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  • ALEX DEEPENING AS IT MOVES CLOSER TO THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF MEXICO
    Wednesday, June 30, 2010
    NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010
    400 AM CDT WED JUN 30 2010

    ...ALEX DEEPENING AS IT MOVES CLOSER TO THE NORTHEASTERN COAST
    OF MEXICO...


    SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...23.3N 95.1W
    ABOUT 175 MI...280 KM E OF LA PESCA MEXICO
    ABOUT 235 MI...375 KM SE OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/HR
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/HR
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...961 MB...28.38 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

    NONE.

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

    A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * THE COAST OF TEXAS SOUTH OF BAFFIN BAY TO THE MOUTH OF THE RIO
    GRANDE
    * THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE TO LA CRUZ

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN IN EFFECT FOR...
    * THE COAST OF TEXAS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT OCONNOR
    * THE COAST OF MEXICO SOUTH OF LA CRUZ TO CABO ROJO

    FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
    STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
    MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
    FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
    UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
    METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


    DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
    ------------------------------
    AT 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ALEX WAS LOCATED
    NEAR LATITUDE 23.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.1 WEST. ALEX IS MOVING
    TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR. A SLOW WEST TO
    WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS.
    ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ALEX WILL APPROACH THE COAST
    OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO OR SOUTHERN TEXAS BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON OR
    EARLY EVENING...AND MAKE LANDFALL IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA
    LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.

    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
    GUSTS. ALEX IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
    HURRICANE WIND SCALE. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST...AND
    ALEX COULD BECOME A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE PRIOR TO LANDFALL. ALEX
    WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN AFTER ITS CENTER CROSSES THE COASTLINE.

    HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
    THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200
    MILES...325 KM.

    THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY MEASURED BY AN AIR FORCE
    RESERVE UNIT HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 961 MB...28.38 INCHES.


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    RAINFALL...ALEX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS
    OF 6 TO 12 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO AND SOUTHERN
    TEXAS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES. THESE RAINS
    COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES...
    ESPECIALLY IN MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. RAINBANDS ASSOCIATED WITH ALEX
    ARE SPREADING ONSHORE IN NORTHEASTERN MEXICO AND SOUTHERN TEXAS.

    WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST
    WITHIN THE HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREAS LATER THIS
    MORNING...MAKING OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS.

    STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY
    AS MUCH AS 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST
    TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. THE SURGE COULD
    PENETRATE INLAND AS FAR AS SEVERAL MILES FROM THE SHORE WITH DEPTH
    GENERALLY DECREASING AS THE WATER MOVES INLAND. NEAR THE COAST...
    THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.

    TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF EXTREME
    SOUTHERN TEXAS TODAY.


    FORECASTER STEWART
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 11:19 AM  
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    The tropical cyclone data presented at this site are intended to convey only general information on current storms and must not be used to make life or death decisions or decisions relating to the protection of property: the data may not be accurate. If you are in the path of a storm you should be listening to official information sources. These data have no official status and should not be used for emergency response decision-making under any circumstances

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