|Tropical Cyclone ULUI (20P) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Solomon Islands
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Papua New Guinea
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
(11.6 S, 160.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Royal & SunAlliance, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre. TSR acknowledges the support of the UK Met Office.