HURRICANE NEWS, CYCLONE NEWS,STORM ALERTS,DISASTERNEWS

News TSW Twitter WorldWeather NavyCylonePage RamsdisTropicalStorm SatelliteServer CycloneTracking TSR SevereWorldWeather JapanCyclone
Add Favorite!

"IRENE" Satellite & Track

>>> HOME

Hurricane & Cyclone Warnings

Weather Forecast Hurricane sector

Satellite Hurricane sector

Satellite Typhoon sector

Tropical Cyclones ASIA

TC Warning Agencies

Tropical Storm Forecast Trackmaps

Global Tropical Storm Trackmaps

Hurricane & Tropical Storm News

Breaking US Weather News Video

Hurricane Scale

Worldwide Tropical storm names

Current Events

Storm Events 2008

International Weather Conditions

Latest Weather/Disaster News

Nat. Weather Service

Global Tropical storm activity

WMO World Weather forecast

Severe World Weather

List of Tropical Cyclone RSMCs

Tornado warnings

Tropical storm Distances calculator

Satellite Server

NASA ESO IMAGES

NOAA Severe Storms & Special Events

GOES Project

NEXSAT / NPOES Satellite

CIMMS Cyclone Tracker & Satellite

C-America & Caribbean Satellite

MTSAT Satellite

World News

TSUNAMI WARNINGS

World Meteo service

EARTHQUAKE WARNING

EUMETSAT

STORM WARNINGS !
  • Image Hosted by ImageShack.us
  • Breaking Weather News video
  • NOAA Watch
  • Tropical Cyclone Warning !
  • Tropical storm warning
  • Hurricane warning
  • Tornado/Thunderstorm warning
  • Earthquake warning WW
  • Tsunami warning
  • Floodwarning UK
  • Joint Thyphoon Warning center
  • Naval Maritime Forecast Center
  • CIMSS Tropical Cyclones
  • NRL Monterey Marine Meteorology Division
  • Hong Kong Observatory
  • National Hurricane Center
  • Hurricane Hunters
  • Hurricane Hunters Recon Data
  • US National Weather Service
  • Weer Alarm Nederland
  • Tropical Storm Warning
  • Joint Typhoon Warning Center
  • Tropical Storm Risk
  • NASA Hurricane page
  • Japan meterological Agency
  • Hong Kong Observatory
  • CIMSS
  • Weather forecast America
  • Breaking Weather News video
  • Latest Hurricane News
  • Weather Video 1
  • Weather Video 2
  • Accuweather forecast
  • Hurricane/Storm Video
  • TyphoonNews
  • Storm&Earthquake News
  • Latest weathernews
  • Environment news
  • Global warming news
  • Global Disasters
  • Floodingnews
  • Worldstorms
  • Quake warning
  • World Weather
  • Redcross news
  • Worldvolcano
  • Hurricanepost
  • Tsunaminews
  • wn environment
  • Powered By
    widgetmate.com
    Sponsored By
    Digital Camera
    Archive
    News Video
  • Reuters News
  • CNN news
  • Yahoo news
  • YAHOO NEWS VIDEO
  • Video by Topic
  • Video by Category
  • World news video
  • US local video
  • Global News Headlines
  • Global Frontpage News
  • News video
  • Headline News
  • Political News
  • Climate change
  • Environment News
  • Bird Flu News
  • Strange News
  • Mideast Conflict
  • Iraq News
  • Military News
  • Terrorism News
  • Dutch News
  • Hurricane & Typhoon News
  • LINKS
  • World News
    Google Earth Downloads
  • Google Earth Download
  • Google Earth blog
  • Realtime Rainfall
  • Realtime wildfire
  • Global temperature
  • NOAA Observing system
  • NWS Warning
  • Storm Reports
  • Satellite
  • Satellite Visible(loop)
  • Satellite IR(loop)
  • Satellite Water vapor(loop)
  • Continental US Radar
  • NOAA downloads
  • Hurricanes live pos.
  • Cloud map
  • Severe weather
  • Lightning
  • Live day & Night
  • GOES East
  • GOES West
  • SECC on Google Earht
  • RRS
  • Image Hosted by ImageShack.us
  • Latest trackmaps Hurricane "ALEX"
    Wednesday, June 30, 2010

    TSR/NavyNRL
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 11:44 PM  
    Latest satellite images Hurricane "ALEX"



    NOAA/NavyNRL/NASA
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 11:32 PM  
    ALEX HEADING TOWARD NORTHEAST MEXICO WITH 90 MPH WINDS
    NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010
    400 PM CDT WED JUN 30 2010

    ...ALEX HEADING TOWARD NORTHEAST MEXICO WITH 90 MPH WINDS...


    SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...24.5N 96.8W
    ABOUT 80 MI...130 KM NE OF LA PESCA MEXICO
    ABOUT 105 MI...170 KM SSE OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/HR
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/HR
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...959 MB...28.32 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

    NONE.

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

    A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * THE COAST OF TEXAS SOUTH OF BAFFIN BAY TO THE MOUTH OF THE RIO
    GRANDE
    * THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE TO LA CRUZ

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN IN EFFECT FOR...
    * THE COAST OF TEXAS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT OCONNOR
    * THE COAST OF MEXICO SOUTH OF LA CRUZ TO CABO ROJO

    FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
    STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
    MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
    FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
    UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
    METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


    DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
    ------------------------------
    AT 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE ALEX WAS LOCATED
    BY A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT AND NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR FROM
    BROWNSVILLE NEAR LATITUDE 24.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.8 WEST. ALEX
    HAS INCREASED ITS FORWARD SPEED AND IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR
    13 MPH...20 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
    UNTIL LANDFALL IN NORTHEASTERN MEXICO TONIGHT.

    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 90 MPH...150
    KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ALEX IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE
    SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING
    IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS BEFORE LANDFALL. A GRADUAL
    WEAKENING IS FORECAST AFTER THE CENTER CROSSES THE COASTLINE.

    ALEX IS A LARGE CYCLONE AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
    TO 70 MILES...110 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE
    WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM PRIMARILY TO THE
    NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. A MEXICAN NAVY AUTOMATED STATION IN
    MATAMOROS JUST REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 64 MPH...103 KM/HR.

    LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE
    RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 959 MB...28.32 INCHES.


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    RAINFALL...ALEX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS
    OF 6 TO 12 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO AND SOUTHERN
    TEXAS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES. THESE RAINS
    COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES...
    ESPECIALLY IN MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. THE BROWNSVILLE DOPPLER RADAR
    SHOWS NUMEROUS RAINBANDS ASSOCIATED WITH ALEX AFFECTING THE
    SOUTHERN TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO COASTS.

    WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST WITHIN
    THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA TONIGHT. HOWEVER...TROPICAL STORM WINDS
    ARE ALREADY AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE COAST.

    STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM TIDE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY
    AS MUCH AS 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST
    TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. THE WATER COULD
    PENETRATE INLAND AS FAR AS SEVERAL MILES FROM THE SHORE WITH DEPTH
    GENERALLY DECREASING AS THE STORM TIDE MOVES INLAND. NEAR THE
    COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE
    WAVES.

    TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF EXTREME
    SOUTHERN TEXAS TONIGHT.


    FORECASTER AVILA
    NOAA
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 10:27 PM  
    Hurricane ALEX (AL01) forecast and strike probability

    Hurricane ALEX (AL01) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

    Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)

    Mexico
    probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% within 9 hours
    probability for TS is 100% currently
    Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)

    San Fernando (24.8 N, 98.2 W)
    probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% within 9 hours
    probability for TS is 100% currently


    Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States

    probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 9 hours
    probability for TS is 100% currently

    Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Brownsville (25.9 N, 97.5 W)
    probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 9 hours
    probability for TS is 100% currently

    Aldama (23.0 N, 98.1 W)
    probability for TS is 90% within 9 hours
    Tampico (22.2 N, 97.8 W)

    probability for TS is 85% within 9 hours
    Armstrong (26.9 N, 97.8 W)
    probability for TS is 80% within 9 hours
    Ciudad Victoria (23.7 N, 99.1 W)
    probability for TS is 55% in about 21 hours

    Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.

    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

    For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

    This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Royal & SunAlliance, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre. TSR acknowledges the support of the UK Met Office.
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 10:26 PM  
    ALEX DEEPENING AS IT MOVES CLOSER TO THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF MEXICO
    NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010
    400 AM CDT WED JUN 30 2010

    ...ALEX DEEPENING AS IT MOVES CLOSER TO THE NORTHEASTERN COAST
    OF MEXICO...


    SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...23.3N 95.1W
    ABOUT 175 MI...280 KM E OF LA PESCA MEXICO
    ABOUT 235 MI...375 KM SE OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/HR
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/HR
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...961 MB...28.38 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

    NONE.

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

    A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * THE COAST OF TEXAS SOUTH OF BAFFIN BAY TO THE MOUTH OF THE RIO
    GRANDE
    * THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE TO LA CRUZ

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN IN EFFECT FOR...
    * THE COAST OF TEXAS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT OCONNOR
    * THE COAST OF MEXICO SOUTH OF LA CRUZ TO CABO ROJO

    FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
    STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
    MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
    FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
    UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
    METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


    DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
    ------------------------------
    AT 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ALEX WAS LOCATED
    NEAR LATITUDE 23.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.1 WEST. ALEX IS MOVING
    TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR. A SLOW WEST TO
    WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS.
    ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ALEX WILL APPROACH THE COAST
    OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO OR SOUTHERN TEXAS BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON OR
    EARLY EVENING...AND MAKE LANDFALL IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA
    LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.

    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
    GUSTS. ALEX IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
    HURRICANE WIND SCALE. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST...AND
    ALEX COULD BECOME A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE PRIOR TO LANDFALL. ALEX
    WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN AFTER ITS CENTER CROSSES THE COASTLINE.

    HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
    THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200
    MILES...325 KM.

    THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY MEASURED BY AN AIR FORCE
    RESERVE UNIT HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 961 MB...28.38 INCHES.


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    RAINFALL...ALEX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS
    OF 6 TO 12 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO AND SOUTHERN
    TEXAS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES. THESE RAINS
    COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES...
    ESPECIALLY IN MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. RAINBANDS ASSOCIATED WITH ALEX
    ARE SPREADING ONSHORE IN NORTHEASTERN MEXICO AND SOUTHERN TEXAS.

    WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST
    WITHIN THE HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREAS LATER THIS
    MORNING...MAKING OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS.

    STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY
    AS MUCH AS 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST
    TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. THE SURGE COULD
    PENETRATE INLAND AS FAR AS SEVERAL MILES FROM THE SHORE WITH DEPTH
    GENERALLY DECREASING AS THE WATER MOVES INLAND. NEAR THE COAST...
    THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.

    TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF EXTREME
    SOUTHERN TEXAS TODAY.


    FORECASTER STEWART
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 11:19 AM  
    Hurricane ALEX (AL01) forecast and strike probability

    Hurricane ALEX (AL01) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

    Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mexico
    probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 21 hours
    probability for TS is 100% in about 21 hours

    Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    San Fernando (24.8 N, 98.2 W)
    probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 21 hours

    probability for TS is 95% in about 21 hours

    Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
    probability for TS is 95% in about 21 hours
    Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Brownsville (25.9 N, 97.5 W)
    probability for TS is 90% in about 21 hours
    Aldama (23.0 N, 98.1 W)
    probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 21 hours

    probability for TS is 85% in about 21 hours
    Ciudad Victoria (23.7 N, 99.1 W)
    probability for TS is 75% in about 33 hours
    Tampico (22.2 N, 97.8 W)
    probability for TS is 65% in about 21 hours

    Armstrong (26.9 N, 97.8 W)
    probability for TS is 65% in about 21 hours

    Monterrey (25.7 N, 100.3 W)
    probability for TS is 60% in about 45 hours


    Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

    For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

    This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Royal & SunAlliance, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre. TSR acknowledges the support of the UK Met Office.
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 11:19 AM  
    Latest satellite images Tropical Storm "ALEX"


    NOAA/NavyNRL
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 12:24 AM  
    Latest trackmaps tropical storm "ALEX"

    NavyNRL/TSR
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 12:21 AM  
    ALEX BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED AND EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE IN THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS
    Tuesday, June 29, 2010
    TROPICAL STORM ALEX ADVISORY NUMBER 17
    NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010
    400 PM CDT TUE JUN 29 2010

    ...ALEX BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED AND EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE
    IN THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS...NEW TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN MEXICO...


    SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...23.2N 94.0W
    ABOUT 245 MI...395 KM E OF LA PESCA MEXICO
    ABOUT 290 MI...465 KM SE OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/HR
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/HR
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...981 MB...28.97 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

    THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING SOUTH
    OF LA CRUZ TO CABO ROJO.

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

    A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * THE COAST OF TEXAS SOUTH OF BAFFIN BAY TO THE MOUTH OF THE RIO
    GRANDE
    * THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE TO LA CRUZ

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN IN EFFECT FOR...
    * THE COAST OF TEXAS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT OCONNOR
    * THE COAST OF MEXICO SOUTH OF LA CRUZ TO CABO ROJO

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
    EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

    FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
    STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
    MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
    FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
    UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
    METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


    DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
    ------------------------------
    AT 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALEX WAS
    LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.0 WEST. ALEX IS
    MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR. A GRADUAL TURN
    TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST WITH SOME DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS
    EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ALEX
    WILL APPROACH THE COAST OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO AND SOUTHERN TEXAS
    ON WEDNESDAY AND MAKE LANDFALL IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA LATE
    WEDNESDAY OR WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
    GUSTS. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT ALEX IS BECOMING BETTER
    ORGANIZED....AND IT IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE SOMETIME
    TONIGHT WITH STRENGTHENING CONTINUING UNTIL LANDFALL.

    TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM
    FROM THE CENTER.

    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 981 MB...28.97 INCHES.


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    RAINFALL...ALEX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS
    OF 6 TO 12 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO AND SOUTHERN
    TEXAS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES. THESE RAINS
    COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES...
    ESPECIALLY IN MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. RAINBANDS ASSOCIATED WITH ALEX
    ARE SPREADING ONSHORE IN NORTHEASTERN MEXICO AND SOUTHERN TEXAS.

    WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST
    WITHIN THE HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREAS BEGINNING
    WEDNESDAY MORNING...MAKING OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
    DANGEROUS.

    STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY
    AS MUCH AS 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE IMMEDIATE
    COAST NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. THE
    SURGE COULD PENETRATE INLAND AS FAR AS SEVERAL MILES FROM THE SHORE
    WITH DEPTH GENERALLY DECREASING AS THE WATER MOVES INLAND. NEAR
    THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE
    WAVES.


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...700 PM CDT.
    NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 PM CDT.

    $$
    FORECASTER BEVEN
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 11:30 PM  
    Tropical Storm ALEX (AL01): RED ALERT FOR MEXICO

    Tropical Storm ALEX (AL01) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

    Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mexico
    probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 33 hours
    probability for TS is 85% in about 21 hours

    Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)

    the United States
    probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 33 hours
    probability for TS is 80% in about 21 hours

    Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Brownsville (25.9 N, 97.5 W)
    probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 33 hours
    probability for TS is 75% in about 21 hours

    San Fernando (24.8 N, 98.2 W)
    probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 33 hours

    probability for TS is 75% in about 33 hours
    Armstrong (26.9 N, 97.8 W)
    probability for TS is 60% in about 33 hours

    Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

    For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

    This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Royal & SunAlliance, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre. TSR acknowledges the support of the UK Met Office.
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 11:24 PM  
    Latest satellite images and trackmaps TS ALEX
    Monday, June 28, 2010




    NOAA/TSR/NavyNRL
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 6:39 PM  
    Tropical Storm ALEX (AL01) forecast and strike probability

    Tropical Storm ALEX (AL01) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

    Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
    probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 69 hours
    probability for TS is 55% in about 69 hours
    Mexico
    probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 69 hours
    probability for TS is 45% currently
    Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Brownsville (25.9 N, 97.5 W)
    probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 69 hours
    probability for TS is 55% in about 69 hours
    Armstrong (26.9 N, 97.8 W)
    probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 93 hours
    probability for TS is 50% in about 69 hours
    San Fernando (24.8 N, 98.2 W)
    probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 69 hours
    probability for TS is 50% in about 69 hours
    Corpus Christi (27.7 N, 97.3 W)
    probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
    probability for TS is 50% in about 93 hours

    Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

    For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

    This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Royal & SunAlliance, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre. TSR acknowledges the support of the UK Met Office.
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 6:31 PM  
    ALEX MOVING INTO THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO...
    Sunday, June 27, 2010
    ALEX MOVING INTO THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO...


    SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...19.2N 90.9W
    ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM SSW OF CAMPECHE MEXICO
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/HR
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


    DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
    ------------------------------
    AT 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ALEX
    WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.9 WEST. THE
    DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15
    KM/HR. A MOTION GENERALLY TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED FOR THE
    NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AT A SLOWER FORWARD SPEED.

    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
    GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND
    ALEX IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM AGAIN ON MONDAY.

    THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 999 MB...29.50 INCHES.


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    RAINFALL...ALEX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
    4 TO 8 INCHES OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...SOUTHERN MEXICO...AND
    GUATEMALA THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15
    INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. THESE RAINS COULD
    CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.


    FORECASTER BLAKE
    (NOAA)
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 10:13 PM  
    Latest satellite image and trackmaps Tropical Storm "ALEX"





    (NavyNRL/TSR/CIMSS?NOAA)
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 3:15 PM  
    Latest satellite images Hurricane Alex and oilspill


    (NOAA)
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 2:49 PM  
    Tropical Storm ALEX (AL01) forecast and strike probability

    Tropical Storm ALEX (AL01) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

    Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mexico
    probability for TS is 100% currently
    Belize
    probability for TS is 100% currently
    Guatemala
    probability for TS is 100% currently

    Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Chetumal (18.5 N, 88.3 W)
    probability for TS is 90% currently
    Belmopan (17.1 N, 88.8 W)
    probability for TS is 80% currently

    Belize City (17.5 N, 88.2 W)
    probability for TS is 75% currently

    Aldama (23.0 N, 98.1 W)
    probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 93 hours
    probability for TS is 20% in about 69 hours

    Tampico (22.2 N, 97.8 W)
    probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 93 hours
    probability for TS is 25% in about 69 hours
    San Fernando (24.8 N, 98.2 W)
    probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
    probability for TS is 20% in about 93 hours

    Tuxpan (21.0 N, 97.4 W)
    probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours

    probability for TS is 25% in about 69 hours
    Ciudad Victoria (23.7 N, 99.1 W)
    probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours

    probability for TS is 20% in about 93 hours

    Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

    For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

    This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Royal & SunAlliance, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre. TSR acknowledges the support of the UK Met Office.
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 12:02 PM  
    ALEX STILL A TROPICAL STORM AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN YUCATAN PENINSULA
    NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010
    400 AM CDT SUN JUN 27 2010


    ...ALEX STILL A TROPICAL STORM AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
    YUCATAN PENINSULA...


    SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...18.3N 89.4W
    ABOUT 75 MI...120 KM W OF CHETUMAL MEXICO
    ABOUT 130 MI...210 KM SSE OF CAMPECHE MEXICO
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/HR
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

    NONE.

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * THE COAST OF BELIZE AND THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
    OF MEXICO FROM CHETUMAL TO CANCUN. THE WARNING WILL LIKELY BE
    DISCONTINUED LATER THIS MORNING.

    FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE UNITED STATES...
    PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL
    SERVICE.


    DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
    ------------------------------
    AT 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALEX WAS
    LOCATED BY SATELLITE AND BELIZE RADAR TO BE NEAR LATITUDE 18.3
    NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.4 WEST. ALEX IS MOVING TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST
    NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION...ACCOMPANIED
    BY A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED...IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
    FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...ALEX WILL MOVE
    ACROSS THE SOUTHERN YUCATAN PENINSULA THIS MORNING AND EMERGE OVER
    THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO BY THIS AFTERNOON.

    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
    GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS EXPECTED WHILE OVER LAND...AND ALEX COULD
    BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER THIS MORNING. HOWEVER...
    RE-STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST SUNDAY NIGHT...AND ESPECIALLY ON
    MONDAY...WHEN ALEX WILL BE BACK OVER WARM WATER.

    TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
    FROM THE CENTER...MAINLY TO THE EAST AND NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER OFF
    THE COASTS OF THE EASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA AND BELIZE.

    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    RAINFALL...ALEX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
    4 TO 8 INCHES OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...SOUTHERN MEXICO...
    GUATEMALA...AND BELIZE THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. ISOLATED MAXIMUM
    AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. THESE
    RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.

    WIND...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF BELIZE
    AND THE EASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. THESE
    WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE OVERNIGHT AS ALEX WEAKENS AND MOVES
    FARTHER INLAND THIS MORNING.


    FORECASTER STEWART
    (NOAA)
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 12:02 PM  
    AIR FORCE PLANE FINDS A STRONGER ALEX.
    TROPICAL STORM ALEX ADVISORY NUMBER 5
    NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010
    400 PM CDT SAT JUN 26 2010

    ...AIR FORCE PLANE FINDS A STRONGER ALEX...WEATHER DETERIORATING
    FAST IN BELIZE AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...


    SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...17.3N 87.8W
    ABOUT 30 MI...50 KM ESE OF BELIZE CITY
    ABOUT 90 MI...145 KM SSE OF CHETUMAL MEXICO
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/HR
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/HR
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.41 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

    NONE.

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * THE COAST OF BELIZE AND THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF
    MEXICO FROM CHETUMAL TO CANCUN
    * THE ISLANDS OF ROATAN...GUANAJA...AND UTILA IN HONDURAS

    A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM LIMON WESTWARD TO THE BORDER OF
    HONDURAS AND GUATEMALA

    FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
    PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


    DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
    ------------------------------
    AT 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALEX WAS
    LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.8 WEST. ALEX IS
    MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL
    MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT TWO DAYS. ON THIS
    TRACK...ALEX WILL MOVE INLAND OVER BELIZE AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
    IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

    DATA FROM A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
    WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
    THESE WINDS ARE CONFINED TO A SMALL AREA SOUTH OF THE CENTER. NO
    SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED BEFORE ALEX MOVES INLAND
    ...BUT GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED WHILE THE CYCLONE MOVES OVER
    YUCATAN. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST AS ALEX MOVES OVER THE
    GULF OF MEXICO BY MONDAY.

    TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM
    FROM THE CENTER.

    THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WAS
    996 MB...29.41 INCHES.


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    RAINFALL...ALEX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
    4 TO 8 INCHES OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...NORTHERN GUATEMALA...MUCH
    OF HONDURAS AND BELIZE THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. ISOLATED MAXIMUM
    AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. THESE
    RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.

    WIND...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF BELIZE
    AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. WINDS WILL
    BEGIN TO SUBSIDE TONIGHT IN THE BAY ISLANDS OFF THE NORTHERN COAST
    OF HONDURAS.


    FORECASTER AVILA
    (NOAA)
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 12:02 AM  
    Tropical Storm ALEX (AL01) forecast and strike probability
    Saturday, June 26, 2010

    Tropical Storm ALEX (AL01) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

    Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Belize
    probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% currently
    probability for TS is 100% currently
    Mexico
    probability for TS is 90% within 9 hours

    Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Belize City (17.5 N, 88.2 W)
    probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% within 9 hours
    probability for TS is 100% currently
    Aldama (23.0 N, 98.1 W)
    probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
    probability for TS is 15% in about 69 hours
    Tampico (22.2 N, 97.8 W)
    probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
    probability for TS is 15% in about 69 hours
    Tuxpan (21.0 N, 97.4 W)
    probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
    probability for TS is 20% in about 69 hours
    Veracruz (19.2 N, 96.1 W)
    probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
    probability for TS is 20% in about 69 hours


    Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

    For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

    This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Royal & SunAlliance, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre. TSR acknowledges the support of the UK Met Office.
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 11:58 PM  
    TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE BECOMES TROPICAL STORM ALEX
    TROPICAL STORM ALEX ADVISORY NUMBER 3
    NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010
    500 AM EDT SAT JUN 26 2010

    ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE BECOMES TROPICAL STORM ALEX...MOVING
    WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TOWARD BELIZE AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...


    SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...16.9N 84.9W
    ABOUT 220 MI...355 KM E OF BELIZE CITY
    ABOUT 250 MI...400 KM ESE OF CHETUMAL MEXICO
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/HR
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

    NONE.

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * THE COAST OF BELIZE AND THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF
    MEXICO FROM CHETUMAL TO CANCUN
    * THE ISLANDS OF ROATAN...GUANAJA...AND UTILA IN HONDURAS

    A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM LIMON WESTWARD TO THE BORDER OF
    HONDURAS AND GUATEMALA

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
    EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

    A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
    POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

    ADDITIONAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE
    YUCATAN PENINSULA LATER TODAY.

    FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
    PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


    DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
    ------------------------------
    AT 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALEX WAS
    LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.9 WEST. ALEX IS
    MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR. A GRADUAL
    TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AND AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ARE
    EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE
    CENTER OF ALEX WILL APPROACH THE COAST OF BELIZE AND THE YUCATAN
    PENINSULA TONIGHT OR SUNDAY MORNING. SOME ERRATIC MOTION IS
    POSSIBLE TODAY AS THE CIRCULATION OF ALEX CONSOLIDATES.

    REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE
    THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH
    HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED BEFORE THE
    CENTER OF ALEX REACHES THE COAST OF BELIZE OR THE YUCATAN
    PENINSULA.

    TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
    TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.

    THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE HURRICANE HUNTER IS
    1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    RAINFALL...ALEX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
    4 TO 8 INCHES OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...EASTERN GUATEMALA...MUCH
    OF HONDURAS AND BELIZE THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. ISOLATED MAXIMUM
    AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. THESE
    RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.

    WIND...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE BAY
    ISLANDS OF HONDURAS BY THIS AFTERNOON...AND REACH THE COAST OF
    BELIZE AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA WITHIN THE WARNING AREA BY
    TONIGHT.



    FORECASTER BEVEN
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 11:27 AM  
    LOW PRESSURE AREA HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED TODAY
    Friday, June 25, 2010
    NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
    200 PM EDT FRI JUN 25 2010

    FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

    SATELLITE IMAGES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT THE LOW
    PRESSURE AREA BETWEEN THE NORTHERN COAST OF HONDURAS AND GRAND
    CAYMAN HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED TODAY. AN AIR FORCE
    RECONNAISSANCE PLANE IS CURRENTLY APPROACHING THE SYSTEM TO
    DETERMINE IF A TROPICAL DEPRESSION HAS FORMED. REGARDLESS...
    UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE BECOMING MORE CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT AND A
    TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL LIKELY FORM AT ANY TIME LATER TODAY OR
    SATURDAY. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...80 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM
    BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. THIS
    SYSTEM...ACCOMPANIED BY HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS...IS FORECAST
    TO MOVE SLOWLY TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND REACH THE YUCATAN
    PENINSULA IN A DAY OR TWO. ALL INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN
    CARIBBEAN SEA AND YUCATAN SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS
    SYSTEM.

    A LARGE BUT DISORGANIZED AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS CENTERED
    JUST EAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS IS ASSOCIATED WITH A
    TROPICAL WAVE INTERACTING WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH. THIS SYSTEM
    HAS THE POTENTIAL FOR SLOW DEVELOPMENT AS IT MOVES TOWARD THE
    NORTHWEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF
    THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

    ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
    NEXT 48 HOURS.

    $$
    FORECASTER AVILA/ROBERTS
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 10:27 PM  
    DARBY STRENGTHENS A LITTLE MORE
    Thursday, June 24, 2010
    HURRICANE DARBY ADVISORY NUMBER 8
    NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052010
    200 PM PDT THU JUN 24 2010

    ...DARBY STRENGTHENS A LITTLE MORE...


    SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...12.9N 99.3W
    ABOUT 250 MI...400 KM SW OF PUERTO ESCONDIDO MEXICO
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/HR
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/HR
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...980 MB...28.94 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


    DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
    ------------------------------
    AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DARBY WAS LOCATED
    NEAR LATITUDE 12.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 99.3 WEST. DARBY IS MOVING
    TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR...AND A MAINLY
    WESTWARD MOTION AT A SLOWER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT
    COUPLE OF DAYS.

    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
    GUSTS. DARBY IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
    SCALE. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT
    DAY OR SO.

    HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES...30 KM...FROM
    THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60
    MILES...95 KM.

    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 MB...28.94 INCHES.


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    NONE.


    FORECASTER PASCH
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 11:57 PM  
    CELIA IS NOW A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE
    HURRICANE CELIA ADVISORY NUMBER 23
    NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042010
    200 PM PDT THU JUN 24 2010

    ...CELIA IS NOW A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE...


    SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...12.8N 114.7W
    ABOUT 765 MI...1230 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...135 MPH...215 KM/HR
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/HR
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...948 MB...27.99 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


    DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
    ------------------------------
    AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CELIA WAS LOCATED
    NEAR LATITUDE 12.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 114.7 WEST. CELIA IS MOVING
    TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR. A TURN TOWARD THE
    WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 135 MPH...215 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
    GUSTS. CELIA IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
    HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE
    TODAY...FOLLOWED BY GRADUAL WEAKENING ON FRIDAY.

    HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM
    THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115
    MILES...185 KM.

    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 948 MB...27.99 INCHES.


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    NONE.


    FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/PASCH
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 11:57 PM  
    DARBY STRENGTHENS A LITTLE BUT IS A SMALL TROPICAL CYCLONE
    TROPICAL STORM DARBY ADVISORY NUMBER 6
    NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052010
    200 AM PDT THU JUN 24 2010

    ...DARBY STRENGTHENS A LITTLE BUT IS A SMALL TROPICAL CYCLONE...


    SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...12.6N 98.0W
    ABOUT 230 MI...370 KM SSW OF PUERTO ESCONDIDO MEXICO
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/HR
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/HR
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.35 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


    DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
    ------------------------------
    AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DARBY WAS
    LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 98.0 WEST. DARBY IS
    MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR. A DECREASE
    IN FORWARD SPEED IN THIS GENERAL HEADING IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR
    THROUGH FRIDAY.

    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 70 MPH...110
    KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST
    DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO...AND DARBY COULD BECOME A HURRICANE
    LATER TODAY.

    TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES...85 KM
    FROM THE CENTER.

    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES.


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    NONE.


    FORECASTER BERG
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 3:22 PM  
    CELIA BECOMING A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED
    HURRICANE CELIA ADVISORY NUMBER 21
    NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042010
    200 AM PDT THU JUN 24 2010

    ...CELIA BECOMING A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED AS IT CHURNS
    WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE OPEN PACIFIC...


    SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...12.6N 112.8W
    ABOUT 735 MI...1185 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/HR
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/HR
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...967 MB...28.56 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


    DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
    ------------------------------
    AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CELIA WAS LOCATED
    NEAR LATITUDE 12.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.8 WEST. CELIA IS MOVING
    TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION
    IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 110 MPH...175
    KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. CELIA IS A STRONG CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE
    ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SOME SLIGHT
    STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE TODAY...FOLLOWED BY GRADUAL WEAKENING BY
    FRIDAY.

    HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES...45 KM...FROM
    THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 110
    MILES...175 KM.

    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 967 MB...28.56 INCHES.


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    NONE.


    FORECASTER STEWART
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 3:21 PM  
    DARBY RAPIDLY STRENGTHENING SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...
    Wednesday, June 23, 2010
    TROPICAL STORM DARBY ADVISORY NUMBER 4
    NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052010
    200 PM PDT WED JUN 23 2010

    ...DARBY RAPIDLY STRENGTHENING SOUTH OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...


    SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...12.0N 96.1W
    ABOUT 295 MI...475 KM SSW OF SALINA CRUZ MEXICO
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/HR
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/HR
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.38 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


    DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
    ------------------------------
    AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DARBY WAS
    LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.1 WEST. DARBY IS
    MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...AND THIS
    GENERAL MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ON THE
    FORECAST TRACK...DARBY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN WELL SOUTH OF THE
    MEXICAN COAST OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS.

    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
    GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
    HOURS...AND DARBY COULD BECOME A HURRICANE ON THURSDAY.

    TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM
    FROM THE CENTER.

    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 995 MB...29.38 INCHES.


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    NONE.


    FORECASTER STEWART
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 10:50 PM  
    CELIA BECOMES A MAJOR HURRICANE.
    HURRICANE CELIA ADVISORY NUMBER 19
    NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042010
    200 PM PDT WED JUN 23 2010

    ...CELIA BECOMES A MAJOR HURRICANE...


    SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...12.3N 110.4W
    ABOUT 735 MI...1180 KM S OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/HR
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/HR
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...963 MB...28.44 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


    DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
    ------------------------------
    AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CELIA WAS LOCATED
    NEAR LATITUDE 12.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.4 WEST. CELIA IS MOVING
    TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR. A TURN TOWARD THE
    WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...185 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
    GUSTS. CELIA IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
    HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE
    DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

    HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM
    THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115
    MILES...185 KM.

    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 963 MB...28.44 INCHES.


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    NONE.


    FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/STEWART
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 10:49 PM  
    CELIA RE-STRENGTHENS TO A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE
    HURRICANE CELIA ADVISORY NUMBER 18
    NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042010
    800 AM PDT WED JUN 23 2010

    ...CELIA RE-STRENGTHENS TO A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE...


    SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...12.2N 109.2W
    ABOUT 740 MI...1190 KM S OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...160 KM/HR
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/HR
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...974 MB...28.76 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


    DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
    ------------------------------
    AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CELIA WAS LOCATED
    NEAR LATITUDE 12.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.2 WEST. CELIA IS MOVING
    TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR. A TURN TOWARD THE
    WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 100 MPH...160
    KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. CELIA IS NOW A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON
    THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SOME ADDITIONAL
    STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

    HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES...45 KM...FROM
    THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105
    MILES...165 KM.

    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 974 MB...28.76 INCHES.


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    NONE.



    FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/STEWART
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 5:59 PM  
    Tropical Storm Celia nears hurricane strength off Mexico's Pacific coast south of Acapulco
    Sunday, June 20, 2010
    MIAMI — Tropical Storm Celia churned through the Pacific Ocean off southern Mexico on Sunday as U.S. forecasters warned the storm could become a hurricane later in the day.
    Large ocean swells from Celia were producing dangerous surf along portions of Mexico's Pacific coast, and the storm is expected to get stronger in the next few hours, the U.S. National Hurricane Center in Miami warned.

    At 5 a.m. EDT (0900 GMT), Celia was centred 340 miles (550 kilometres) south-southeast of the Mexican resort city of Acapulco, the centre said. Maximum sustained winds were about 65 mph (100 kph) and the storm was moving westward at 8 mph (13 kph).
    Hurricanes have winds of at least 74 mph (119 kph).

    Also Sunday, Tropical Storm Blas in the Pacific Ocean continued to weaken as its maximum winds dropped to 45 mph (75 kph), down from about 60 mph (95 kph) late Saturday night. The centre said Blas would further weaken through Monday.
    Blas was centred 405 miles (650 kilometres) south-southwest of the southern tip of Mexico's Baja California peninsula and was moving west-northwest at 9 mph (15 kph).
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 2:19 PM  
    Tropical Storm Blas forms in Pacific off Mexico
    Thursday, June 17, 2010
    (Reuters) - Tropical Storm Blas formed on Thursday in the Pacific off southwestern Mexico, but was expected to move away from the coast, the U.S. National Hurricane Center reported.

    U.S.

    Blas, the second named storm of the Pacific hurricane season, was about 265 miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico, the Miami-based hurricane center said.

    A ship in the vicinity of the storm reported tropical storm strength winds of 40 mph, the NHC said.

    Blas was expected to move east-northeast at 2 mph before shifting course to move west-northwest by Friday, which would take it away from the Mexican coast.

    (Reporting by Robert Campbell, editing by Jackie Frank)
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 10:17 PM  
    TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS CLOSE TO THE SOUTHEAST MEXICAN COAST
    Wednesday, June 16, 2010
    TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER 1
    NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022010
    830 AM PDT WED JUN 16 2010

    ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS CLOSE TO THE SOUTHEAST MEXICAN COAST...


    SUMMARY OF 830 AM PDT...1530 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...14.8N 95.6W
    ABOUT 100 MI...160 KM SSW OF SALINA CRUZ MEXICO
    ABOUT 225 MI...360 KM ESE OF PUNTO MALDONADO MEXICO
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/HR
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

    THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE
    SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM SALINA CRUZ WESTWARD TO LAGUNAS DE
    CHACAHUA AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM WEST OF LAGUNAS DE
    CHACAHUA WESTWARD TO PUNTA MALDONADO.

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM SALINA CRUZ TO LAGUNAS DE CHACAHUA

    A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN IN EFFECT FOR...
    * THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM WEST OF LAGUNAS DE CHACAHUA TO PUNTA
    MALDONADO

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
    EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

    A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
    POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

    FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
    PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


    DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
    ------------------------------
    AT 830 AM PDT...1530 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E
    WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.6 WEST. THE
    DEPRESSION IS STATIONARY BUT A SLOW WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS
    EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATER TODAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER
    OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY NEAR THE COAST OF
    MEXICO WITHIN THE WARNING AREA OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
    GUSTS. SOME GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
    HOURS AND THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM BY THURSDAY.

    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN
    ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST OF
    OAXACA...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES.
    THESE COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.


    FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/BROWN

    (NOAA)
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 6:02 PM  
    Tropical Storm Alex may form in next few days
    Sunday, June 13, 2010
    The first named storm of the hurricane season -- Tropical Storm Alex -- may emerge from a cyclonic system near Africa, the National Hurricane Center reported.

    At 2 p.m., the Miami-based agency issued a statement warning that an area of low pressure about 975 miles southwest of the southernmost Cape Verde Islands has become "better organized" today.

    Odds are 50 percent that the system will develop into a tropical depression -- with sustained winds of less than 39 mph -- within the next 48 hours, forecasters believe. If winds top the 39 mph limit, the cyclone will be named Tropical Storm Alex.

    The storm system is tracking west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.

    floridatoday.com
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 10:31 PM  
    Tropical Depression PHET (03A) forecast and strike probability (Final Warning)
    Sunday, June 6, 2010

    N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 6 Jun, 2010 12:00 GMT (Final Warning)

    Tropical Depression PHET (03A) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

    Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Pakistan
    probability for TS is 70% currently
    Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Karachi (24.9 N, 67.0 E)
    probability for TS is 70% currently
    Shahbandar (24.1 N, 67.9 E)
    probability for TS is 60% currently

    Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

    For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

    This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Royal & SunAlliance, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre. TSR acknowledges the support of the UK Met Office.
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 3:45 PM  
    Tropical Storm PHET (03A) forecast and strike probability
    Tropical Storm PHET (03A)
    is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

    Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Pakistan
    probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
    India
    probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
    Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Shahbandar (24.1 N, 67.9 E)
    probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours
    Jakhan (23.4 N, 68.7 E)
    probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
    Hyderabad (25.3 N, 68.5 E)
    probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
    Karachi (24.9 N, 67.0 E)
    probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
    Mandvi (22.9 N, 69.4 E)
    probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours

    Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

    For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

    This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Royal & SunAlliance, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre. TSR acknowledges the support of the UK Met Office.
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 1:25 PM  
    Tropical Storm Phet Takes Aim at Karachi
    Saturday, June 5, 2010
    Phet, now the equivalent of a tropical storm, will target Karachi, Pakistan, later in the weekend.

    The projected path of Phet brings it into contact with millions of lives along the northern Arabian Seacoast in the Middle East through the weekend.

    Phet weakened Friday evening EDT with winds decreasing from 74 mph, which is Category 1 hurricane status, to 69 mph. The storm continued to weaken further Friday night with its maximum sustained winds dropping to 40 mph as of Saturday morning.
    Phet slammed into Oman Thursday evening. Soon after landfall, the strength of the storm's maximum sustained winds were equivalent to a Category 2 hurricane. Phet's intensity matched a Category 4 hurricane as recently as early Thursday morning.
    The interaction with land is what caused Phet to weaken early Friday morning, but it remained a potent storm. The storm dumped nearly 6 inches of rain in 24 hours, ending Friday morning EDT, on Ras al Hadd, Oman. Over 13 inches of rain fell during the day Friday at the mountain resort of Jabal Shams.

    The track of Phet curved eastward Friday, taking the storm back over the warm, open waters of the northern Arabian Sea.

    Despite this favorable track over warm waters, winds high in the atmosphere, also known as wind shear, became too strong and caused Phet to continue to weaken.
    Regardless of its strength, Phet should slam into coast of Pakistan near the city of Karachi later Sunday. Whether its strength equals that of a tropical storm or tropical rainstorm, Phet will threaten southern Pakistan and northwestern India with flooding rain.

    Fifteen and a half million people live in the city of Karachi, part of the Indus River Delta region.

    Small craft should avoid the northern Arabian Sea or remain in port, until the storm has moved inland over Pakistan and northern India. The storm may affect shipping out of the Gulf of Oman for up to several days.

    The northwestern edge of the Gulf of Oman is connected to the Persian Gulf by the Strait of Hormuz. The U.S. Energy Information Administration states that 40 percent of seaborne oil passes through this strait.

    Rough seas kicked up by Phet forced Petroleum Development Oman to halt oil production and exports on Friday, but no facilities have been damaged, according to Reuters. A spokesman said that the exporting facility is fine, but oil is not being loaded since ships cannot anchor at the facility due to the rough seas.

    Waves near the shores of Oman, Iran and Pakistan were between 15 and 25 feet Friday and Saturday.

    accuweather
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 5:43 PM  
    Cyclone Phet death toll rises to 16 in Oman
    MUSCAT, June 5 (Reuters) - Cyclone Phet killed a total of 16 people in Oman on Friday and wounded dozens more, state television and medical staff said on Saturday.
    State television reported 12 dead on Saturday and a hospital doctor in Muscat, who declined to be named, told Reuters a further two had been killed: 11 Omani nationals, two Bangladeshis and a Pakistani.

    Two others were reported dead on Friday.
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 5:43 PM  
    Latest satellite images Tropical storm "PHET"



    (NavyNRL/CIMSS)
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 11:15 AM  
    Latest Trackmaps Tropical Storm "PHET"



    (TSR/NavyNRL)
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 11:13 AM  
    Tropical Storm PHET (03A) forecast and strike probability

    Tropical Storm PHET (03A) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

    Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Iran
    probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
    Pakistan
    probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
    Oman
    probability for TS is 60% currently
    Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Chah Bahar (25.4 N, 60.7 E)
    probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
    Gwadar (25.3 N, 62.4 E)
    probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
    Kalak (25.5 N, 59.3 E)
    probability for TS is 70% currently
    Fins (22.9 N, 59.2 E)
    probability for TS is 60% currently

    Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

    For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

    This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Royal & SunAlliance, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre. TSR acknowledges the support of the UK Met Office.
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 11:00 AM  
    Tropical Storm PHET (03A) forecast and strike probability
    Friday, June 4, 2010

    N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 4 Jun, 2010 18:00 GMT

    Tropical Storm PHET (03A) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

    Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Oman
    probability for TS is 95% currently
    Iran
    probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
    Pakistan
    probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
    Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Fins (22.9 N, 59.2 E)
    probability for TS is 95% currently
    Muscat (23.5 N, 58.6 E)
    probability for TS is 85% currently
    Sur (22.5 N, 59.6 E)
    probability for TS is 85% currently
    Chah Bahar (25.4 N, 60.7 E)
    probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
    Gwadar (25.3 N, 62.4 E)
    probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
    Kalak (25.5 N, 59.3 E)
    probability for TS is 55% currently
    Ormara (25.3 N, 64.6 E)
    probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours

    Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

    For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

    This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Royal & SunAlliance, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre. TSR acknowledges the support of the UK Met Office.
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 10:55 PM  
    Cyclone kills two, halts oil and gas in Oman
    All LNG trains in Oman to be shut down-Oman LNG spokesman

    * Phet forecast to hit Pakistan coast as tropical storm

    (adds rough weather affecting UAE's Fujairah port, paragraph 9)

    By Saleh al-Shaibany

    MUSCAT, June 4 (Reuters) - Cyclone Phet, despite weakening to a Category 1 storm, pummelled Oman's coastline on Friday, killing two and halting the small oil-producing country's oil and gas production, officials and state media said.

    Phet's first confirmed casualties were an Omani man who died trying to cross a flooded area in Oman's northern al Dhahira region and a Bangladeshi woman who was electrocuted in Qurayyat village near the capital Muscat, state television said.

    "Some of the rescue operations are being hampered by poor visibility and strong winds," inspector general of police and customs Malik bin Suleiman al-Maamary said on Omani television. "There is bound to be damage but it is too early to assess it."

    Oman's meteorological office said that wind speed was 120 kph near the Omani island of Masirah, and the cyclone was expected to move away from Oman on Saturday, leaving the country relatively unscathed compared to Phet's predecessor.

    "This is not as bad as (Cyclone) Gonu and people are better prepared," said Ali Rashid, a resident of the capital Muscat.

    Cyclone Gonu, which battered the country in 2007, killed 54 people swept away by flood waters in Oman and Iran.

    Despite Phet's downgrade from a Category 3 to a Category 1 on Friday, the cyclone brought fierce, heavy rains with winds peaking at 138 kph (86 mph).

    "I saw two cars dive into the valley one after another as the drivers tried to go around a bend," Mustafa Suleiman, of the eastern al-Ashkharah region, told Reuters.

    OIL AND GAS PRODUCTION HALTED

    In the United Arab Emirates' eastern Fujairah port, Phet brought bad weather and rough seas, the port's central command office said. Fujairah is one of the world's biggest operations for bunkering, the process of supplying a ship with fuel.

    "The port is not officially closed, it is up to the master of a vessel whether or not to bunker now," an official from the port's central command said, adding that only a few ships had come to the port to load.

    The latest storm path forecast on tropicalstormrisk.com shows Phet downgrading to a tropical storm before it hits the Pakistani coastline near Karachi.

    Pakistani authorities had already evacuated nearly 1,000 people and were on standby for more. In a worst-case scenario, up to 50,000 people could be affected on Pakistan's coast, said Commander Salman Ali, a spokesman for Pakistan Navy in Karachi.

    Oman halted its oil and gas production due as Phet hit the small country's coast, but no facilities have been damaged, DPO and Oman LNG spokesmen said.

    "We won't load any oil because no ship is able to anchor at our facility due to rough seas," said a spokesman for state-controlled Petroleum Development Oman (PDO), an affiliate of Royal Dutch Shell (RDSa.L).

    Phet hit Sur, where Oman's three LNG production facilities, known as trains, are located, but no damage has been reported. Oman produces around 8 million tonnes of LNG per year.

    Oman LNG shut down one train on Thursday and was shutting down its remaining trains on Friday, Oman LNG spokesman Nasser al-Kindy said, adding that Qalhat LNG, which supplies Spain and Japan, would also be shutting down its trains.

    Omani state television said heavy rains were expected on Friday in Muscat, located near the port of Mina al-Fahal, where Oman's crude is exported. But Busaidy said the port had not been damaged. "The Mina Fahal exporting facility is fine," he said. (Writing by Erika Solomon; editing by Alison Williams)

    (REUTERS)
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 5:35 PM  
    Latest satellite images Severe Cyclone "PHET"

    (CIMSS/NavyNRL)
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 4:52 PM  
    Latest Trackmaps Severe Cyclone "PHET"

    (NavyNRL/TSR)
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 4:51 PM  
    Severe Cyclonic Storm PHET (03A) forecast and strike probability

    N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 4 Jun, 2010 12:00 GMT

    Severe Cyclonic Storm PHET (03A) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

    Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Oman
    probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
    probability for TS is 100% currently
    Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Fins (22.9 N, 59.2 E)
    probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
    probability for TS is 100% currently
    Sur (22.5 N, 59.6 E)
    probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% currently
    probability for TS is 100% currently

    Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Iran
    probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
    Pakistan
    probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
    Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Muscat (23.5 N, 58.6 E)
    probability for TS is 95% currently
    Al Ashkhirah (21.9 N, 59.6 E)
    probability for TS is 95% currently
    Gwadar (25.3 N, 62.4 E)
    probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
    Chah Bahar (25.4 N, 60.7 E)
    probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
    Ormara (25.3 N, 64.6 E)
    probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours

    Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

    For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

    This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Royal & SunAlliance, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre. TSR acknowledges the support of the UK Met Office.
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 4:42 PM  
    Cyclone Phet moves over Oman toward Pakistan
    Cyclone Phet has not lessened in force to the degree expected as it passed over Oman, weather forecasters say.

    Oil companies in Oman suspended their activities until the storm passed over, but said there had been little damage and no casualties reported.

    They said they did not expect delays to oil deliveries.

    Pakistan now on alert as the hurricane winds are likely to arrive there on Sunday. Pakistan's emergency agency said the country needed to be ready.

    The category four storm weakened to category two as it hit the Omani coast overnight, but forecasters who had expected it to weaken further said on Friday it had not done so.

    The cyclone had "not dissipated to the extent we were earlier anticipating, which means it could be very dangerous when it hits Pakistan," Nadeem Ahmed, head of the National Disaster Management Agency, told reporters.

    Aid workers have been told to prepare for electricity cuts and floods in Karachi, Pakistan's biggest city and crucial sea port.

    A cyclone is the meteorological name for hurricanes in the Indian Ocean and western Pacific.

    BBC
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 3:12 PM  
    Cyclone Phet batters coastal Oman
    Muscat, Oman (CNN) -- Cyclone Phet weakened as it churned along coastal Oman Friday, dumping up to 25 centimeters (10 inches) of rain on the region.
    Phet, once a powerful Category 4 storm, has been downgraded to Category 1 with winds of about 140 km/hr (86 mph), according to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center.
    Yet Phet brought massive flooding to Muscat and whipped the capital with winds gusting above 200 km/hr (125 mph) at the height of the storm.

    The storm is forecast to reenter the Arabian Sea late Friday or early Saturday before making a projected landfall near Karachi, Pakistan, Sunday.

    In Pakistan, authorities dispatched Navy helicopters to alert fishermen near Karachi and parts of Balochistan to the expected arrival of Cyclone Phet and to urge them to return to shore, the state-run Associated Press of Pakistan reported Thursday.
    Navy units were on high alert should they be needed in the aftermath of the cyclone.
    Fourteen families marooned Thursday by high tides were evacuated by helicopter to higher ground, said Pakistani Chief of Naval Staff Adm. Nauman Bashir.
    Civilians along Pakistan's coast will receive priority in the relief effort, dubbed "Operation Madad," should it be needed, he said.

    The Pakistan navy secured its ships near the threatened areas, Deputy Chief of Naval Staff (Operations) Vice Adm. Abass Raza told reporters in Islamabad.
    "All the assets of Pakistan navy are safe and necessary precautionary measures have been taken to ensure their safety in case cyclone Phet hits the coastal areas of country," he said.
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 11:50 AM  
    Severe Cyclonic Storm PHET (03A) forecast and strike probability

    N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 4 Jun, 2010 6:00 GMT

    Severe Cyclonic Storm PHET (03A) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

    Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Oman
    probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
    probability for TS is 100% currently
    Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Fins (22.9 N, 59.2 E)
    probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% within 12 hours

    probability for TS is 100% currently
    Sur (22.5 N, 59.6 E)
    probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
    probability for TS is 100% currently
    Al Ashkhirah (21.9 N, 59.6 E)
    probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
    probability for TS is 100% currently

    Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Iran
    probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
    Pakistan
    probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours

    Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Muscat (23.5 N, 58.6 E)
    probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
    probability for TS is 95% currently
    Nazwa (22.9 N, 57.5 E)
    probability for TS is 65% currently

    Mursays (20.4 N, 58.8 E)
    probability for TS is 60% currently


    Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

    For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

    This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Royal & SunAlliance, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre. TSR acknowledges the support of the UK Met Office.
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 11:00 AM  
    Translate this website
    Latest Hurricane Hunters news
    Global Tropical Storms
    HURRICANE HUNTERS ON YOUR MOBILE PHONE
    TORNADO WARNINGS
      Storm Prediction Center Tornado/Severe Thunderstorm Watches Storm Prediction Center Forecast Products Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussions
    Hurricane & Cyclone Tracking
    More HH Headlines

    Search


    Satellite Servers
    NOAA Products
    Live Hurricane & Typhoon
    WorldClock
    Hurricane & Cyclone warning centers
    Hurricane Hunters
    Burma Disaster
    Weather News
    Satellite Images
    Hurricane, Typhoon, Cyclone
    Weathersatellite Animations
    Weather satellite
    Environmental satellites
    Weather info
    NASA
    Powered by



    The tropical cyclone data presented at this site are intended to convey only general information on current storms and must not be used to make life or death decisions or decisions relating to the protection of property: the data may not be accurate. If you are in the path of a storm you should be listening to official information sources. These data have no official status and should not be used for emergency response decision-making under any circumstances

    © 2007 HURRICANE NEWS, CYCLONE NEWS,STORM ALERTS,DISASTERNEWS Template by hurricanehunters