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  • DEPRESSION MOVING NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE OPEN ATLANTIC
    Thursday, May 28, 2009
    TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE ADVISORY NUMBER 2
    NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012009
    500 PM AST THU MAY 28 2009

    ...DEPRESSION MOVING NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE OPEN ATLANTIC...

    AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE WAS
    LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 37.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.4 WEST OR ABOUT
    305 MILES...485 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PROVIDENCE RHODE ISLAND AND
    ABOUT 565 MILES...905 KM...SOUTHWEST OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA.

    THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 16 MPH...
    26 KM/HR...AND A GENERAL MOTION TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST IS
    EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS. THE DEPRESSION IS NOT
    EXPECTED TO THREATEN ANY LAND AREAS.

    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
    GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM TONIGHT OR
    FRIDAY...BUT THEN IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN OR DISSIPATE OVER COLDER
    WATERS BY SATURDAY.

    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.

    ...SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST INFORMATION...
    LOCATION...37.7N 69.4W
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTHEAST OR 55 DEGREES AT 16 MPH
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB

    THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
    1100 PM AST.

    $$
    FORECASTER BEVEN
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 11:01 PM  
    Cyclone Aila kills nearly 120 in Bangladesh, India
    Tuesday, May 26, 2009
    DHAKA (Reuters) - Nearly 120 people have been killed by a cyclone that ripped through Bangladesh and eastern India, officials and local media said on Tuesday, while millions remained marooned by floodwaters or living in shelters.

    The death toll in Bangladesh rose to at least 89 following recovery of more bodies on Tuesday, the Daily Star newspaper said in its online edition, while Indian officials said at least 29 people had died in West Bengal state.

    Cyclone Aila slammed into parts of coastal Bangladesh and eastern India on Monday, triggering tidal surges and flooding that forced half a million people from their homes.

    Officials in Bangladesh moved about 500,000 people to temporary shelters after they left their homes to escape huge tidal waves churned by winds up to 100 kph (60 mph).

    Heavy rain triggered by the storm also raised river levels and burst mud embankments in the Sundarbans delta in the neighboring eastern Indian state of West Bengal.

    The affected area is home to hundreds of thousands of people as well as the world's biggest tiger reserve.

    In Bangladesh, the worst affected area was the Satkhira district, near the port of Mongla, where a local official said 17 bodies were found in one village.

    "The situation here is alarming, and the confirmed death toll so far in the district is 23. But it may go up," Mohammad Abdus Samad, deputy commissioner of Satkhira, told Reuters by telephone.

    Aila swept many areas still recovering from Cyclone Sidr in November 2007, which killed 3,500 people in Bangladesh and made at least a million homeless.

    MISSING

    Bangladesh officials said at least 100 people were missing after Monday's cyclone.

    Some aid workers, requesting not to be identified, said they feared several hundred people might have been killed by Aila, which followed a less lethal cyclone, Bijli, that killed only a few people in April.

    Army, navy and coast guards were helping civil officials and volunteers to search for the missing and pick up people marooned in hundreds of villages, caught in chest or shoulder-high waters, witnesses said.

    In West Bengal, the Indian army and government aid workers on Tuesday began an operation to provide relief to more than 400,000 people marooned in the Sundarbans delta region.

    Officials in West Bengal said at least 29 people died in the cyclone, mostly from house collapses, electrocution and falling trees.

    "We have moved two columns, each with 100 personnel, to Sundarbans for relief," said Mahesh Upasani, a defense spokesman.

    Large areas of crops were destroyed in both countries by the cyclone, officials said, adding they were assessing the damage.

    Cargo handling at Paradeep port in India's eastern state of Orissa returned to normal after being severely affected for the past two days, K.Raghuramaiah, chairman of Paradeep Port Trust, told Reuters.

    Many farmers have lost their rice just ready to be harvested. "Allah has taken it (rice and other crops) all from me. I have been made a pauper," said Mohar Ali, a farmer.

    (Additional reporting by Serajul Islam Quadir, Ruma Paul and Nizam Ahmed in DHAKA, Sujoy Dhar in KOLKATA and Jatindra Dash in BHUBANESWAR; Editing by Alex Richardson)
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 11:24 AM  
    Tropical Storm AILA forecast and strike probability
    Monday, May 25, 2009
    Tropical Storm AILA is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
    Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Bangladesh
    probability for TS is 80% currently
    India
    probability for TS is 80% currently
    Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Rajshahi (24.4 N, 88.6 E)
    probability for TS is 80% currently

    Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

    For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

    This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Royal & SunAlliance, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre. TSR acknowledges the support of the UK Met Office.

    Storm Alert issued at 25 May, 2009 18:00 GMT (Final Warning)
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 10:14 PM  
    India Meteorological Department :Cyclone warning for West Bengal and North Orissa coasts
    The India Meteorological Department has warned that the cyclonic storm “AILA” is likely to intensify further and move in a near northerly direction and cross West Bengal coast near longitude 88.00 E (near Sagar Island) today, the 25th May 2009 afternoon/evening.

    Gale wind speed reaching 80-90 kmph gusting 100 kmph likely along and off West Bengal and north Orissa coasts which may increase from today noon to 90-100 kmph gusting to 110 kmph along and off these coasts during next 18 hours. Sea condition will be very high along and off West Bengal and north Orissa coasts during the same period.

    Storm surge of about 2-3 meters above astronomical tide is likely to inundate the coastal areas of south 24-Pargana and Midnapur districts of West Bengal at the time of landfall.

    Extensive damage to thatched roofs and huts, minor damage to power and communication lines due to uprooting of large avenue trees and flooding of escape routs over coastal districts of West Bengal and north Orissa are expected.

    IMD has advised total suspension of fishing operations and suggested moving the Coastal hutment dwellers to safer places. People in affected areas are also advised to remain indoors.

    The system over northwest & adjoining central Bay of Bengal intensified further, moved northwards and lay centred at 0830 hours IST of today over northwest Bay of Bengal near lat. 20.50 N and long. 88.00 E, about 140 km east-southeast of Chandbali, 130 km south of Sagar Island and 280 km southwest of Khepupara (Bangladesh).

    Based on latest analysis with Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) models and other conventional techniques, estimated track and intensity of the system are given in the Table below:


    pib.nic.in
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 1:39 PM  
    Normal life hit by heavy rains as cyclone pounds Orissa
    Normal life was disrupted in several parts of coastal Orissa as heavy rains accompanied by high-velocity wind pounded many areas on Monday under the impact of a cyclonic storm.

    Low-lying areas were inundated in coastal districts like Cuttack, Jagatsinghpur, Kendrapara, Bhadrak and Balasore districts due to incessant rains since Sunday, damaging around 400 thatched huts, sources said adding no loss of life has been reported so far.

    A large number of trees was uprooted and branches broken in Jagatsinghpur and Cuttack districts as gale with speed up to 100 kmph swept the coast, blocking several roads and disrupting vehicular movement.

    Water logging also affected road traffic in several places in Cuttack, Paradip and Jagatsinghpur, giving a tough time to office goers, they said adding electricity supply was also hit in many places.

    In the capital city of Bhubanesawar, power supply was disrupted for about seven hours in several localities including Bapuji Nagar, Ashok Nagar, Patia, Chandrasekharpur and Jayadev Vihar this morning.

    Many parts of Balasore district also remained without electricity for over eight hours, sources said.

    Low lying areas of Cuttack like Sutahat, Friends Colony, Patapola and Police Colony were flooded due to incessant rainfall.
    The cyclonic storm 'Aila' over Bay of Bengal, which lay about 140 km east of Paradip, is likely to intensify further and move in northerly direction and cross West Bengal coast shortly.

    Under its impact, heavy to very heavy rainfall was experienced at some places in coastal Orissa as areas like Ersama, Balikuda and Biridi and the port town of Paradip in Jagatsinghpur district were severely affected.

    About 1000 hectares of agricultural land with standing crops in Ersama area was submerged as high to very high waves lashed the Orissa coast.

    Cyclone shelter centres were opened at several places in Jagatsinghpur district to enable people from low lying areas to take refuge.

    The weather office advised suspension of fishing operation asking fishermen not to venture into the sea, while danger signals were hoisted at Chandbali, Paradip, Gopalpur and Puri.

    Steps were initiated to remove uprooted trees blocking roads in order to ensure early restoration of normal vehicular movement.

    hindustantimes
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 1:34 PM  
    Wind, rains batter coastal regions
    Dhaka, May 25 (bdnews24.com)–The coastal areas had rainfall since early on Monday under the influence of cyclone Aila, with thousands evacuated to safety.

    Ferry movement also remained suspended on most of the river routes of the southern region. The sky in the northern region remained cloudy.

    The inclement weather also forced suspension of all operations in Chittagong and Mongla sea ports.

    The meteorological office said the cyclonic storm Aila might cross Khulna-West Bengal around Monday afternoon. The maritime ports of Chittagong and its surrounding areas were asked to hoist signal number 6 and Khulna and its surrounding areas seven.

    Chittagong

    bdnews24.com Chittagong correspondent said the city was seeing sporadic rains from Sunday evening. The sky was cloudy

    Chittagong Port Authority secretary Syed Mohammad Farhaduddin told bdnews24.com that they had suspended all operations since the morning.

    "Authorities have announced a level three alert and opened control room," he said.

    "We are sending 23 ships of the port to the outer anchorage. There are 48 ships in the outer anchorage. Lighterage ships were asked to stay in the upstream," the port official said

    CPA held a top-level meeting on Sunday night to discuss ways to face the situation.

    Chittagong City Corporation and district administration have opened two control rooms and taken up other kinds of arrangements.

    Bagerhat

    The Bagerhat correspondent reported intermittent rains twined with strong wind in the district.

    Mongla port harbour master commander Md Enamul Haque said there were five ships in the port. Authorities suspended offloading from 6:45am.

    The ships were kept in the safe shelter, he said.

    Patuakhali

    There were incessant rainfalls in Patuakahli from Sunday night. All ferry movement remained suspended on the inland routes.

    The rivers in the char lands were flowing in high tide.

    Fishermen are coming back from the sea because of high tide, said general secretary of fish traders committee Nimai Chandra from Kuakata.

    Authorities were ready with 6,000 volunteers to deal with the disaster. Control rooms were opened in each Upazila.

    Barguna

    The people of the coastal southern district, hit by cyclone Sidr in late 2007, are living in constant fear on the news that a depression in the Bay of Bengal has turned into a cyclonic storm.

    It has been raining sporadically since Saturday midnight and the sun has remained behind the clouds.

    Hundreds of fishing trawlers have returned to Pathorghata, Noli and Taltoli from the Bay until Sunday afternoon, said president of Barguna District Trawler Owners' Association Golam Mostafa Chowdhury.

    "We will start calling people to shelter buildings through megaphones as soon as the level of the signal is increased," said the team leader of cyclone preparation activities and member of Borguna Red Crescent Unit Zakir Hossain Miraj.

    Chandpur

    The weather forced suspension ferry movement between Chandpur and the rest of the country from Monday morning.

    Two pontoons of the ferry terminal sank as the water level rose in the river Dakatia.

    BIWTA's assistant port director Rezaul Karim at Chandpur river port said the ferry movement would remain suspended until further directive.

    Cox's Bazar

    Squally wind has been flowing over Cox's Bazar from early Monday. The sea is rough.

    District relief and rehabilitation official Abdul Aziz said they had held meeting to discuss ways to tackle the disaster.

    The Red Crescent is ready with its voluntary team.

    Cox's Bazar fishing belt owners' association president Mujibur Rahman said most trawlers returned to the shore.

    Noakhali

    A woman, Nazma, 30, was swept aside as low-lying areas of Nijhum Island went six to seven feet under water due to hide tide at in Noakhali.

    Noakhali was experiencing sporadic rains under the influence of Aila since Monday morning.

    At least 30-35 houses were inundated after water began entering many areas of the island from 10am.

    Jahajmara range official Hafizuddin said many deer were likely to be swept by the sea as water level rose than the normal level.

    Bagerhat

    The low-lying areas, including shrimp enclosures, went four to five feet under water in high tide in Bagerhat.

    Bagerhat deputy commissioner Moazzem Hossain told bdnews24.com that Jaimonir Ghol, Chila of Mongla, Malliker Ber, Banshtoli and Madardia Bazar of Rampal, Rayenda Bazar and Morelganj of Sharankhola went three to four feet under water.

    Authorities opened 10 control rooms and 219 cyclone shelters at all upazilas and district sadar.

    The affected people of the inundated areas have been herded into cyclone shelters.

    Patuakhali

    Five villages went under water as dam of Khajura point in Kuakata collapsed leaving thousands of families stranded.

    Hundreds of houses and trees were damaged in the rain and squally wind that occurred from Sunday night.

    It had been raining in Khulna and Barisal districts. Bogra and Sylhet correspondents said it had been drizzling from Monday morning.

    bdnews24
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 1:29 PM  
    Cyclone only 50 km from Kolkata, likely to hit city soon
    Kolkata , May 25 Cyclonic storm Aila with a wind speed of 100 kmph was only 50 km away from Kolkata and was likely to hit the city any time soon, the met office said.

    There was yet no change in the course of the cyclone and there was likelihood that it would rip through Kolkata , Howrah, Hooghly and South and North 24 Parganas by 5.30 pm, Regional Meteorological Centre Director G C Debnath told PTI here.

    indopia
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 1:24 PM  
    Bangladesh evacuates 400,000 as cyclone hits
    DHAKA (AFP) — Bangladesh on Monday evacuated hundreds of thousands of people to emergency shelters on the southwestern coast as a cyclone hit the country, as well as neighbouring India, officials said.

    Government weather forecaster Sanaul Haq said Cyclone Aila made landfall between Bangladesh's Khulna district and Sagar Island in India's West Bengal state, unleashing a tidal surge as high as two metres (seven feet).

    "It has already started hitting Bangladesh's coast, with a maximum wind speed of 90 kilometres (56 miles) per hour. We have reports that a tidal surge has inundated many coastal villages," the Bangladeshi official said.

    In Khulna, which borders India, some 100,000 people had been moved to shelters as strong winds unleashed two-metre water surges, according to the district chief Ziaul Alam.

    "A huge swathe of low-lying areas have already been submerged by brackish tidal water. The surge has already breached embankments in a number of villages along the coast," he told AFP by telephone after the cyclone hit.

    "People who live in bamboo shacks have already taken shelter in their nearest cyclone shelter. We have also mobilised thousands of volunteers to prepare for the worst," Alam had said earlier.

    The surge has flooded the town of Barguna, in the district of the same name, with other low-lying areas and islands in the vicinity also under water after levees overflowed, Barguna chief Swapan Kumar Sarker told AFP by phone.

    "We have evacuated some 100,000 people to the district's cyclone shelters. Schools and colleges have been ordered to give shelter to the affected people," he said.

    District chiefs in neighbouring Satkhira, Patuakhali and Bagerhat said that they evacuated another 230,000 people as tidal surge along with strong wind and heavy rains hit the coastal villages.

    "Tidal water has entered Bagerhat town, submerging all the roads. We have reports that a five to seven feet surge has flooded scores of villages along the coastal rivers," said Khusru, who uses one name, a magistrate of the town.

    "We are sending medical teams, charity workers to the affected areas with food and drinking water."

    In November 2007, more than 3,500 people were killed when Cyclone Sidr hit the same districts, the second-strongest storm recorded in Bangladesh.

    The low-lying country frequently experiences tropical storms and cyclones during the monsoon season. The first of the season made landfall last month causing little damage.

    In 1970, some half a million people died when a cyclone hit the impoverished country, while an estimated 138,000 people died as a result of a cyclonic surge in 1991.

    The lower death tolls in 1991 and 2007 were attributed to a network of cyclone shelters and a warning system introduced after the 1970 disaster.
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 1:22 PM  
    Severe Cyclonic Storm AILA forecast and strike probability
    Severe Cyclonic Storm AILA is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
    Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    India
    probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
    probability for TS is 100% currently

    Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Bangladesh
    probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% currently
    probability for TS is 95% currently

    Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kolkata (22.5 N, 88.3 E)
    probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% currently
    probability for TS is 90% currently
    Kharagpur (22.4 N, 87.4 E)
    probability for TS is 80% currently
    Rajshahi (24.4 N, 88.6 E)
    probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours
    Jessore (23.2 N, 89.2 E)
    probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours
    Baleshwar (21.5 N, 87.0 E)
    probability for TS is 70% currently
    Khulna (22.9 N, 89.6 E)
    probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours

    Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

    For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

    This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Royal & SunAlliance, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre. TSR acknowledges the support of the UK Met Office.


    Storm Alert issued at 25 May, 2009 6:00 GMT
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 12:09 PM  
    Philippine typhoon death toll rises to 36
    Sunday, May 10, 2009
    The death toll from a typhoon that struck the Philippines last week has climbed to 36, the government said Sunday as it released a storm aftermath report.
    Typhoon Cha-hom weakened into a low pressure area over the weekend after roaring across the country's mountainos north Friday.

    Glenn Rabonza, administrator of the government's Office of Civil Defense, said in a typhoon aftermath report that the storm killed 36 people and forced nearly 15,000 to flee. About 5,500 houses were destroyed and more than 16,700 others were damaged.

    Most of the deaths were caused by ladslides, drowning and flying debris, Rabonza said.

    About 20 typhoons and tropical storms lash the Philippines each year, usually after the rainy season starts in June, but Cha-hom came in the country's summer, an unusual occurrence.

    Although government disaster agencies repeatedly issued warnings abou the typhoon, some people may not have fully prepared for its deadly force because it struck in summer, regional disaster official Eugene Cabrera said.

    "The typhoon struck too early, when there was still no sense of urgency for such problems," Cabrera said.

    A tropical storm that hit the northeastern hilippines earlier this month left 27 dead.

    thejakartapost
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 1:47 PM  
    Typhoon CHAN-HOM forecast and strike probability
    Friday, May 8, 2009
    Typhoon CHAN-HOM is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
    Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
    probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% within 12 hours
    probability for TS is 80% currently

    Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

    For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

    This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Royal & SunAlliance, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre. TSR acknowledges the support of the UK Met Office.


    Storm Alert issued at 7 May, 2009 6:00 GMT
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 12:07 PM  
    Typhoon CHAN-HOM forecast and strike probability
    Wednesday, May 6, 2009
    Typhoon CHAN-HOM is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

    Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
    probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 24 hours
    probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours

    Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

    This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Royal & SunAlliance, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre. TSR acknowledges the support of the UK Met Office.

    Storm Alert issued at 6 May, 2009 18:00 GMT
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 10:05 PM  
    Tropical storm Chan-hom
    Monday, May 4, 2009
    Tropical storm Chan-hom is forecast to strike the Philippines at about 12:00 GMT on 8 May. Data supplied by the US Navy and Air Force Joint Typhoon Warning Center suggest that the point of landfall will be near 15.9 N, 119.5 E. Chan-hom is expected to bring 1-minute maximum sustained winds to the region of around 74 km/h (46 mph). Wind gusts in the area may be considerably higher.

    The information above is provided for guidance only and should not be used to make life or death decisions or decisions relating to property. Anyone in the region who is concerned for their personal safety or property should contact their official national weather agency or warning centre for advice.

    This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by Benfield, Royal & SunAlliance, Crawford & Company and University College London (UCL). TSR acknowledges the support of the UK Met Office.

    alertnet
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 2:23 PM  
    Tropical Storm KUJIRA is forecast
    Sunday, May 3, 2009
    Tropical Storm KUJIRA is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
    Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
    probability for TS is 80% currently

    Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

    For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

    This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Royal & SunAlliance, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre. TSR acknowledges the support of the UK Met Office.

    Storm Alert issued at 3 May, 2009 6:00 GMT
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 11:24 AM  
    Tropical depression One
    Saturday, May 2, 2009
    Tropical depression One is forecast to strike the Philippines as a tropical storm at about 06:00 GMT on 3 May. Data supplied by the US Navy and Air Force Joint Typhoon Warning Center suggest that the point of landfall will be near 14.4 N, 124.6 E. One is expected to bring 1-minute maximum sustained winds to the region of around 64 km/h (40 mph). Wind gusts in the area may be considerably higher.

    The information above is provided for guidance only and should not be used to make life or death decisions or decisions relating to property. Anyone in the region who is concerned for their personal safety or property should contact their official national weather agency or warning centre for advice.

    This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by Benfield, Royal & SunAlliance, Crawford & Company and University College London (UCL). TSR acknowledges the support of the UK Met Office.

    alertnet
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 11:53 AM  
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