HURRICANE NEWS, CYCLONE NEWS,STORM ALERTS,DISASTERNEWS

News TSW Twitter WorldWeather NavyCylonePage RamsdisTropicalStorm SatelliteServer CycloneTracking TSR SevereWorldWeather JapanCyclone
Add Favorite!

"IRENE" Satellite & Track

>>> HOME

Hurricane & Cyclone Warnings

Weather Forecast Hurricane sector

Satellite Hurricane sector

Satellite Typhoon sector

Tropical Cyclones ASIA

TC Warning Agencies

Tropical Storm Forecast Trackmaps

Global Tropical Storm Trackmaps

Hurricane & Tropical Storm News

Breaking US Weather News Video

Hurricane Scale

Worldwide Tropical storm names

Current Events

Storm Events 2008

International Weather Conditions

Latest Weather/Disaster News

Nat. Weather Service

Global Tropical storm activity

WMO World Weather forecast

Severe World Weather

List of Tropical Cyclone RSMCs

Tornado warnings

Tropical storm Distances calculator

Satellite Server

NASA ESO IMAGES

NOAA Severe Storms & Special Events

GOES Project

NEXSAT / NPOES Satellite

CIMMS Cyclone Tracker & Satellite

C-America & Caribbean Satellite

MTSAT Satellite

World News

TSUNAMI WARNINGS

World Meteo service

EARTHQUAKE WARNING

EUMETSAT

STORM WARNINGS !
  • Image Hosted by ImageShack.us
  • Breaking Weather News video
  • NOAA Watch
  • Tropical Cyclone Warning !
  • Tropical storm warning
  • Hurricane warning
  • Tornado/Thunderstorm warning
  • Earthquake warning WW
  • Tsunami warning
  • Floodwarning UK
  • Joint Thyphoon Warning center
  • Naval Maritime Forecast Center
  • CIMSS Tropical Cyclones
  • NRL Monterey Marine Meteorology Division
  • Hong Kong Observatory
  • National Hurricane Center
  • Hurricane Hunters
  • Hurricane Hunters Recon Data
  • US National Weather Service
  • Weer Alarm Nederland
  • Tropical Storm Warning
  • Joint Typhoon Warning Center
  • Tropical Storm Risk
  • NASA Hurricane page
  • Japan meterological Agency
  • Hong Kong Observatory
  • CIMSS
  • Weather forecast America
  • Breaking Weather News video
  • Latest Hurricane News
  • Weather Video 1
  • Weather Video 2
  • Accuweather forecast
  • Hurricane/Storm Video
  • TyphoonNews
  • Storm&Earthquake News
  • Latest weathernews
  • Environment news
  • Global warming news
  • Global Disasters
  • Floodingnews
  • Worldstorms
  • Quake warning
  • World Weather
  • Redcross news
  • Worldvolcano
  • Hurricanepost
  • Tsunaminews
  • wn environment
  • Powered By
    widgetmate.com
    Sponsored By
    Digital Camera
    Archive
    News Video
  • Reuters News
  • CNN news
  • Yahoo news
  • YAHOO NEWS VIDEO
  • Video by Topic
  • Video by Category
  • World news video
  • US local video
  • Global News Headlines
  • Global Frontpage News
  • News video
  • Headline News
  • Political News
  • Climate change
  • Environment News
  • Bird Flu News
  • Strange News
  • Mideast Conflict
  • Iraq News
  • Military News
  • Terrorism News
  • Dutch News
  • Hurricane & Typhoon News
  • LINKS
  • World News
    Google Earth Downloads
  • Google Earth Download
  • Google Earth blog
  • Realtime Rainfall
  • Realtime wildfire
  • Global temperature
  • NOAA Observing system
  • NWS Warning
  • Storm Reports
  • Satellite
  • Satellite Visible(loop)
  • Satellite IR(loop)
  • Satellite Water vapor(loop)
  • Continental US Radar
  • NOAA downloads
  • Hurricanes live pos.
  • Cloud map
  • Severe weather
  • Lightning
  • Live day & Night
  • GOES East
  • GOES West
  • SECC on Google Earht
  • RRS
  • Image Hosted by ImageShack.us
  • New typhoon enters RP
    Wednesday, September 30, 2009
    MANILA, Philippines - The typhoon east of Northern Mindanao entered the Philippine area of responsibility yesterday and state meteorologists warned it could intensify as it moves closer to the country.

    Nathaniel Cruz, deputy administrator of the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (Pagasa), said typhoon “Pepeng” (international name Parma) could still intensify into a super typhoon as powerful as “Reming” in 2006.

    Reming left hundreds of people dead in the Bicol region because of mudslide and flashflood.

    However, Cruz said the disturbance was still too far to affect any part of the country within the next 24 to 36 hours based on their latest forecast.

    As of 4 p.m. yesterday, Pepeng was spotted 940 kilometers east of Surigao City with maximum sustained winds of 120 kilometers per hour near the center and gustiness of up to 150 kph.

    Pepeng is forecast to move west northwest at 22 kph.

    Pagasa has yet to raise a public storm signal warning.

    Pepeng is the 16th tropical cyclone to enter the country this year and the fifth weather disturbance in September.

    The new weather disturbance arrived as Filipinos were still recovering from the wrath of tropical storm “Ondoy” which battered several areas in Luzon, including Metro Manila, last Saturday.

    Cruz said residents in Mindanao are likely to experience rains due to the southwest monsoon starting today or tomorrow.

    Bicol and eastern Visayas, on the other hand, would experience moderate rains and gusty winds associated with Pepeng on Friday.

    By Saturday, light to moderate rains would prevail over Metro Manila and other parts of Luzon.

    Cruz said there is a slim possibility that the typhoon would not cross the country.

    He said if it changes its current path, the typhoon would likely move toward the southern islands of Japan.

    But if it moves closer to the country, it would likely pass near Northern Luzon, including Cagayan Valley, the Cordillera Administrative Region and Ilocos Region.

    Cruz stressed that even if the typhoon would not directly hit Metro Manila, it would still bring rains over the metropolis.

    Cruz urged the public to listen to the radio and monitor the latest weather updates from Pagasa.

    Pepeng is predicted to be 630 kms east northeast of Borongan, Eastern Samar this afternoon; 430 kms northeast of Borongan tomorrow afternoon; and 290 kms north northeast of Virac, Catanduanes or 330 kms east of Casiguran, Aurora by Saturday afternoon.

    ‘Prepare yourselves’

    Malacañang aired yesterday an urgent appeal to the public and the private sector to help in preparing themselves and protecting areas that may be hit by Pepeng, saying the authorities may be overwhelmed if the new weather disturbance would be destructive.

    Deputy presidential spokesman and Office of Civil Defense deputy administrator Anthony Golez said everyone is hoping and praying that Pepeng would not make landfall or would not be as destructive as Ondoy.

    He said while authorities have built-in contingency plans, agencies did not expect Ondoy to be that destructive, which was why “the systems were overworked, the people were spread too thinly trying to rescue and trying to save many people.”

    Fears allayed

    Government scientists have allayed fears of a tsunami after a magnitude 8.3 earthquake struck off American Samoa before dawn yesterday.

    Renato Solidum, director of the Philippine Institute of Volcanology and Seismology (Phivolcs), said the agency issued tsunami Alert Level 1 at 4:30 a.m. yesterday but lifted it hours later after receiving reports from the Hawaii-based Pacific Tsunami Warning Center that there were no signs of tsunami in the country.

    According to reports, the quake hit Samoa’s capital Apia at about 1:48 a.m. Wednesday.

    Reports said the quake triggered a tsunami that hit islands near Samoa, with the highest measuring 1.57 to 1.6 meters, killing an unknown number of people.

    “We initially issued an Alert Level 1 warning, which calls for vigilance for possible additional warnings. But we have since cancelled that. The entire Pacific Ocean has no more tsunami warning,” Solidum said in an interview.

    He said Phivolcs issued tsunami Alert Level 1 at 4:30 a.m. and cancelled it at 6:40 a.m.

    “The Pacific Tsunami Warning System issued an expanding tsunami warning. It was later confirmed that tsunami affected Samoa but will not affect other countries, hence warning was cancelled,” Solidum told The STAR.

    Meanwhile, anger and hunger among survivors over the weekend continued to build, with the government appealing for calm after people blocked food convoys, apparently because they were missing out on the relief.

    “We are receiving reports that some relief goods, especially those from private donors, are being blocked by people or are being pelted,” Defense Secretary Gilbert Teodoro said on national radio.

    While appealing for calm, he warned that anyone caught blocking food convoys would be arrested.

    In its latest update on Wednesday morning, the National Disaster Coordinating Council said 2.25 million people had been affected by the floods, up about 300,000 from the previous day.

    Of the total affected, 389,616 people were crammed into 561 evacuation camps around Manila and its eastern regions.

    Another 346,581 people were staying with relatives or friends, the council said.

    The death toll remained the same as Tuesday at 246, but 42 people remain officially missing and there may be others who have not yet been reported to authorities. -With Paolo Romero

    philstar
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 10:34 PM  
    Tropical Storm MELOR forecast and strike probability
    Tropical Storm MELOR is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
    Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Guam
    probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
    probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
    Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hagatna (13.5 N, 144.8 E)
    probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
    probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours

    Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

    For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

    This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Royal & SunAlliance, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre. TSR acknowledges the support of the UK Met Office.
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 10:28 PM  
    Typhoon PARMA forecast and strike probability
    Typhoon PARMA is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
    Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines

    probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
    probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
    Taiwan
    probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
    probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
    Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Soliven
    (17.0 N, 122.4 E)
    probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
    probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
    Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
    probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
    probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
    Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
    probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
    probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
    San Jose (15.8 N, 121.5 E)
    probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
    probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
    probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
    probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours

    Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

    For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

    This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Royal & SunAlliance, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre. TSR acknowledges the support of the UK Met Office.
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 10:24 PM  
    Typhoon KETSANA forecast and strike probability
    Tuesday, September 29, 2009
    Typhoon KETSANA is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
    Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Vietnam
    probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
    probability for TS is 100% currently
    Laos
    probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% within 12 hours
    probability for TS is 100% currently
    Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Quang Ngai (15.1 N, 108.8 E)
    probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
    probability for TS is 100% currently
    Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
    probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% currently
    probability for TS is 100% currently

    Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Cambodia
    probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
    China
    probability for TS is 55% currently
    Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Qui Nhon (13.8 N, 109.2 E)
    probability for TS is 95% currently
    Dong Ha (16.8 N, 107.1 E)
    probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
    Kon Tum (14.4 N, 108.0 E)
    probability for TS is 90% currently
    Tuy Hoa (13.1 N, 109.3 E)
    probability for TS is 65% currently

    Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

    For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

    This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Royal & SunAlliance, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre. TSR acknowledges the support of the UK Met Office.
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 12:48 PM  
    Typhoon KETSANA forecast and strike probability
    Monday, September 28, 2009
    Typhoon KETSANA is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
    Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Vietnam
    probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% within 12 hours
    probability for TS is 100% currently
    Laos
    probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 24 hours
    probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
    Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
    probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% in about 24 hours
    probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Quang Ngai (15.1 N, 108.8 E)
    probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% within 12 hours
    probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Dong Ha (16.8 N, 107.1 E)
    probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 24 hours
    probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours

    Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
    probability for TS is 75% currently
    Cambodia
    probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours
    Thailand
    probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
    Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kon Tum
    (14.4 N, 108.0 E)
    probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
    Dong Hoi (17.5 N, 106.6 E)
    probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
    probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
    Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
    probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
    Qui Nhon (13.8 N, 109.2 E)
    probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours

    Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

    For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

    This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Royal & SunAlliance, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre. TSR acknowledges the support of the UK Met Office.
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 9:53 PM  
    Hurricane JIMENA forecast and strike probability
    Wednesday, September 2, 2009
    Hurricane JIMENA is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

    Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mexico
    probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
    probability for TS is 100% currently
    Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Rosarito (26.5 N, 111.7 W)
    probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% currently

    probability for TS is 100% currently
    La Poza (25.9 N, 112.0 W)
    probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% currently

    probability for TS is 100% currently

    Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Guaymas (28.0 N, 111.0 W)
    probability for TS is 75% currently
    Guerrero Negro (28.0 N, 114.1 W)
    probability for TS is 60% within 9 hours


    Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

    For graphical forecast information and further details please visit TSR

    This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Royal & SunAlliance, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre. TSR acknowledges the support of the UK Met Office.
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 10:30 PM  
    Mexico Evacuates Thousands as Jimena Rakes Baja Coast
    Hurricane Jimena weakened to a Category 1 storm as it raked Mexico’s Baja California peninsula today with winds and rain, forcing thousands to flee.

    Jimena’s maximum sustained winds were about 145 kilometers (90 miles) per hour at noon Los Cabos time, down from as high as 249 kph early yesterday, the U.S. National Hurricane Center said on its Web site. The hurricane was centered 95 kilometers north of Cabo San Lazaro and was moving north-northwest at 20 kph.

    “It is interacting with the Baja peninsula and it is going to weaken over the next couple of days,” said Alex Sosnowski, a senior expert meteorologist with AccuWeather.com in State College, Pennsylvania. “Jimena is blasting central and southern Baja at this time with hurricane-force winds, several inches of rain and flash-flooding and mudslide issues.”

    Jimena is a Category 1 hurricane, the weakest on the five- step Saffir-Simpson scale. Hurricane-force winds extend as far as 55 kilometers from Jimena’s center, and tropical storm-force winds reached out 220 kilometers, the center said. At its peak, Jimena was at the cusp of Category 5.

    Forecasters also are monitoring an Atlantic system, Tropical Storm Erika, off Guadeloupe. The storm was moving west at 17 kph and maximum winds decreased to 64 kph from 85 kph earlier today, the center said in an advisory at about 2 p.m. Miami time.

    Shelters Opened

    Baja California Sur set up 35 emergency shelters to house as many as 30,000 people, Audel Alvarez, head of training for civil protection for the Mexican state, said yesterday in a telephone interview. Authorities evacuated about 3,000 people and dispatched 300 security personnel to guard empty homes.

    “The whole state is vulnerable,” Alvarez said. The government has also distributed 25,000 emergency food packets containing cookies, powdered milk, tuna and beans.

    Eight families were rescued in the town of Constitucion after the wind blew the roofs off their houses, he said, and contact was cut off to the fishing village of Comondu.

    Schools in the Los Cabos and La Paz regions of Baja California Sur, which had been ordered closed for five days, will instead reopen tomorrow. The Los Cabos area in the south of the peninsula includes Cabo San Lucas and a 33-kilometer stretch of beach resorts.

    Warnings Posted

    The government today discontinued a hurricane warning for the southern tip of Baja. A hurricane warning, indicating such conditions are expected within a day, was in place for Agua Blanca northward to Punta Abreojos on Baja’s west coast, and from La Paz to Mulege on the east coast. Tropical-storm watches and warnings were in place in other parts of the peninsula and on the Mexican mainland.

    Jimena’s rains won’t reach southern California and give firefighters there any relief from wildfires, Sosnowski said by telephone. The storm will either move across the Mexican mainland into the U.S. near New Mexico and Arizona, where it will bring thunderstorms, or it will turn back out into the Pacific, Sosnowski said.

    “There is a roadblock there for any appreciable moisture to get into California,” he said.

    In the Caribbean, Erika prompted tropical-storm warnings for Antigua, Barbuda, Montserrat, St. Kitts, Nevis, Anguilla, St. Maarten, Saba and St. Eustatius, the hurricane center said. France has issued a warning for Guadeloupe.

    Sosnowski said Erika may reach hurricane strength. However, the storm has to contend with dry air which may inhibit its growth. The threat from Erika will probably be rain, he said.

    “The big factor for this thing is drenching rainfall,” Sosnowski said. “It is going to be a rain producer rather than a big wind producer.”

    Most U.S. oil and gas platforms are farther west, in the Gulf of Mexico. The largest refinery in the Caribbean is operated by Hovensa LLC in St. Croix, U.S. Virgin Islands. Hovensa officials monitored a previous tropical storm, Ana, last month, without having to close the refinery.

    bloomberg
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 10:18 PM  
    EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE JIMENA HEADING TOWARD THE BAJA PENINSULA
    Tuesday, September 1, 2009


    HURRICANE JIMENA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 15A
    NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132009
    500 AM PDT TUE SEP 01 2009

    ...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE JIMENA HEADING TOWARD THE BAJA
    PENINSULA...

    A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE
    BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO SOUTHWARD ON
    THE WEST COAST...AND FROM LORETO SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST...
    INCLUDING CABO SAN LUCAS. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE
    CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 24
    HOURS. CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DETERIORATE OVER THE SOUTHERN
    PORTION OF THE WARNING AREA LATER TODAY AND PREPARATIONS
    TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

    A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
    NORTH OF PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO ON THE WEST COAST TO PUNTA
    EUGENIA...AND NORTH OF LORETO ON THE EAST COAST TO BAHIA SAN
    JUAN BAUTISTA. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS
    ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

    A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE WEST COAST OF MAINLAND
    MEXICO FROM ALTATA TO HUATABAMPITO. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS
    THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
    AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. THIS WATCH MAY BE EXTENDED
    NORTHWARD LATER TODAY.

    INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND IN
    WESTERN MAINLAND MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF JIMENA.


    FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
    PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.

    AT 500 AM PDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JIMENA WAS
    LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.4 WEST OR ABOUT
    155 MILES...250 KM...SOUTH OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO AND ABOUT
    315 MILES...505 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO.

    JIMENA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...
    19 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING
    THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...JIMENA WILL BE
    APPROACHING THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
    LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT.

    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 155 MPH...250 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
    GUSTS. JIMENA IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
    SCALE...AND VERY NEAR THE THRESHOLD OF CATEGORY FIVE STATUS. SOME
    FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE LIKELY TODAY...AND GRADUAL WEAKENING
    IS FORECAST ON WEDNESDAY. HOWEVER...JIMENA IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
    A MAJOR HURRICANE UNTIL LANDFALL.

    HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM
    THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO
    140 MILES...220 KM.

    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 931 MB...27.49 INCHES.

    JIMENA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10
    INCHES OVER THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA AND
    PORTIONS OF WESTERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...WITH
    POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES.

    A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE ALONG WITH BATTERING WAVES WILL PRODUCE
    SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING ALONG THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA.


    ...SUMMARY OF 500 AM PDT INFORMATION...
    LOCATION...20.6N 110.4W
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...155 MPH
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 12 MPH
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...931 MB

    THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
    800 AM PDT.

    $$
    FORECASTER BROWN/BEVEN

    NOAA
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 1:41 PM  
    Intense Hurricane JIMENA forecast and strike probability
    Intense Hurricane JIMENA is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

    Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mexico
    probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 21 hours
    probability for TS is 90% within 9 hours
    Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    La Poza (25.9 N, 112.0 W)
    probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 33 hours
    probability for TS is 70% in about 33 hours

    Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    San Lucas
    (22.9 N, 109.9 W)
    probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 21 hours
    probability for TS is 90% within 9 hours
    La Paz (24.2 N, 110.3 W)
    probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 33 hours
    probability for TS is 80% in about 33 hours
    Rosarito (26.5 N, 111.7 W)
    probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 45 hours
    probability for TS is 65% in about 33 hours

    Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

    For graphical forecast information and further details please visit TSR

    This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Royal & SunAlliance, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre. TSR acknowledges the support of the UK Met Office.


    Storm Alert issued at 1 Sep, 2009 9:00 GMT
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 1:35 PM  
    Translate this website
    Latest Hurricane Hunters news
    Global Tropical Storms
    HURRICANE HUNTERS ON YOUR MOBILE PHONE
    TORNADO WARNINGS
      Storm Prediction Center Tornado/Severe Thunderstorm Watches Storm Prediction Center Forecast Products Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussions
    Hurricane & Cyclone Tracking
    More HH Headlines

    Search


    Satellite Servers
    NOAA Products
    Live Hurricane & Typhoon
    WorldClock
    Hurricane & Cyclone warning centers
    Hurricane Hunters
    Burma Disaster
    Weather News
    Satellite Images
    Hurricane, Typhoon, Cyclone
    Weathersatellite Animations
    Weather satellite
    Environmental satellites
    Weather info
    NASA
    Powered by



    The tropical cyclone data presented at this site are intended to convey only general information on current storms and must not be used to make life or death decisions or decisions relating to the protection of property: the data may not be accurate. If you are in the path of a storm you should be listening to official information sources. These data have no official status and should not be used for emergency response decision-making under any circumstances

    © 2007 HURRICANE NEWS, CYCLONE NEWS,STORM ALERTS,DISASTERNEWS Template by hurricanehunters