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  • EYE OF IKE BEGINNING TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE HOUSTON METROPOLITAN AREA
    Saturday, September 13, 2008
    HURRICANE IKE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 49A
    NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008
    600 AM CDT SAT SEP 13 2008

    ...EYE OF IKE BEGINNING TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE HOUSTON METROPOLITAN
    AREA...

    A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO PORT O'CONNOR TEXAS.

    FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
    INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
    BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

    AT 600 AM CDT...1100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED NEAR
    LATITUDE 30.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.1 WEST OR JUST NORTHEAST OF
    KINGWOOD TEXAS. THIS POSITION IS ABOUT 15 MILES... 25 KM...
    EAST-NORTHEAST OF HOUSTON INTERCONTINENTAL AIRPORT...AND ABOUT
    80 MILES...130 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF LUFKIN TEXAS.

    IKE IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR.
    A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY...WITH A TURN
    TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AND AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED EXPECTED
    TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF IKE WILL
    MOVE THROUGH SOUTHEASTERN AND EASTERN TEXAS TODAY...AND INTO
    WESTERN ARKANSAS TONIGHT.

    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 100 MPH...
    160 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IKE IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON
    THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AS THE
    CENTER MOVES FARTHER INLAND...ALTHOUGH IKE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A
    HURRICANE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.

    HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES...205 KM...FROM
    THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 260
    MILES...415 KM. HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS ARE LIKELY TO OCCUR WELL
    INLAND NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. PORT ARTHUR TEXAS
    RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 91 MPH...146 KM/HR...WHILE HOUSTON
    INTERCONTINENTAL AIRPORT RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 82
    MPH...131 KM/HR.

    THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 956 MB...28.23 INCHES.
    HOUSTON INTERCONTINENTAL AIRPORT RECENTLY REPORTED A PRESSURE OF
    961.1 MB...28.38 INCHES.

    COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF UP TO 20 FEET...WITH POSSIBLY UP TO
    25 FEET IN BAYS AND RIVERS...ABOVE NORMAL TIDES ALONG WITH LARGE
    AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE UPPER
    TEXAS AND SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA COASTS. THE SURGE EXTENDS A
    GREATER THAN USUAL DISTANCE FROM THE CENTER DUE TO THE LARGE SIZE
    OF THE CYCLONE. AUTOMATED TIDE GAGES ALONG THE UPPER TEXAS COAST
    ARE REPORTING STORM SURGES OF 9 TO 12 FT ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS.

    DO NOT VENTURE OUTSIDE IN THE EYE. THE STRONGEST WINDS AND HIGHEST
    SURGE WILL LIKELY OCCUR NEAR OR JUST AFTER THE EYE MAKES LANDFALL.

    IKE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES OVER
    EASTERN TEXAS AND EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA...WITH ISOLATED
    AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE.

    ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN AND
    SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...AND SOUTHERN AND WESTERN LOUISIANA. ISOLATED
    TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT OVER PORTIONS OF WESTERN
    LOUISIANA...MUCH OF ARKANSAS...AND SOUTHERN MISSOURI.

    REPEATING THE 600 AM CDT POSITION...30.1 N...95.1 W. MOVEMENT
    TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100
    MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...956 MB.

    AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
    HURRICANE CENTER AT 800 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
    COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1000 AM CDT.

    $$
    FORECASTER BEVEN
    This information is provided as a public service from the National Hurricane Center http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ or http://hurricanes.gov/
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 12:04 PM  
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    The tropical cyclone data presented at this site are intended to convey only general information on current storms and must not be used to make life or death decisions or decisions relating to the protection of property: the data may not be accurate. If you are in the path of a storm you should be listening to official information sources. These data have no official status and should not be used for emergency response decision-making under any circumstances

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