Tropical Storm PAUL (22P) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Alyangula (13.9 S, 136.5 E)
probability for TS is 85% currently
Numbulwar (14.5 S, 135.5 E)
probability for TS is 70% currently
Nhulunbuy (12.2 S, 136.8 E)
probability for TS is 60% currently
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Royal & SunAlliance, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre. TSR acknowledges the support of the UK Met Office.