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  • RICK CONTINUES TO WEAKEN BUT STILL A MAJOR HURRICANE
    Monday, October 19, 2009
    HURRICANE RICK ADVISORY NUMBER 17
    NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202009
    800 AM PDT MON OCT 19 2009

    ...RICK CONTINUES TO WEAKEN BUT STILL A MAJOR HURRICANE...AIRCRAFT
    RECONNAISSANCE TO INVESTIGATE LATER TODAY...

    A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA
    FROM SANTA FE SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST COAST AND FROM SAN EVARISTO
    SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST...INCLUDING CABO SAN LUCAS. A HURRICANE
    WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
    AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

    INTERESTS IN WESTERN MAINLAND MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
    THIS HURRICANE.

    FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS
    ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.

    AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE RICK WAS LOCATED
    NEAR LATITUDE 17.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.6 WEST OR ABOUT 370 MILES
    ...595 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO AND ABOUT 80
    MILES...130 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SOCORRO ISLAND.

    RICK IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR. A TURN
    TOWARD THE NORTH WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED IN THE
    NEXT 24 HOURS. RICK IS THEN FORECAST TO ACCELERATE TOWARD THE
    NORTH-NORTHEAST AND NORTHEAST BY LATE TUESDAY AND EARLY WEDNESDAY.
    ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE WILL BE NEARING
    SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA BY LATE TUESDAY OR EARLY WEDNESDAY.

    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 115 MPH...185 KM/HR
    ...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. RICK IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE
    SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. ALTHOUGH ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST
    DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...RICK IS STILL EXPECTED TO BE A
    HURRICANE AS IT APPROACHES THE SOUTHERN BAJA PENINSULA. AN AIR
    FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WILL BE INVESTIGATING RICK
    LATER TODAY.

    HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES...65 KM...FROM
    THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150
    MILES...240 KM.

    THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 958 MB...28.29 INCHES.

    LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY RICK WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF
    THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA COAST AND THE WEST-CENTRAL COAST OF
    MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...CAUSING POTENTIALLY
    DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS.

    ...SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT INFORMATION...
    LOCATION...17.8N 111.6W
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 9 MPH
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...958 MB

    AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
    CENTER AT 1100 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 200
    PM PDT.

    $$
    FORECASTER BRENNAN
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 4:34 PM  
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    The tropical cyclone data presented at this site are intended to convey only general information on current storms and must not be used to make life or death decisions or decisions relating to the protection of property: the data may not be accurate. If you are in the path of a storm you should be listening to official information sources. These data have no official status and should not be used for emergency response decision-making under any circumstances

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