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  • CENTER OF IDA MOVING INTO THE YUCATAN CHANNEL
    Sunday, November 8, 2009
    CENTER OF IDA MOVING INTO THE YUCATAN CHANNEL...HURRICANE WATCH
    ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST...

    AT 900 AM CST...1500 UTC...A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM GRAND
    ISLE LOUISIANA TO THE MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER. THIS WATCH DOES
    NOT INCLUDE THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT
    HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY
    WITHIN 36 HOURS.

    A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF
    MEXICO FROM PLAYA DEL CARMEN TO CABO CATOCHE. A HURRICANE WARNING
    MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE
    WARNING AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
    PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE WARNING AREA.

    A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF
    MEXICO FROM TULUM TO PLAYA DEL CARMEN. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT
    HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
    OF MEXICO FROM PUNTA ALLEN NORTHWARD TO PLAYA DEL CARMEN AND FROM
    CABO CATOCHE WESTWARD TO SAN FELIPE. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
    MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE
    WARNING AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS.

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF
    PINAR DEL RIO.

    A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLE OF YOUTH.

    INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE GULF OF MEXICO
    SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IDA. ADDITIONAL TROPICAL CYCLONE
    WATCHES OR WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED LATER TODAY.

    FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
    STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
    MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
    FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA
    OUTSIDE OF THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
    BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.

    AT 900 AM CST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IDA WAS LOCATED
    NEAR LATITUDE 21.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.0 WEST OR ABOUT 75 MILES...
    120 KM...NORTHEAST OF COZUMEL MEXICO AND ABOUT 80 MILES...125 KM...
    WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA.

    IDA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR. A TURN
    TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST AND AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ARE
    EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...WITH A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH
    LIKELY BY TUESDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK....THE CENTER OF IDA
    SHOULD MOVE THROUGH THE YUCATAN CHANNEL INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO
    TODAY...AND BE NEAR THE NORTHERN GULF COAST BY TUESDAY.

    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
    GUSTS. IDA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.
    SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST TODAY...WITH GRADUAL WEAKENING
    EXPECTED ON MONDAY. IDA IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN LOSING TROPICAL
    CHARACTERISTICS ON TUESDAY AS IT NEARS THE GULF COAST...BUT IT
    COULD REACH THE COAST AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE.

    HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES...30 KM...FROM
    THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO
    140 MILES...220 KM.

    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 983 MB...29.03 INCHES.

    IDA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES
    OVER PORTIONS OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND WESTERN CUBA...WITH
    POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES.

    A STORM SURGE COULD RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 3 TO 4 FEET
    ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. NEAR
    THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE
    WAVES.

    ...SUMMARY OF 900 AM CST INFORMATION...
    LOCATION...21.2N 86.0W
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 10 MPH
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...983 MB

    AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
    CENTER AT 1200 PM CST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 300
    PM CST.

    $$
    FORECASTER BEVEN
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 5:11 PM  
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    The tropical cyclone data presented at this site are intended to convey only general information on current storms and must not be used to make life or death decisions or decisions relating to the protection of property: the data may not be accurate. If you are in the path of a storm you should be listening to official information sources. These data have no official status and should not be used for emergency response decision-making under any circumstances

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