| Tropical storm SINLAKU forecast and strike probability 17S |
| Thursday, September 18, 2008 |
Tropical Storm SINLAKU is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
Saga (33.0 N, 133.0 E)
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Benfield, Royal & SunAlliance, Crawford & Company and Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre. TSR acknowledges the support of the UK Met Office.
Storm Alert issued at 18 Sep, 2008 18:00 GMT |
posted by moderator  Londen time 9:57 PM |
|
|
|
