS SHOULD DIMINISH TONIGHT.

    GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO
    12 INCHES OVER PORTION OF LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI AND
    SOUTHERN ARKANSAS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 20
    INCHES POSSIBLE THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
    AMOUNTS OF ABOUT AN INCH ARE POSSIBLE OVER FLORIDA KEYS AND
    SOUTH FLORIDA.

    ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE CENTRAL GULF COAST TONIGHT.

    REPEATING THE 400 PM CDT POSITION...26.4 N...87.3 W. MOVEMENT
    TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH.
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...957 MB.

    AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
    CENTER AT 700 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1000
    PM CDT.

    $$
    FORECASTER BEVEN
    This information is provided as a public service from the National Hurricane Center http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ or http://hurricanes.gov/
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 10:13 PM  
    Intense Hurricane GUSTAV forecast and strike probability 15
    Intense Hurricane GUSTAV is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

    Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States

    probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% in about 21 hours
    probability for TS is 100% within 9 hours

    Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    New Orleans (30.0 N, 90.1 W)
    probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% in about 21 hours
    probability for TS is 100% in about 21 hours
    Baton Rouge (30.5 N, 91.2 W)
    probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 33 hours
    probability for TS is 100% in about 21 hours

    Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Mobile (30.7 N, 88.1 W)
    probability for TS is 90% in about 21 hours
    Pensacola (30.7 N, 87.0 W)
    probability for TS is 70% in about 21 hours
    Jackson (32.3 N, 90.2 W)
    probability for TS is 65% in about 21 hours

    Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

    For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

    This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Benfield, Royal & SunAlliance, Crawford & Company and Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre. TSR acknowledges the support of the UK Met Office.

    Storm Alert issued at 31 Aug, 2008 21:00 GMT
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 10:04 PM  
    Tropical Storm HANNA forecast and strike probability 3H
    Tropical Storm HANNA is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

    Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Bahamas

    probability for TS is 80% within 9 hours
    the Turks & Caicos Islands
    probability for TS is 70% within 9 hours

    Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    San Salvador (24.0 N, 74.5 W)
    probability for TS is 60% in about 21 hours
    Freeport (26.6 N, 78.6 W)
    probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
    probability for TS is 20% in about 93 hours

    Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

    For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

    This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Benfield, Royal & SunAlliance, Crawford & Company and Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre. TSR acknowledges the support of the UK Met Office.

    Storm Alert issued at 31 Aug, 2008 21:00 GMT
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 10:04 PM  
    TROPICAL STORM HANNA WARNING EXTENDED TO THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS
    TROPICAL STORM HANNA ADVISORY NUMBER 15
    NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082008
    500 PM AST SUN AUG 31 2008

    ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING EXTENDED TO THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS...

    AT 5 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A
    TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS...INCLUDING CAT
    ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR.

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN
    BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ACKLINS...CROOKED ISLAND...THE
    INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS.

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS.

    FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
    INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
    BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

    AT 500 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HANNA WAS
    LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.4 WEST OR ABOUT 140
    MILES...225 KM...NORTH OF GRAND TURK ISLAND.

    HANNA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR. HANNA IS
    EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WESTWARD TONIGHT WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD
    SPEED THEN TURN TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST ON TUESDAY. ON THE FORECAST
    TRACK...HANNA WILL GRADUALLY APPROACH THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL
    BAHAMAS DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
    GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
    HOURS.

    TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
    FROM THE CENTER.

    THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES.

    RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE TURKS AND
    CAICOS ISLANDS.

    LONG-PERIOD SWELLS FROM HANNA ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE THE RISK
    OF DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ALONG PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN
    UNITED STATES COAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

    REPEATING THE 500 PM AST POSITION...23.5 N...71.4 W. MOVEMENT
    TOWARD...WEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH.
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB.

    AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
    CENTER AT 800 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100
    PM AST.

    $$
    FORECASTER RHOME
    This information is provided as a public service from the National Hurricane Center http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ or http://hurricanes.gov/
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 9:58 PM  
    Gustav whipped up by deep waters of the Loop - and more hurricanes on the way
    Hurricane Gustav is a monster that seemed to explode into life from a tropical storm on Friday afternoon to a Category 3 hurricane with winds of 230km/h (125 mph) on Saturday morning. Everything has been perfect for its growth, especially the sea temperature.

    The Gulf of Mexico is a notorious breeding ground for tropical storms that feed on a dangerous current of deep, warm water called the Loop.

    This sweeps up between the Yucatan Peninsula and Cuba, before looping past the tip of Florida, spinning off eddies of warm water. In 2005, Hurricanes Katrina and Rita became mega-storms as they rode over the Loop, and these waters have been responsible for almost all the worst hurricanes in recent years.

    The warm water is like rocket fuel for a hurricane, injecting huge amounts of energy that drive the storm into a fury. As the warm, wet air is sucked into the storm it cools and condenses into huge thunderclouds, unleashing a phenomenal amount of energy that powers the hurricane — an average-sized hurricane has the energy of some 10,000 nuclear warheads.

    To make this bomb go off, the hurricane needs waters of at least 26C (79F) — and at the moment the waters of the Loop are around 29C (85F). Because the warm waters in the Loop run far deeper than most tropical seas, this gives hurricane a deep reservoir of warm water to feed off even as it churns up the sea with its winds.

    Gustav has had a lucky ride in other respects. There is little dry air around to choke it off, and high-level winds, which might otherwise decapitate the storm, have been very calm. High pressure in the upper levels of the atmosphere is also acting like a car exhaust, venting waste air from the top of the storm.

    High pressure is also helping steer the storm towards Louisiana, and as Gustav charges across the sea its ferocious winds and low pressure are heaping up a vast bulge of water that will smash into the coastline as a storm surge — the phenomenon that led to the catastrophic floods of Katrina.

    In so many ways, this is the perfect recipe for disaster. But forecasters had warned that this was going to be a bad hurricane season, with up to ten hurricanes expected. So far we have had only two, although this was an unusually active start to the season, and in August, Tropical Storm Kay set a new record by making four separate landfalls in Florida, each time blowing out to sea where it recharged before battering the coast again and causing disastrous floods.

    Apart from Gustav, there are more problems on the way. Out in the Atlantic, Hanna is about to hit the Bahamas and then may push off to the north and strike eastern parts of the US. More storms are queuing up in the Atlantic’s “Hurricane Alley”, with two areas of concern that could turn into full-blown tropical storms later this week. With another three months of the official hurricane season left to run, this could be a very stormy period.

    Whether global warming can be blamed for the surge in hurricanes in recent years is hotly debated. There is a natural cycle in hurricane activity in the Atlantic and Caribbean that goes round every 20 to 50 years, and we are in a very active phase of that cycle. But on top of that natural variability some scientists believe that warmer seas are fuelling more, or more powerful, hurricanes.

    .timesonline.co.uk
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 7:23 PM  
    HANNA WEAKENS A BIT MORE
    TROPICAL STORM HANNA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 14A
    NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082008
    200 PM AST SUN AUG 31 2008

    ...HANNA WEAKENS A BIT MORE...

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN
    BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ACKLINS...CROOKED ISLAND...THE
    INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS.


    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS.

    A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL
    BAHAMAS...INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM
    CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR.

    FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
    INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
    BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

    AT 200 PM AST...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HANNA WAS
    LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.1 WEST OR ABOUT 140
    MILES...230 KM...NORTH OF GRAND TURK ISLAND.

    HANNA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR.
    HANNA IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WESTWARD TONIGHT WITH A DECREASE IN
    FORWARD SPEED THEN TURN TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST ON TUESDAY. ON THE
    FORECAST TRACK...HANNA WILL GRADUALLY APPROACH THE SOUTHERN AND
    CENTRAL BAHAMAS DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...
    WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING
    THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

    TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM
    FROM THE CENTER.

    AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT RECENTLY REPORTED A MINIMUM
    CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 997 MB...29.44 INCHES.

    RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE TURKS AND
    CAICOS ISLANDS.

    LONG-PERIOD SWELLS FROM HANNA ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE THE RISK
    OF DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ALONG PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN
    UNITED STATES COAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

    REPEATING THE 200 PM AST POSITION...23.5 N...71.1 W. MOVEMENT
    TOWARD...WEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH.
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB.

    THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
    500 PM AST.

    $$
    FORECASTER RHOME

    This information is provided as a public service from the National Hurricane Center http://www.nhc.noaa.gov or http://hurricanes.gov
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 7:16 PM  
    New low near THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS

    2. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ALSO HAS INCREASED IN ASSOCIATION
    WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 375 MILES WEST OF
    THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. CONDITIONS APPEAR TO BE CONDUCIVE FOR
    DEVELOPMENT AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM DURING THE NEXT
    DAY OR TWO AS THIS SYSTEM MOVES WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 7:06 PM  
    GUSTAV WEAKENS A LITTLE MORE...BUT STILL A MAJOR HURRICANE
    HURRICANE GUSTAV INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 28A
    NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072008
    100 PM CDT SUN AUG 31 2008

    ...GUSTAV WEAKENS A LITTLE MORE...BUT STILL A MAJOR HURRICANE...

    A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHERN GULF COAST FROM CAMERON LOUISIANA EASTWARD TO THE ALABAMA-FLORIDA BORDER... INCLUDING THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

    PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

    A
    TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF THE
    ALABAMA-FLORIDA BORDER TO THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER....AND FROM WEST OF CAMERON LOUISIANA TO JUST EAST OF HIGH ISLAND TEXAS. A TROPICAL
    STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

    A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF CAMERON LOUISIANA TO JUST EAST OF HIGH ISLAND TEXAS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

    AT 2 PM EDT...1800 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS DISCONTINUED
    FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS EXCEPT FOR THE DRY TORTUGAS. A TROPICAL STORM
    WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE DRY TORTUGAS.

    FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
    INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
    BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

    AT 100 PM CDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV WAS LOCATED
    NEAR LATITUDE 25.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.6 WEST OR ABOUT 270 MILES...
    520 KM...SOUTHEAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.

    GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/HR. THIS
    GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD
    SPEED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON FORECAST TRACK...GUSTAV
    SHOULD MAKE LANDFALL ON THE NORTHERN GULF COAST ON MONDAY.

    REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE TO DECREASED TO NEAR 115 MPH...185
    KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GUSTAV IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON
    THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME RE-INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST
    DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS...AND GUSTAV COULD REGAIN CATEGORY
    FOUR STRENGTH LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT. FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE
    LIKELY THEREAFTER...BUT GUSTAV IS FORECAST TO REMAIN A MAJOR
    HURRICANE UNTIL LANDFALL.

    GUSTAV IS A LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND
    OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES...85 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL
    STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM. NOAA
    BUOY 42003 RECENTLY REPORTED 8-MINUTE AVERAGE WINDS OF 60 MPH...
    97 KM/HR...WITH A GUST TO 78 MPH...126 KM/HR.

    THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE JUST REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
    HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 960 MB...28.35 INCHES.

    AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS STORM SURGE OF 12 TO 16 FEET ABOVE NORMAL
    TIDAL LEVELS IS EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER
    OF GUSTAV CROSSES THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. A STORM SURGE OF 1 TO
    3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS POSSIBLE IN THE DRY TORTUGAS AS
    GUSTAV PASSES TO ITS WEST.

    GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO
    12 INCHES OVER PORTION OF LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI AND
    SOUTHERN ARKANSAS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 20
    INCHES POSSIBLE THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
    AMOUNTS OF ABOUT AN INCH ARE POSSIBLE OVER FLORIDA KEYS AND
    SOUTH FLORIDA.

    ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE CENTRAL GULF COAST LATER
    TODAY AND TONIGHT.

    REPEATING THE 100 PM CDT POSITION...25.9 N...86.6 W. MOVEMENT
    TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH.
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...960 MB.

    THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
    HURRICANE CENTER AT 400 PM CDT.

    $$
    FORECASTER BEVEN
    This information is provided as a public service from the National Hurricane Center http://www.nhc.noaa.gov or http://hurricanes.gov
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 6:58 PM  
    "Mother of all storms"
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 6:57 PM  
    Millions brace for Hurricane Gustav
    Millions of people across the US Gulf coast are bracing for the arrival of Hurricane Gustav, described as "the storm of the century".

    The category-three storm's 200kph winds are expected to strengthen on Sunday and more than 11 million residents in five US states could feel the impact of the storm, forecasters said.

    A mass evacuation of New Orleans was under way on Sunday - nearly three years to the day that Hurricane Katrina killed 1,500 people as it carved a path of destruction across the city.

    Forecasters expect Gustav will make landfall early on Tuesday, but said it was too early to say whether the city, which is still struggling to rebuild after Katrina, will take another direct hit.

    Ray Nagin, the mayor of New Orleans, has warned residents: "If you stay, you're on your own."

    Roads around the city were jammed as thousands of people in cars and hundreds crammed into buses attempted to flee.

    Most hotels were closed and the city's airport was preparing to shut down on.

    Compulsory evacuation

    Nagin has told New Orleans 240,000 residents that evacuation is compulsory on the city's west side of the Mississippi river, while a dusk-to-dawn curfew would operate on the east bank.

    Al Jazeera's Cath Turner, reporting from New Orleans, said anyone found breaching the curfew could face arrest or be ordered to return home.

    "This is the real deal, not a test," Nagin said as he issued the order.

    "For everyone thinking they can ride this storm out, I have news for you - that will be one of the biggest mistakes you can make in your life.

    "Looting will not be tolerated. We have doubled the police force and doubled the national guard ... looters will go directly to jail."

    "Our call is for you to evacuate now."

    'Fears may be exaggerated'

    Forecasters have been more moderate in their predictions, saying the storm should make landfall somewhere between western Mississippi and East Texas, where evacuations were also under way.

    Turner said: "There's criticism that the fears may be exaggerated.

    "Some people say they are based more on political concerns, after the fallout from Katrina, rather than a real sense of danger".

    Federal agencies, which had failed to cope with the challenge of Hurricane Katrina, say they are well prepared to handle the evacuations this time.

    Gustav has killed more than 80 people in the Caribbean with the hardest-hit countries being Jamaica, the Dominican Republic and Haiti - the hemisphere's poorest nation.

    Energy companies, whose 4,000 platforms in the Gulf produce a quarter of US crude oil and 15 per cent of its natural gas, have been evacuating personnel and shutting down three-quarters of their oil production.

    Katrina and Hurricane Rita, which followed it three weeks later, wrecked more than 100 Gulf oil platforms.

    aljazeera
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 6:22 PM  
    Latest GUSTAV satellite images from the Gulf of Mexico

    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 4:56 PM  
    GUSTAV CONTINUES NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH
    HURRICANE GUSTAV ADVISORY NUMBER 28
    NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072008
    1000 AM CDT SUN AUG 31 2008

    ...GUSTAV CONTINUES NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO
    WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH...

    A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHERN GULF COAST FROM CAMERON LOUISIANA EASTWARD TO THE ALABAMA-FLORIDA BORDER... INCLUDING THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF THE
    ALABAMA-FLORIDA BORDER TO THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER....AND FROM WEST OF CAMERON LOUISIANA TO JUST EAST OF HIGH ISLAND TEXAS. A TROPICAL
    STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

    A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF CAMERON LOUISIANA TO JUST EAST OF HIGH ISLAND TEXAS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS WEST OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO THE DRY TORTUGAS.

    FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
    INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
    BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

    AT 1000 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV WAS LOCATED
    NEAR LATITUDE 25.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.0 WEST OR ABOUT 325 MILES...
    520 KM...SOUTHEAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.

    GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/HR. THIS
    GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD
    SPEED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON FORECAST TRACK...GUSTAV
    SHOULD MAKE LANDFALL ON THE NORTHERN GULF COAST ON MONDAY.

    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 120 MPH...195 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
    GUSTS. GUSTAV IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
    SCALE. SOME RE-INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24
    HOURS...AND GUSTAV COULD REGAIN CATEGORY FOUR STRENGTH LATER TODAY
    OR TONIGHT. FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE LIKELY THEREAFTER...BUT
    GUSTAV IS FORECAST TO REMAIN A MAJOR HURRICANE UNTIL LANDFALL.

    GUSTAV IS A LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND
    OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES...85 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL
    STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM. NOAA
    BUOY 42003 RECENTLY REPORTED 8-MINUTE AVERAGE WINDS OF 54 MPH... 86
    KM/HR...WITH A GUST TO 67 MPH...108 KM/HR.

    THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE JUST REPORTED BY A NOAA HURRICANE
    HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 962 MB...28.41 INCHES.

    AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS STORM SURGE OF 12 TO 16 FEET ABOVE NORMAL
    TIDAL LEVELS IS EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER
    OF GUSTAV CROSSES THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. A STORM SURGE OF 1 TO
    3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS POSSIBLE IN THE DRY TORTUGAS AS
    GUSTAV PASSES TO ITS WEST.

    GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO
    12 INCHES OVER PORTION OF LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI AND
    SOUTHERN ARKANSAS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 20
    INCHES POSSIBLE THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
    AMOUNTS OF ABOUT AN INCH ARE POSSIBLE OVER FLORIDA KEYS AND
    SOUTH FLORIDA.

    ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE CENTRAL GULF COAST LATER
    TODAY AND TONIGHT.

    REPEATING THE 1000 AM CDT POSITION...25.3 N...86.0 W. MOVEMENT
    TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH.
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...960 MB.

    AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
    CENTER AT 100 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 400
    PM CDT.

    $$
    FORECASTER BEVEN
    This information is provided as a public service from the National Hurricane Center http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ or http://hurricanes.gov/
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 4:22 PM  
    HANNA WEAKENS A LITTLE



    TROPICAL STORM HANNA ADVISORY NUMBER 14
    NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082008
    1100 AM AST SUN AUG 31 2008

    ...HANNA WEAKENS A LITTLE...

    AT 11 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A
    TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE
    ACKLINS...CROOKED ISLAND...THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS.

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS.

    AT 11 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A
    TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS...INCLUDING CAT
    ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR.

    FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
    INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
    BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

    AT 1100 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HANNA WAS
    LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 70.0 WEST OR ABOUT 145
    MILES...230 KM...NORTH-NORTHEAST OF GRAND TURK ISLAND.

    HANNA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR.
    HANNA IS EXPECTED TO TURN TOWARD THE WEST DURING THE NEXT 24
    HOURS...THEN TURN SOUTHWEST WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED LATE
    MONDAY OR TUESDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...HANNA WILL GRADUALLY
    APPROACH THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL BAHAMAS DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
    DAYS.

    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH...85
    KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST
    DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

    TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM
    FROM THE CENTER.

    THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 999 MB...29.50 INCHES.

    RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE TURKS AND
    CAICOS ISLANDS.

    LONG-PERIOD SWELLS FROM HANNA ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE THE RISK
    OF DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ALONG PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN
    UNITED STATES COAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

    REPEATING THE 1100 AM AST POSITION...23.3 N...70.0 W. MOVEMENT
    TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50
    MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB.

    AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
    CENTER AT 200 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500
    PM AST.

    $$
    FORECASTER RHOME
    This information is provided as a public service from the National Hurricane Center http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ or http://hurricanes.gov/
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 4:13 PM  
    GUSTAV forecast and track probability map
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 2:56 PM  
    Latest GUSTAVsatellite images from the Gulf


    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 2:32 PM  
    GUSTAV MOVING QUICKLY NORTHWESTWARD TOWARD THE NORTHERN GULF COAST
    HURRICANE GUSTAV INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 27A
    NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072008
    700 AM CDT SUN AUG 31 2008

    ...GUSTAV MOVING QUICKLY NORTHWESTWARD TOWARD THE NORTHERN GULF
    COAST...

    A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHERN GULF COAST FROM CAMERON LOUISIANA EASTWARD TO THE ALABAMA-FLORIDA BORDER... INCLUDING THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF THE
    ALABAMA-FLORIDA BORDER TO THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER....AND FROM WEST OF CAMERON LOUISIANA TO JUST EAST OF HIGH ISLAND TEXAS. A TROPICAL
    STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

    A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF CAMERON LOUISIANA
    TO JUST EAST OF HIGH ISLAND TEXAS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT
    HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY
    WITHIN 36 HOURS.

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA
    KEYS WEST OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO THE DRY TORTUGAS.

    FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
    INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
    BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

    AT 700 AM CDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV WAS LOCATED
    NEAR LATITUDE 24.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.5 WEST OR ABOUT 375 MILES...
    605 KM...SOUTHEAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.

    GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/HR...AND
    THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WITH
    SOME DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED EXPECTED ON MONDAY. ON THIS TRACK...
    GUSTAV WILL BE MOVING ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO TODAY...AND
    MAKE LANDFALL ON THE NORTHERN GULF COAST ON MONDAY.

    REPORTS FROM AIR FORCE RESERVE AND NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT
    INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 120
    MPH...195 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GUSTAV IS A CATEGORY THREE
    HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME RESTRENGTHENING IS
    FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND GUSTAV COULD REGAIN
    CATEGORY FOUR STRENGTH LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT. FLUCTUATIONS IN
    STRENGTH ARE LIKELY...BUT GUSTAV IS FORECAST TO REMAIN A MAJOR
    HURRICANE UNTIL LANDFALL.

    GUSTAV IS A LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND
    OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES...85 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL
    STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM. THE NOAA
    AUTOMATED STATION AT PULASKI SHOAL LIGHT FLORIDA RECENTLY REPORTED
    2-MINUTE AVERAGE WINDS OF 51 MPH...81 KM/HR...WITH A GUST OF
    60 MPH...96 KM/HR.

    THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE AIR FORCE
    HURRICANE HUNTER IS 960 MB...28.35 INCHES.

    AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS STORM SURGE OF 18 TO 25 FEET ABOVE NORMAL
    TIDAL LEVELS IS EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER
    OF GUSTAV CROSSES THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. A STORM SURGE OF 1 TO
    3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS POSSIBLE IN THE DRY TORTUGAS AS
    GUSTAV PASSES TO ITS WEST.

    GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO
    12 INCHES OVER PORTION OF LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI AND
    SOUTHERN ARKANSAS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 20
    INCHES POSSIBLE THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
    AMOUNTS OF ABOUT AN INCH ARE POSSIBLE OVER FLORIDA KEYS AND
    SOUTH FLORIDA.

    ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE CENTRAL GULF COAST LATER TODAY.

    REPEATING THE 700 AM CDT POSITION...24.7 N...85.5 W. MOVEMENT
    TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH.
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...960 MB.

    THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
    HURRICANE CENTER AT 1000 AM CDT.

    $$
    FORECASTER BEVEN
    This information is provided as a public service from the National Hurricane Center http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ or http://hurricanes.gov/
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 1:08 PM  
    HANNA CONTINUING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
    TROPICAL STORM HANNA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 13A
    NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082008
    800 AM AST SUN AUG 31 2008

    ...HANNA CONTINUING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD...

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE TURKS AND
    CAICOS ISLANDS.

    A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN
    BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ACKLINS...CROOKED ISLAND...THE
    INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS.

    FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
    INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
    BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

    AT 800 AM AST...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HANNA WAS
    LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.5 WEST OR ABOUT 155
    MILES...250 KM...NORTHEAST OF GRAND TURK ISLAND.

    HANNA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR. A
    WEST TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED WITH A GRADUAL
    DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE
    FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF HANNA IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTH OF
    THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS TODAY AND TONIGHT.

    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
    GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT
    COUPLE OF DAYS.

    TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM
    FROM THE CENTER. NOAA BUOY 41046 RECENTLY REPORTED A 1-MINUTE
    AVERAGE WIND OF 40 MPH.

    THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 999 MB...29.50 INCHES.

    RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE TURKS AND
    CAICOS ISLANDS.

    LONG-PERIOD SWELLS FROM HANNA ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE THE RISK
    OF DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ALONG PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN
    UNITED STATES COAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

    REPEATING THE 800 AM AST POSITION...23.2 N...69.5 W. MOVEMENT
    TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60
    MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB.

    THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
    1100 AM AST.

    $$
    FORECASTER RHOME
    This information is provided as a public service from the National Hurricane Center http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ or http://hurricanes.gov/
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 1:01 PM  
    NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER: Local Statement for GUSTAV
    URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
    HURRICANE GUSTAV LOCAL STATEMENT
    NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
    529 AM CDT SUN AUG 31 2008

    ...HURRICANE GUSTAV MOVES TOWARDS THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO...

    .AT 400 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV WAS LOCATED
    NEAR LATITUDE 24.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.0 WEST OR ABOUT 425 MILES...
    680 KM...SOUTHEAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.

    GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/HR...AND
    THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WITH
    SOME DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED EXPECTED ON MONDAY. ON THIS
    TRACK...GUSTAV WILL BE MOVING ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO
    TODAY...AND MAKE LANDFALL ON THE NORTHERN GULF COAST ON MONDAY.

    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 125 MPH...205
    KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GUSTAV IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON
    THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME RESTRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING
    THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND GUSTAV COULD REGAIN CATEGORY FOUR STRENGTH
    LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT. FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE LIKELY...BUT
    GUSTAV IS FORECAST TO REMAIN A MAJOR HURRICANE UNTIL LANDFALL.

    GUSTAV IS A LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND
    OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES...85 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL
    STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM.

    THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
    HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 958 MB...28.29 INCHES..

    LAZ023>026-MSZ059>062-011030-
    /O.NEW.KJAN.HI.A.0001.080901T2100Z-080903T0000Z/
    FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-
    FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-
    529 AM CDT SUN AUG 31 2008

    ...HURRICANE WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
    TUESDAY EVENING...

    ...AREAS AFFECTED...

    THIS STATEMENTS COVERS AREAS IN SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI AND NORTHEAST
    LOUISIANA.

    ...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

    A HURRICANE WIND WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING MISSISSIPPI
    COUNTIES...ADAMS...FRANKLIN...AND LINCOLN.

    A HURRICANE WIND WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOUISIANA
    PARISHES...CATAHOULA...CONCORDIA...FRANKLIN...JEFFERSON...AND TENSAS.

    ...STORM INFORMATION...

    AT 400 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV WAS LOCATED
    NEAR LATITUDE 24.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.0 WEST OR ABOUT 425 MILES...
    680 KM...SOUTHEAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.

    GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/HR...AND
    THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WITH
    SOME DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED EXPECTED ON MONDAY. ON THIS
    TRACK...GUSTAV WILL BE MOVING ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO
    TODAY...AND MAKE LANDFALL ON THE NORTHERN GULF COAST ON MONDAY.

    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 125 MPH...205
    KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GUSTAV IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON
    THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME RESTRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING
    THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND GUSTAV COULD REGAIN CATEGORY FOUR STRENGTH
    LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT. FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE LIKELY...BUT
    GUSTAV IS FORECAST TO REMAIN A MAJOR HURRICANE UNTIL LANDFALL.

    GUSTAV IS A LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND
    OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES...85 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL
    STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM.

    THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
    HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 958 MB...28.29 INCHES.

    ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

    RESIDENTS SHOULD ALREADY BE UNDERTAKING PREPARATIONS FOR PROTECTING
    LIFE AND PROPERTY. SECURE OBJECTS OUTSIDE THAT ARE TOO LARGE TO BRING
    INDOORS.

    ...WINDS...

    TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 TO 60 MPH WILL BEGIN TO IMPACT
    PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI AND NORTHEAST LOUISIANA IN THE
    AFTERNOON MONDAY. THESE WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE THROUGH THE
    AFTERNOON APPROACHING HURRICANE FORCE NEAR 75 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
    THESE WINDS SHOULD PERSISTS INTO TUESDAY.

    ...INLAND FLOODING...

    HURRICANE GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO MOVE TO THE NORTHWEST THROUGH
    SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND INTO CENTRAL LOUISIANA MONDAY AFTERNOON. AS GUSTAV MOVES TO THE NORTHWEST THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY THAT IT COULD BEGIN TO SLOW DOWN DRASTICALLY PROVIDING A PROLONGED RAIN THREAT TO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. RAINFALL TOTALS AT THIS TIME LOOK LIKE THERE COULD RANGE FROM 4 TO 6 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS GREATER THAN 10 INCHES POSSIBLE.

    ...TORNADOES...

    THE WILL BE A RISK OF TORNADOES AS THE OUTER RAIN BANDS FROM GUSTAV MOVE OVER THE AREA. THE RISK WILL INCREASE OVER AREAS THAT WILL BE ON THE EAST SIDE OF THE STORM WHICH WILL BE LATE MONDAY AND INTO TUESDAY.


    $$

    LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST-
    529 AM CDT SUN AUG 31 2008

    ...TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING
    THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING...

    ...AREAS AFFECTED...

    THIS WATCH COVERS ARES IN SOUTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI.

    ...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

    A TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES... COVINGTON...FORREST...JEFFERSON DAVIS...LAMAR...LAWRENCE...MARION.

    ...STORM INFORMATION...

    AT 400 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV WAS LOCATED
    NEAR LATITUDE 24.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.0 WEST OR ABOUT 425 MILES...
    680 KM...SOUTHEAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.

    GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/HR...AND
    THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WITH
    SOME DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED EXPECTED ON MONDAY. ON THIS
    TRACK...GUSTAV WILL BE MOVING ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO
    TODAY...AND MAKE LANDFALL ON THE NORTHERN GULF COAST ON MONDAY.

    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 125 MPH...205
    KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GUSTAV IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON
    THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME RESTRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING
    THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND GUSTAV COULD REGAIN CATEGORY FOUR STRENGTH
    LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT. FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE LIKELY...BUT
    GUSTAV IS FORECAST TO REMAIN A MAJOR HURRICANE UNTIL LANDFALL.

    GUSTAV IS A LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND
    OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES...85 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL
    STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM.

    THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
    HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 958 MB...28.29 INCHES.

    ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

    RESIDENTS SHOULD ALREADY BE UNDERTAKING PREPARATIONS FOR PROTECTING
    LIFE AND PROPERTY. SECURE OBJECTS OUTSIDE THAT ARE TOO LARGE TO BRING
    INDOORS.

    ...WINDS...

    TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 TO 60 MPH WILL BEGIN TO IMPACT
    PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI MONDAY MORNING. THESE WINDS WILL INITIALLY BE OUT OF THE NORTHEAST BEFORE VEERING TO THE EAST AND SHOULD PERSIST WELL INTO THE NIGHT IF NOT EARLY TUESDAY. WINDS COULD ALSO GUST TO NEAR HURRICANE FORCE AT TIMES.


    ...INLAND FLOODING...

    HURRICANE GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO MOVE TO THE NORTHWEST THROUGH
    SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND INTO CENTRAL LOUISIANA MONDAY AFTERNOON. AS GUSTAV MOVES TO THE NORTHWEST THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY THAT IT COULD BEGIN TO SLOW DOWN DRASTICALLY PROVIDING A PROLONGED RAIN THREAT TO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. RAINFALL TOTALS AT THIS TIME LOOK LIKE THERE COULD RANGE FROM 4 TO 6 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS GREATER THAN 10 INCHES POSSIBLE.

    ...TORNADOES...

    THE WILL BE A RISK OF TORNADOES AS THE OUTER RAIN BANDS FROM GUSTAV MOVE OVER THE AREA. THE RISK WILL INCREASE OVER AREAS THAT WILL BE ON THE EAST SIDE OF THE STORM WHICH WILL BE MIDDAY MONDAY AND INTO TUESDAY.



    $$

    MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-MADISON LA-ISSAQUENA- SHARKEY-YAZOO-MADISON MS-WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH- SIMPSON-SMITH-JONES-
    529 AM CDT SUN AUG 31 2008

    ...TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON
    THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING...

    ...AREAS AFFECTED...

    THIS INCLUDES PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND WESTERN MISSISSIPPI AND
    NORTHEAST LOUISIANA


    ...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

    A TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING
    MISSISSIPPI OUNTIES...CLAIBORNE...COPIAH...HINDS...ISSAQUENA...JONES...
    MADISON...RANKIN...SHARKEY...SIMPSON...SMITH...WARREN...AND YAZOO.


    A TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING
    LOUISIANA PARISHES...EAST ARROLL...MADISON...MOREHOUSE...RICHLAND...
    AND WEST CARROLL


    ...STORM INFORMATION...

    AT 400 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV WAS LOCATED
    NEAR LATITUDE 24.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.0 WEST OR ABOUT 425 MILES...
    680 KM...SOUTHEAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.

    GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/HR...AND
    THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WITH
    SOME DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED EXPECTED ON MONDAY. ON THIS
    TRACK...GUSTAV WILL BE MOVING ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO
    TODAY...AND MAKE LANDFALL ON THE NORTHERN GULF COAST ON MONDAY.

    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 125 MPH...205
    KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GUSTAV IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON
    THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME RESTRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING
    THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND GUSTAV COULD REGAIN CATEGORY FOUR STRENGTH
    LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT. FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE LIKELY...BUT
    GUSTAV IS FORECAST TO REMAIN A MAJOR HURRICANE UNTIL LANDFALL.

    GUSTAV IS A LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND
    OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES...85 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL
    STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM.

    THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
    HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 958 MB...28.29 INCHES.

    ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

    RESIDENTS SHOULD ALREADY BE UNDERTAKING PREPARATIONS FOR PROTECTING LIFE AND PROPERTY. SECURE OBJECTS OUTSIDE THAT ARE TOO LARGE TO BRING INDOORS.

    ...WINDS...

    TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WILL BEGIN TO IMPACT
    PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND WESTERN MISSISSIPPI LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON.
    THESE WINDS WILL EXPAND WEST INTO PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST LOUISIANA
    EARLY MONDAY EVENING AND SHOULD PERSISTS THROUGH THE NIGHT AND INTO
    TUESDAY. WINDS MAY ALSO GUST TO NEAR 60 MPH AT TIMES.

    ...INLAND FLOODING...

    HURRICANE GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO MOVE TO THE NORTHWEST THROUGH
    SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND INTO CENTRAL LOUISIANA MONDAY AFTERNOON. AS GUSTAV MOVES TO THE NORTHWEST THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY THAT IT COULD BEGIN TO SLOW DOWN DRASTICALLY PROVIDING A PROLONGED RAIN THREAT TO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. RAINFALL TOTALS AT THIS TIME LOOK LIKE THERE COULD RANGE FROM 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS GREATER
    THAN 7 INCHES POSSIBLE.

    ...TORNADOES...

    THE WILL BE A RISK OF TORNADOES AS THE OUTER RAIN BANDS FROM GUSTAV MOVE OVER THE AREA. THE RISK WILL INCREASE OVER AREAS THAT WILL BE ON THE EAST SIDE OF THE STORM WHICH WILL BE LATE MONDAY AND INTO TUESDAY.


    $$


    *NOAA
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 12:47 PM  
    Gustav: 'Mother of all storms'
    Aug. 31 - New Orleans Mayor Ray Nagin has ordered an evacuation of the city, in preparation for what he called "the mother of all storms."

    The evacuation order, which will not be physically enforced by officials, will start with the city's low-lying West Bank starting early on Sunday. Evacuation of the East Bank starts at at noon.

    Andrew Potter reports. Nagin's announcement brought all the city's residents under an evacuation order for the first time since Hurricane Katrina, which devastated the city in 2005.

    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 12:36 PM  
    New Orleans ordered to evacuate
    The mayor of New Orleans has ordered residents out of the city ahead of the arrival of "the mother of all storms" Hurricane Gustav.

    An estimated one million people have already fled the US Gulf coast.

    The evacuation of New Orleans becomes mandatory at 8am (12:00 GMT) on Sunday along the vulnerable west bank of the Mississippi river, and at noon on the east bank.

    As residents carried out the evacuation, the US National Hurricane Centre downgraded Gustav to a category three, although it is expected to strengthen again before it makes landfall on Monday.

    Ray Nagin, the city's mayor, gave the order late on Saturday after the storm grew into a category four hurricane over Cuba and threatened to hit the state of Louisiana within the next 36 hours. Five is the highest category.

    "We want everybody ... we want 100 per cent evacuation. If you decide to stay, you are on your own," he said.

    "This storm is so powerful and growing more powerful every day that I'm not sure we've seen anything like it."

    Katrina memories

    New Orleans is still struggling to recover from Hurricane Katrina in August 2005, when heavy rains and strong winds flooded 80 per cent of the city and killed about 1,600 people across the region.

    Forecasters have warned it is still too early to say whether the city will take another direct hit.

    Gustav has, so far, killed more than 80 people in the Caribbean, and if forecasts hold true, would make landfall on Monday afternoon, somewhere between East Texas and western Mississippi.

    Scarred by the still-fresh memories of Katrina, roads around New Orleans were jammed and hundreds of people lined up to board buses.

    William Harpur, a New Orleans evacuee, said: "I thought it's gonna hang a right, it's gonna hang a left, it's not gonna be a problem until yesterday afternoon, when they said it's in the same corridor, it’s not changing, and I thought here we go again."

    Nagin estimates that about half the population has already left and admitted officials were worried that some people would try to stay.

    Even before he ordered the evacuation, most hotels had closed, and the airport was preparing to follow suit.

    Federal agencies, which had failed to cope with the challenge of Hurricane Katrina, say they are well prepared to handle the evacuations this time.

    Energy companies, whose 4,000 platforms in the Gulf produce a quarter of US crude oil and 15 per cent of its natural gas, braced for Gustav by evacuating personnel and shutting down three-fourths of their oil production.

    Katrina and Hurricane Rita, which followed it three weeks later, wrecked more than 100 Gulf oil platforms.

    Convention delay

    John McCain, the presumptive Republican presidential candidate, and Sarah Palin, his running-mate, are due to visit Mississippi on Sunday to inspect preparations for the arrival of Hurricane Gustav.

    McCain has already warned that his party may have to suspend its convention next week, because of the storm.

    "It wouldn't be appropriate to have a festive occasion while a near tragedy or a terrible challenge is presented in the form of a national disaster," he said.

    The Republican national convention, scheduled to open on Monday in St Paul, Minnesota, would see McCain awarded official nominee status as the party's presidential candidate.

    aljazeera
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 12:23 PM  
    Gustav strikes Cuban mainland
    Monster Hurricane Gustav has slammed into mainland western Cuba near the town of Carraguao, 100km southwest of the Cuban capital Havana, and began crossing the island towards the Gulf of Mexico, the weather service said.

    The deadly Category Four hurricane raged ashore between Punta Carraguao and Punta La Capitana in Pinar del Rio province, the service said on Saturday in its 2200 GMT advisory.

    Gustav's 240-kilometre-per-hour winds and lashing rains toppled trees and electricity poles and destroyed several structures in Carraguao, an AFP news agency correspondent witnessed.

    Meanwhile, national television reported that the scene in Isle of Youth, a Cuban island where more than 200,000 people live, was one of devastation after the monster storm earlier ground its way across the low-lying island of fishing villages, factories and citrus farms.

    Homes were under water, warehouses toppled and roads washed away on the Isla of Youth, state television said, though there were no immediate reports of casualties.

    "So far no deaths have been reported but the situation is really critical. It is just dramatic here," a Cuban TV correspondent said by phone.

    Two boats that were docked at the port of Nueva Gerona, the main town on the island, "are in the middle of the city," and the Cuban phone company's communications tower was knocked down, the correspondent added.

    'Terrible wind'

    "The wind here is terrible. This is looking very bad," said a woman named Consuelo, a Nueva Gerona resident who preferred not to give her full name.

    "I can't leave from nor open the doors or anything because the wind will take everything away," she said.

    "Right now, we have a lot of rain, many fallen trees and the banana crop is almost completely on the ground," said Noel Diaz Gonzalez in the Pinar del Rio town of Paso Quemado.

    "We continue evacuating people to stronger buildings but so far there are no building collapses or serious damage."

    In Havana, east of where Gustav was to make landfall, people were moved from low-lying areas and many of the city's crumbling buildings, which could collapse under heavy rain and wind.

    Trucks with loudspeakers passed through the streets, warning residents to take precautions.

    Hurricane deaths are rare in Cuba, where evacuations are well-organised and begin early, but Gustav killed at least 86 people in the Dominican Republic, Haiti and Jamaica.

    No deaths were reported in the Cayman Islands, a wealthy banking centre and British territory brushed by Gustav overnight.

    Before Gustav struck, Juan Jacomino, a Cuban journalist, told Al Jazeera: "This major danger is going to hit us with all it's worth - it's not a possibility it is a fact.

    "[Gustav] is the same strength a hurricane as Katrina ... there will be economic losses for sure.

    "The western part of Cuba is going to be most affected but also Havana, which has two million people ... may suffer a lot."

    Gustav could rival the threat posed by Katrina in 2005 and emergency preparations extended to the US Gulf Coast, where highways around New Orleans were jammed on Saturday and hundreds lined up to board buses.

    Scarred by still-fresh memories of Katrina and spooked by Gustav's rapid move toward Category 5 strength, an estimated 1 million residents fled the US Gulf Coast on Saturday rather than brave the deadly storm.

    Ray Nagin, the New Orleans mayor, has ordered an evacuation of the city starting early on Sunday to prepare for what he called "the mother of all storms".

    Gustav strength

    Forecasters at the National Hurricane Centre said they were surprised at how quickly Gustav gained strength as it slammed into Cuba's tobacco-growing western tip as a monstrous Category 4 hurricane on Saturday. It went from a tropical storm to a Category 4 hurricane in about 24 hours, and was likely to become a Category 5 - with sustained winds of more than 249 kph or more - by Sunday.

    "That puts a different light on our evacuations and hopefully that will send a very clear message to the people in the Gulf Coast to really pay attention," David Paulison, head of the Federal Emergency Management Agency, said.

    George Bush, the US president, has declared a state of emergency in Texas and Louisiana.

    Haley Barbour, the governor of Mississippi, called for the evacuation of residents living in trailers and other temporary housing along the state's 113km coastline, where they have been since Hurricane Katrina struck.

    On Saturday afternoon, the National Hurricane Centre issued a hurricane watch for Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana and part of Texas.

    A hurricane watch means hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 36 hours.

    aljazeera
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 12:22 PM  
    Fears over damage to US oil rigs
    With Hurricane Gustav on course to hit the US Gulf of Mexico coast, the damage it does to the region's oil facilities could be a "worse case scenario".

    The stark warning comes from extreme weather impact analyst Jim Roullier, who says Gustav may be more damaging than 2005's Hurricane Katrina.

    Output from oil rigs in the US Gulf has already been cut by three-quarters, as staff continue to be evacuated.

    The region produces 25% of the US's crude oil and 15% of its natural gas.

    About 4,000 offshore oil and gas facilities are located in the US gulf, 100 of which were badly damaged three years ago by Katrina and the follow on Hurricane Rita.

    "This storm will be more dangerous than Katrina," said Mr Roullier, of Planalytics.

    "I think this storm will prove to be a worse case scenario for the production region."

    Impact on prices

    Forecasters predict that Gustav will hit the central Louisiana coast west of New Orleans by late Monday or early Tuesday.

    Concern about the impact of Gustav is likely to push global oil prices higher when trading resumes on Monday.

    Crude prices had increased last week as concern mounted about Gustav, before finishing slightly down on Friday.

    US light sweet ended Friday 13 cents lower to $115.46 a barrel, while London's Brent closed down 12 cents to $114.05.

    However, it is important to remember that global demand for oil has eased since record highs of more than $147 a barrel were hit back in July.

    The mayor of New Orleans, Ray Nagin, has already ordered the evacuation of the city.

    In 2005, three-quarters of the city was flooded by Rita after a storm surge breached its protective levees.

    More than 1,800 people died in coastal areas.

    bbc
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 12:13 PM  
    Latest satellite images "GUSTAV"

    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 12:10 PM  
    GUSTAV forecast and strike probability map 31 aug.

    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 12:06 PM  
    Intense Hurricane GUSTAV forecast and strike probability 14
    Intense Hurricane GUSTAV is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

    Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States

    probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 33 hours
    probability for TS is 90% in about 21 hours

    Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    New Orleans
    (30.0 N, 90.1 W)
    probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 33 hours
    probability for TS is 90% in about 33 hours
    Baton Rouge (30.5 N, 91.2 W)
    probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 45 hours
    probability for TS is 80% in about 33 hours

    Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Cuba
    probability for TS is 85% currently

    Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Mobile
    (30.7 N, 88.1 W)
    probability for TS is 75% in about 33 hours
    Pinar Del Rio (22.4 N, 83.7 W)
    probability for TS is 60% currently
    Pensacola (30.7 N, 87.0 W)
    probability for TS is 55% in about 33 hours

    Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

    For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

    This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Benfield, Royal & SunAlliance, Crawford & Company and Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre. TSR acknowledges the support of the UK Met Office.

    Storm Alert issued at 31 Aug, 2008 9:00 GMT
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 11:31 AM  
    HURRICANE WARNINGS ISSUED FOR THE NORTHERN GULF COAST
    HURRICANE GUSTAV ADVISORY NUMBER 27
    NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072008
    400 AM CDT SUN AUG 31 2008

    ...HURRICANE WARNINGS ISSUED FOR THE NORTHERN GULF COAST...

    AT 4 AM CDT...0900 UTC...A HURRICANE WARNING IS ISSUED FOR THE
    NORTHERN GULF COAST FROM CAMERON LOUISIANA EASTWARD TO THE
    ALABAMA-FLORIDA BORDER...INCLUDING THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS AND
    LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE
    CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

    AT 4 AM CDT...0900 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ISSUED FROM
    EAST OF THE ALABAMA-FLORIDA BORDER TO THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER....AND FROM WEST OF CAMERON LOUISIANA TO JUST EAST OF HIGH ISLAND TEXAS.
    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

    AT 4 AM CDT...0900 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS DISCONTINUED ALL WARNINGS AND WATCHES FOR CUBA.

    A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF CAMERON LOUISIANA TO JUST EAST OF HIGH ISLAND TEXAS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY
    WITHIN 36 HOURS.

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS WEST OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO THE DRY TORTUGAS.

    FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
    INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
    BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

    AT 400 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV WAS LOCATED
    NEAR LATITUDE 24.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.0 WEST OR ABOUT 425 MILES...
    680 KM...SOUTHEAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.

    GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/HR...AND
    THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WITH
    SOME DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED EXPECTED ON MONDAY. ON THIS
    TRACK...GUSTAV WILL BE MOVING ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO
    TODAY...AND MAKE LANDFALL ON THE NORTHERN GULF COAST ON MONDAY.

    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 125 MPH...205
    KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GUSTAV IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON
    THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME RESTRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING
    THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND GUSTAV COULD REGAIN CATEGORY FOUR STRENGTH
    LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT. FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE LIKELY...BUT
    GUSTAV IS FORECAST TO REMAIN A MAJOR HURRICANE UNTIL LANDFALL.

    GUSTAV IS A LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND
    OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES...85 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL
    STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM.

    THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
    HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 958 MB...28.29 INCHES.

    AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS STORM SURGE OF 18 TO 25 FEET ABOVE NORMAL
    TIDAL LEVELS IS EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER
    OF GUSTAV CROSSES THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. A STORM SURGE OF 1 TO
    3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS POSSIBLE IN THE DRY TORTUGAS AS
    GUSTAV PASSES TO ITS WEST.

    GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO
    12 INCHES OVER PORTION OF LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI AND
    SOUTHERN ARKANSAS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 20
    INCHES POSSIBLE THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
    AMOUNTS OF ABOUT AN INCH ARE POSSIBLE OVER FLORIDA KEYS AND
    SOUTH FLORIDA.

    ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE CENTRAL GULF COAST LATER
    TODAY.

    REPEATING THE 400 AM CDT POSITION...24.2 N...85.0 W. MOVEMENT
    TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH.
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...958 MB.

    AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
    CENTER AT 700 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1000
    AM CDT.

    $$
    FORECASTER BLAKE/PASCH

    This information is provided as a public service from the National Hurricane Center http://www.nhc.noaa.gov or http://hurricanes.gov
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 11:23 AM  
    HANNA'S OUTER RAINBANDS BEGINNING TO AFFECT THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
    TROPICAL STORM HANNA ADVISORY NUMBER 13
    NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082008
    500 AM AST SUN AUG 31 2008

    ...HANNA'S OUTER RAINBANDS BEGINNING TO AFFECT THE TURKS AND
    CAICOS ISLANDS...

    AT 500 AM EDT...0900Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A
    TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR ALL OF THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS.

    A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN
    BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ACKLINS...CROOKED ISLAND...THE
    INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS.

    FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
    INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
    BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

    AT 500 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HANNA WAS
    LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.0 WEST OR ABOUT 180
    MILES...285 KM...NORTHEAST OF GRAND TURK ISLAND.

    HANNA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR. A
    WEST TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED WITH A GRADUAL
    DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE
    FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF HANNA IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NEAR OR
    NORTHEAST OF THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS LATER TODAY OR MONDAY.

    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
    GUSTS. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT
    COUPLE OF DAYS.

    TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM
    FROM THE CENTER.

    THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 999 MB...29.50 INCHES.

    RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE TURKS AND
    CAICOS ISLANDS.

    LONG-PERIOD SWELLS FROM HANNA ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE THE RISK
    OF DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ALONG PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN
    UNITED STATES COAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

    REPEATING THE 500 AM AST POSITION...23.2 N...69.0 W. MOVEMENT
    TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60
    MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB.

    AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
    CENTER AT 800 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100
    AM AST.

    $$
    FORECASTER STEWART

    This information is provided as a public service from the National Hurricane Center http://www.nhc.noaa.gov or http://hurricanes.gov
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 11:22 AM  
    Tropical Storm HANNA forecast and strike probability 2H
    Tropical Storm HANNA is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

    Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Turks & Caicos Islands

    probability for TS is 55% in about 33 hours
    the Bahamas
    probability for TS is 55% in about 45 hours

    Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Grand Turk
    (21.5 N, 71.5 W)
    probability for TS is 55% in about 45 hours

    Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

    For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

    This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Benfield, Royal & SunAlliance, Crawford & Company and Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre. TSR acknowledges the support of the UK Met Office.



    Storm Alert issued at 31 Aug, 2008 9:00 GMT
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 11:17 AM  
    GUSTAV MAKES LANDFALL IN WESTERN MAINLAND CUBA

    HURRICANE GUSTAV INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 25A
    NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072008
    800 PM EDT SAT AUG 30 2008

    ...GUSTAV MAKES LANDFALL IN WESTERN MAINLAND CUBA...

    A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHERN GULF COAST FROM EAST OF HIGH ISLAND TEXAS EASTWARD TO THE ALABAMA-FLORIDA BORDER... INCLUDING THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

    A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE PANHANDLE COAST OF FLORIDA FROM EAST OF THE ALABAMA-FLORIDA BORDER EASTWARD TO THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL
    STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY
    WITHIN 36 HOURS.

    A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF
    PINAR DEL RIO...LA HABANA...CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...ISLA DE
    JUVENTUD...MATANZAS...AND CIENFUEGOS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA SHOULD HAVE ALREADY BEEN COMPLETED.

    A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL CUBAN PROVINCE OF VILLA CLARA.

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL CUBAN PROVINCES OF VILLA CLARA...SANCTI SPIRITUS...CIEGO DE AVILA...AND
    CAMAGUEY...AND FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS WEST OF THE SEVEN MILE
    BRIDGE TO DRY TORTUGAS.

    FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
    INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
    BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

    AT 800 PM EDT...0000Z...THE EYE OF HURRICANE GUSTAV WAS LOCATED
    NEAR LATITUDE 22.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.4 WEST. THIS POSITION IS
    OVER WESTERN CUBA NEAR LOS PALACIOS AND ABOUT 65 MILES...105 KM...
    WEST-SOUTHWEST OF HAVANA. DO NOT VENTURE OUTSIDE DURING THE
    PASSAGE OF THE EYE...SINCE WINDS WILL SOON RAPIDLY INCREASE AS
    EYEWALL AGAIN PASSES. THE EYE IS ALSO CURRENTLY CENTERED ABOUT 570
    MILES...915 KM...SOUTHEAST OF THE NORTH-CENTRAL
    GULF OF MEXICO COAST.

    GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR...AND
    THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE
    OF DAYS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF GUSTAV WILL EMERGE INTO THE
    SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS...AND REACH
    THE NORTHERN GULF ON MONDAY.

    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 150 MPH...240 KM/HR...WITH
    HIGHER GUSTS. GUSTAV IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR
    HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. THERE ARE
    UNOFFICIAL REPORTS FROM PINAR DEL RIO PROVINCE OF WINDS NEAR THESE
    ESTIMATES. SOME FLUCTUATIONS WITH AN OVERALL SLIGHT STRENGTHENING
    IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND GUSTAV COULD REACH
    CATEGORY FIVE INTENSITY DURING THIS PERIOD. GUSTAV IS FORECAST TO
    REMAIN A MAJOR HURRICANE THROUGH LANDFALL ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF
    COAST.

    HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM...FROM
    THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175
    MILES...280 KM.

    THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
    HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT AS GUSTAV WAS MAKING LANDFALL WAS 941
    MB...27.79 INCHES.

    COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 18 TO 23 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
    LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...IS
    POSSIBLE NEAR WHERE THE CENTER OF GUSTAV CROSSES WESTERN
    CUBA...INCLUDING THE ISLE OF YOUTH. STORM SURGE OF 1 TO 3 FEET
    ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS POSSIBLE IN THE DRY TORTUGAS AS GUSTAV
    PASSES TO ITS WEST.

    GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO
    12 INCHES ACROSS CENTRAL AND WESTERN CUBA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM
    AMOUNTS OF UP TO 20 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS WILL LIKELY
    PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. RAINFALL
    AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER FLORIDA KEYS AND EXTREME
    SOUTHERN FLORIDA. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE
    POSSIBLE OVER THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.

    ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS AND
    THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA.

    REPEATING THE 800 PM EDT POSITION...22.7 N...83.4 W. MOVEMENT
    TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...150 MPH.
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...941 MB.

    THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
    HURRICANE CENTER AT 1100 PM EDT.

    $$
    FORECASTER BEVEN


    This information is provided as a public service from the National Hurricane Center http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ or http://hurricanes.gov/
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 1:39 AM  
    FEMA says Gustav soon to be rated Category 5
    Saturday, August 30, 2008
    WASHINGTON - President Bush, faced with the prospect of a second monster hurricane striking the still-battered Gulf Coast on his watch, checked in with governors and federal officials Saturday to make sure Washington was doing all it can. He designated a third state, Mississippi, as eligible for federal help ahead of the storm.

    The president called state leaders in Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama and Texas in the early morning from the White House before heading out for a 90-minute bike ride, spokesman Scott Stanzel said. Those states are in the potential path of Hurricane Gustav, which has been cutting a deadly route through the Caribbean and picked up even more power Saturday.

    The military was flying 1,500 civilian critical care patients from Louisiana and Texas to safer locations over the weekend. Some 16,000 other civilians could be flown from New Orleans to Dallas-Fort Worth, according to U.S. Northern Command, based in Colorado.

    Gustav crossed Cuba's western tip before moving into the Gulf of Mexico and could reach the U.S. by late Monday or early Tuesday. Just three years after Hurricane Katrina drowned New Orleans, a calamity from which the city still is not nearly recovered, it appeared very likely to get slammed again, by at least tropical-storm-force winds if not worse.

    Bush also received regular updates from aides about the storm's path and the government's preparations.

    The president asked each governor if the government was provided the help they need, Stanzel said. Bush praised them for mobilizing their states effectively to get ready.

    "He told each of the governors that federal officials were monitoring Hurricane Gustav very closely," Stanzel said. "President Bush pledged the full support of the federal government."

    The Bush White House was badly burned by its fumbling response after Katrina struck the Gulf Coast in August 2005. Bush's image as a strong leader has never entirely rebounded, even though he has labored to improve on the Katrina performance.

    On Friday, Bush pre-emptively declared states of emergency for Louisiana and Texas; he added Mississippi on Saturday. Such a move is rarely taken before a disaster hits. The declaration clears the way for federal aid to supplement state and local efforts and formalizes coordination. The administration did the same thing before Katrina struck.

    Homeland Security Secretary Michael Chertoff and Federal Emergency Management Agency chief David Paulison have visited the region to monitor developments. Equipment and people were put in position and safe shelters readied, with cots, blankets and hygiene kits en route.

    Paulison said during a briefing Saturday that the entire mobilization is "much, much different than we saw three years ago." The kind of resources being put in place now and the coordination with local officials, all before the storm, are things that didn't happen until afterward last time, he said.

    "We have gone from a reactive organization ... to a proactive organization," he said.

    In language that revealed officials' high level of worry about just how punishing this storm could be, Paulison urged everyone to evacuate. He said there is plenty of help in place for people who do not have transportation or money to get out on their own. "There's no reason for anyone to stay in New Orleans to ride out this storm," he said. "We can't stop the damage from happening. What we can do is move people out of harm's way."

    The White House also kept a close eye out to see whether Bush might need to change his plans to travel to St. Paul, Minn., on Monday to be the night's star speaker at the Republican National Convention. White House press secretary Dana Perino said such decisions probably would not be made until the last minute.

    One of the reasons Bush was so criticized after Katrina was that he stuck to a schedule that took him from his ranch in Texas on a two-day trip to Arizona and California. There, he promoted a Medicare proposal while making just scant references to Katrina even as it slammed the Gulf Coast. Bush even happily strummed a guitar backstage at one event. He did not return to Washington until two days after the storm and did not visit the region until five days after.

    This sort of dilemma also could have implications for the GOP convention as a whole. If the storm's landfall is serious, Republican John McCain said he probably would rethink allowing the four-day political gathering to continue.

    "It just wouldn't be appropriate to have a festive occasion while a near tragedy or a terrible challenge is presented in the form of a natural disaster," McCain said in an interview taped Saturday with "Fox News Sunday." "So we're monitoring it from day to day, and I'm saying a few prayers too."

    newsday.com
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 11:20 PM  
    Gulf Coast residents flee 'extremely dangerous' Gustav
    BELLE CHASE, Louisiana (CNN) -- A hurricane watch was issued Saturday afternoon for southeastern Texas to the Alabama-Florida border as Hurricane Gustav's sustained winds reached 150 mph on its expected path to the U.S. Gulf Coast.

    The watch means hurricane conditions are possible within about 36 hours, the National Hurricane Center said.

    Thousands fled as Gustav strengthened to a strong Category 4 hurricane.

    At 5 p.m. ET, the eye of the storm was about 130 miles (210 km) east-northeast of Cuba's western tip and moving northwest about 15 mph.

    The National Hurricane Center in Miami, Florida, referred to the ferocity of Gustav's winds. "This makes Gustav an extremely dangerous Category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson hurricane scale," it said. Watch a report on the hurricane watch »

    Hurricanes are ranked 1 to 5 in intensity on the Saffir-Simpson scale. A Category 4 has winds of 131 to 155 mph and can cause extreme damage.

    Hundreds of people lined up for buses and trains to take them out of New Orleans and thousands of other Gulf Coast residents drove inland, clogging major highways.

    In New Orleans, Louisiana, still recovering from Katrina, anxiety was high Saturday as residents fled, leaving behind a virtual ghost town of boarded-up homes and empty streets.

    "I am strongly, strongly encouraging everyone in this city to evacuate," Mayor Ray Nagin said Saturday. "Start the process now." Watch Nagin urge people to leave »

    At the Union Passenger Terminal in downtown New Orleans, people began arriving as early as 5:30 a.m., forming a line that snaked behind the main Amtrak terminal. Armed patrols and Humvees circled the crowds of people, many who waited as long as 2½ hours, enduring the heat and relentless sun, unsure of their destination.

    New Orleans officials had designated 17 sites for people without transportation to board buses to take them to the terminal, where they will be moved to shelters outside New Orleans. However, scores of residents went directly to the terminal, carrying one bag, as the city had instructed. The snafu prompted confusion, as did a glitch in the computer system that was being used to register people. Watch people flee New Orleans in buses »

    Gov. Bobby Jindal suspended registration at the terminal and instructed people to register when they arrive at shelters, Nagin said.

    By afternoon, 1,100 to 1,200 people had left the city on those buses, Nagin said.

    "I'm not sure where I'm going," Margie Hawkins of New Orleans said. "My last 24 hours have been somewhat worrisome and very, very prayerful, because this is a very serious threat, and it's a lot of people to get to safe ground or be safe where they are."

    In addition, the city arranged with Amtrak for more than 7,000 seats to evacuate the elderly by train. About 1,500 people left for Memphis, Tennessee, Nagin said.

    There were also crowds at New Orleans' Louis Armstrong International Airport, which the city plans to keep open through 6 p.m. CT Sunday. Both Delta Air Lines and AirTran Airways said they planned to continue flights in and out of New Orleans until the airport is closed.

    Buses arrived unloading evacuees, many of whom said they had no idea where they were going.

    Vehicles jammed Interstate 10 headed west toward Texas. Cars also clogged Interstates 55 and 59 heading north out of eastern Louisiana. Heavy volume was also reported on Interstates 65 and 59 as Mississippi evacuees streamed north.

    The hurricane's western eye reached the Cuban Isle of Youth on Saturday, and thousands of anxious Cubans boarded up their homes and sought safety.

    It is projected to pass over western Cuba later in the day and to move into the southern Gulf of Mexico early Sunday and into the central Gulf by early Monday, according to forecasters. Gustav could make landfall as a Category 3 or 4 on the U.S. Gulf Coast late Monday or Tuesday, the National Hurricane Center said.

    The storm called up uneasy memories Friday of the deadly 2005 hurricane season, particularly of Katrina, as Gulf Coast residents found themselves preparing for Gustav on the third anniversary of that devastating storm, August 29.

    Residents and officials were determined not to be caught off-guard again.

    "I'm very worried that the city is going to get hit again, and I don't want to be here when that happens," New Orleanian Sara Suggs said. Residents, at least initially, praised the efforts of the government.

    "I think it's great that they are on top of the game early this time," said Fred Boyd of New Orleans. "I think a lot more people will be satisfied this time than last time."

    Unlike the situation during Katrina, there will be no "shelter of last resort," the city said. In 2005, the city's Louisiana Superdome housed thousands of New Orleanians who couldn't, or didn't, heed the mandatory evacuation order.

    The arena -- which grew dark, hot and increasingly fetid after the electricity failed and the plumbing was overwhelmed in the storm -- became a symbol of the disaster and the much-maligned government response to it.

    When Katrina hit, more than 1,800 people died in five states, 1,577 of them in Louisiana.

    As the storm began to track westward, Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal said Friday that there is "a little bit less certainty than there was yesterday" of a direct hit to New Orleans or other populated areas in the state. But he urged Louisianans to be prepared for the very real possibility of another strike.

    More than a dozen parishes have declared states of emergency, he said, adding that several coastal parishes began voluntary evacuations Friday and would continue mandatory evacuations Saturday.

    Mississippi Gov. Haley Barbour announced Friday that Hurricane Katrina victims living in government-issued trailers or mobile homes along his state's coast would begin evacuating Saturday.

    Notice was being given to people living in Federal Emergency Management Agency trailers or mobile homes, as well as people living in more permanent structures known as Mississippi cottages, he said.

    About 4,300 families live in FEMA trailers or mobile homes, and 2,800 live in Mississippi cottages, the governor's office said.
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 11:15 PM  
    Intense Hurricane GUSTAV forecast and strike probability 13



    Intense Hurricane GUSTAV is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

    Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Cuba
    probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
    probability for TS is 100% currently
    the United States
    probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 45 hours
    probability for TS is 70% within 9 hours

    Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Havana
    (23.0 N, 82.4 W)
    probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
    probability for TS is 100% currently
    Pinar Del Rio (22.4 N, 83.7 W)
    probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% within 9 hours
    probability for TS is 100% currently
    Nueva Gerona (21.9 N, 82.8 W)
    probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
    probability for TS is 100% currently
    New Orleans (30.0 N, 90.1 W)
    probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 45 hours
    probability for TS is 70% in about 45 hours

    Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Key West
    (24.7 N, 81.8 W)
    probability for TS is 75% within 9 hours
    Baton Rouge (30.5 N, 91.2 W)
    probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 45 hours
    probability for TS is 65% in about 45 hours

    Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

    For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

    This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Benfield, Royal & SunAlliance, Crawford & Company and Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre. TSR acknowledges the support of the UK Met Office.



    Storm Alert issued at 30 Aug, 2008 21:00 GMT
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 10:34 PM  
    Translate this website
    Latest Hurricane Hunters news
    Global Tropical Storms
    HURRICANE HUNTERS ON YOUR MOBILE PHONE
    TORNADO WARNINGS
      Storm Prediction Center Tornado/Severe Thunderstorm Watches Storm Prediction Center Forecast Products Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussions
    Hurricane & Cyclone Tracking
    More HH Headlines

    Search


    Satellite Servers
    NOAA Products
    Live Hurricane & Typhoon
    WorldClock
    Hurricane & Cyclone warning centers
    Hurricane Hunters
    Burma Disaster
    Weather News
    Satellite Images
    Hurricane, Typhoon, Cyclone
    Weathersatellite Animations
    Weather satellite
    Environmental satellites
    Weather info
    NASA
    Powered by



    The tropical cyclone data presented at this site are intended to convey only general information on current storms and must not be used to make life or death decisions or decisions relating to the protection of property: the data may not be accurate. If you are in the path of a storm you should be listening to official information sources. These data have no official status and should not be used for emergency response decision-making under any circumstances

    © 2007 HURRICANE NEWS, CYCLONE NEWS,STORM ALERTS,DISASTERNEWS Template by hurricanehunters