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  • ANDRES IS NO LONGER A TROPICAL CYCLONE...
    Wednesday, June 24, 2009
    SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT ANDRES NO LONGER HAS THE
    THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY REQUIRED OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE AND HAS
    DEGENERATED INTO A REMNANT LOW.

    AT 1100 AM PDT...1800 UTC...THE REMNANT LOW OF ANDRES WAS LOCATED
    NEAR LATITUDE 21.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.6 WEST OR ABOUT 145
    MILES...230 KM...WEST-NORTHWEST OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO AND
    ABOUT 175 MILES...285 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF
    BAJA CALIFORNIA.

    THE LOW IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR. THE
    LOW IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING NORTHWARD UNTIL IT DISSIPATES.

    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
    GUSTS. CONTINUED WEAKENING IS FORECAST AND THE LOW IS EXPECTED
    TO DISSIPATE LATER TODAY.

    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.

    ...SUMMARY OF 1100 AM PDT INFORMATION...
    LOCATION...21.5N 107.6W
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 15 MPH
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB

    THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
    CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT LOW
    PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
    SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN02 KWBC.

    $$
    FORECASTER BROWN
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 10:03 PM  
    Tropical Storm NANGKA forecast and strike probability
    Tuesday, June 23, 2009
    Tropical Storm NANGKA is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
    Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
    probability for TS is 70% currently

    Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

    For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

    This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Royal & SunAlliance, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre. TSR acknowledges the support of the UK Met Office.



    Storm Alert issued at 23 Jun, 2009 18:00 GMT
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 10:13 PM  
    RECONNAISSANCE DATA INDICATE ANDRES IS A HURRICANE
    HURRICANE ANDRES ADVISORY NUMBER 9
    NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022009
    200 PM PDT TUE JUN 23 2009

    ...RECONNAISSANCE DATA INDICATE ANDRES IS A HURRICANE...

    A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF
    MEXICO FROM PUNTO SAN TELMO TO CABO CORRIENTES. A HURRICANE WARNING
    MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE
    WARNING AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS.

    AT 2 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM LAZARO
    CARDENAS TO PUNTO SAN TELMO HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.

    INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE WESTERN COAST OF MEXICO AND THE
    SOUTHERN BAJA PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ANDRES.

    FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
    PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.

    AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ANDRES WAS
    LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 105.2 WEST OR ABOUT 65
    MILES...105 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO AND ABOUT 130
    MILES...205 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO.

    ANDRES IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR...AND
    THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO
    FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST. ON THE FORECAST
    TRACK...ANDRES WILL CONTINUE PASSING VERY CLOSE TO...OR OVER...
    THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO TODAY.

    RECONNAISSANCE DATA INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE NEAR
    75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ANDRES IS A CATEGORY ONE
    HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. ALTHOUGH ANDRES HAS BECOME A
    HURRICANE TODAY...WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

    HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES...30 KM...FROM
    THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70
    MILES...110 KM.

    THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE MEASURED BY RECONNAISSANCE
    AIRCRAFT WAS 988 MB...29.18 INCHES.

    ANDRES IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6
    INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF WEST-CENTRAL MEXICO...WITH POSSIBLE
    ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES.

    COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
    LEVEL...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...ARE
    POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA.

    ...SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT INFORMATION...
    LOCATION...18.6N 105.2W
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 13 MPH
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB

    AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
    CENTER AT 500 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 800
    PM PDT.

    $$FORECASTER BROWN

    http://hurricanes.gov
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 10:00 PM  
    Tropical depression forms in Pacific off Mexico
    Sunday, June 21, 2009
    MEXICO CITY – Forecasters say a tropical depression has formed in the Pacific Ocean off the southern coast of Mexico.

    The National Hurricane Center in Miami said the center of the depression was located about 200 miles south of Zihuatanejo, Mexico, at 2 p.m. PDT Sunday. The system is moving to the west near 7 mph and has maximum sustained winds of around 35 mph.

    The system could bring heavy rainfall to southwestern areas of the country over the next two days, but the center of the depression is currently forecast to remain offshore.

    The system is expected to strengthen and could become a tropical storm Sunday night.

    ap
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 10:34 PM  
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    The tropical cyclone data presented at this site are intended to convey only general information on current storms and must not be used to make life or death decisions or decisions relating to the protection of property: the data may not be accurate. If you are in the path of a storm you should be listening to official information sources. These data have no official status and should not be used for emergency response decision-making under any circumstances

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