| Cyclone Paul to cross NT coast twice
| Sunday, March 28, 2010
THE cyclone harassing the Territory coast is forecast to go overland and run out of steam today - but then head for water and re-intensify again.
Cyclone Paul is expected to head west - crossing over land about 95km southwest of Nhulunbuy - early this morning, and be downgraded to a low.
Weather bureau senior forecaster Angeline Prasad said Paul was expected to head west for a while, then "curve back" to the Gulf of Carpentaria.
"It's (forecast) to move into the gulf on Wednesday and re-intensify into a cyclone," she said.
"It's going to continue tracking southeast but then that's basically where we put a full stop because beyond three or four days ... it becomes pure conjecture."
But Ms Prasad said they could not rule out the ex-cyclone would instead track northwards, hit the Arafura Sea and reform there.
"It could possibly do that ... that's the reason we've got the warning area all the way to Milingimbi at this stage," she said.
She said it was unlikely that a reformed Cyclone Paul would then hit Darwin.
"It'll need to traverse quite a bit of land to get to Darwin," she said.
Yesterday, the Category One storm squatted almost stationary near Cape Shield, with winds gusting up to 110km/h.
Ms Prasad said people should be aware that the movement of tropical cyclones could be unpredictable, and that the region was facing "a lot of rain" over the next few days.
The bureau is warning that heavy rain may cause localised flooding and significant stream rises over the eastern Top End and northern Roper-McArthur districts today.
Last night, coastal and island communities from Milingimbi to Port Roper were on cyclone warning.
Communities from Milingimbi to Maningrida were on cyclone watch.
|posted by Moderator Londen time 7:14 PM