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  • AIR FORCE PLANE FINDS A STRONGER ALEX.
    Sunday, June 27, 2010
    TROPICAL STORM ALEX ADVISORY NUMBER 5
    NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010
    400 PM CDT SAT JUN 26 2010

    ...AIR FORCE PLANE FINDS A STRONGER ALEX...WEATHER DETERIORATING
    FAST IN BELIZE AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...


    SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...17.3N 87.8W
    ABOUT 30 MI...50 KM ESE OF BELIZE CITY
    ABOUT 90 MI...145 KM SSE OF CHETUMAL MEXICO
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/HR
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/HR
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.41 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

    NONE.

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * THE COAST OF BELIZE AND THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF
    MEXICO FROM CHETUMAL TO CANCUN
    * THE ISLANDS OF ROATAN...GUANAJA...AND UTILA IN HONDURAS

    A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM LIMON WESTWARD TO THE BORDER OF
    HONDURAS AND GUATEMALA

    FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
    PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


    DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
    ------------------------------
    AT 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALEX WAS
    LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.8 WEST. ALEX IS
    MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL
    MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT TWO DAYS. ON THIS
    TRACK...ALEX WILL MOVE INLAND OVER BELIZE AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
    IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

    DATA FROM A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
    WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
    THESE WINDS ARE CONFINED TO A SMALL AREA SOUTH OF THE CENTER. NO
    SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED BEFORE ALEX MOVES INLAND
    ...BUT GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED WHILE THE CYCLONE MOVES OVER
    YUCATAN. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST AS ALEX MOVES OVER THE
    GULF OF MEXICO BY MONDAY.

    TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM
    FROM THE CENTER.

    THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WAS
    996 MB...29.41 INCHES.


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    RAINFALL...ALEX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
    4 TO 8 INCHES OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...NORTHERN GUATEMALA...MUCH
    OF HONDURAS AND BELIZE THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. ISOLATED MAXIMUM
    AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. THESE
    RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.

    WIND...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF BELIZE
    AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. WINDS WILL
    BEGIN TO SUBSIDE TONIGHT IN THE BAY ISLANDS OFF THE NORTHERN COAST
    OF HONDURAS.


    FORECASTER AVILA
    (NOAA)
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 12:02 AM  
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    The tropical cyclone data presented at this site are intended to convey only general information on current storms and must not be used to make life or death decisions or decisions relating to the protection of property: the data may not be accurate. If you are in the path of a storm you should be listening to official information sources. These data have no official status and should not be used for emergency response decision-making under any circumstances

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