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  • JIMENA ALMOST A CATEGORY FIVE HURRICANE
    Monday, August 31, 2009
    HURRICANE JIMENA ADVISORY NUMBER 13
    NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132009
    200 PM PDT MON AUG 31 2009

    ...JIMENA ALMOST A CATEGORY FIVE HURRICANE...

    A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE
    BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM BAHIA MAGDALENA SOUTHWARD ON THE
    WEST COAST...AND FROM SAN EVARISTO SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST...
    INCLUDING CABO SAN LUCAS. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE
    CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 24
    HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED
    TO COMPLETION.

    A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
    NORTH OF BAHIA MAGDALENA ON THE WEST COAST TO PUNTA ABREOJOS...AND
    NORTH OF SAN EVARISTO TO MULEGE ON THE EAST COAST. A HURRICANE
    WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
    AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

    INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE CENTRAL BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND IN
    WESTERN MAINLAND MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF JIMENA.

    FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
    PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.

    AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JIMENA WAS
    LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.2 WEST OR ABOUT
    305 MILES...495 KM...SOUTH OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO.

    JIMENA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR...AND A
    TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD
    SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...
    JIMENA WILL BE APPROACHING THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE BAJA
    CALIFORNIA PENINSULA ON TUESDAY.

    REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE
    THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 155 MPH...250 KM/HR...
    WITH HIGHER GUSTS. JIMENA IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE
    SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE...AND VERY NEAR THE THRESHOLD OF CATEGORY FIVE
    STATUS. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE LIKELY DURING THE NEXT
    DAY OR SO...BUT JIMENA IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A MAJOR HURRICANE
    UNTIL LANDFALL.

    HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM
    THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140
    MILES...220 KM.

    THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE AIR FORCE RESERVE
    HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE IS 931 MB...27.49 INCHES.

    JIMENA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10
    INCHES OVER THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND
    PORTIONS OF WESTERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXT 2 DAYS...WITH POSSIBLE
    ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES.

    A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE ALONG WITH BATTERING WAVES WILL PRODUCE
    SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING ALONG THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA.

    ...SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT INFORMATION...
    LOCATION...18.5N 109.2W
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...155 MPH
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 10 MPH
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...931 MB

    AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
    CENTER AT 500 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 800
    PM PDT.

    $$
    FORECASTER PASCH
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 10:30 PM  
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    The tropical cyclone data presented at this site are intended to convey only general information on current storms and must not be used to make life or death decisions or decisions relating to the protection of property: the data may not be accurate. If you are in the path of a storm you should be listening to official information sources. These data have no official status and should not be used for emergency response decision-making under any circumstances

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