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  • ALEX HEADING TOWARD NORTHEAST MEXICO WITH 90 MPH WINDS
    Wednesday, June 30, 2010
    NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010
    400 PM CDT WED JUN 30 2010

    ...ALEX HEADING TOWARD NORTHEAST MEXICO WITH 90 MPH WINDS...


    SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...24.5N 96.8W
    ABOUT 80 MI...130 KM NE OF LA PESCA MEXICO
    ABOUT 105 MI...170 KM SSE OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/HR
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/HR
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...959 MB...28.32 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

    NONE.

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

    A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * THE COAST OF TEXAS SOUTH OF BAFFIN BAY TO THE MOUTH OF THE RIO
    GRANDE
    * THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE TO LA CRUZ

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN IN EFFECT FOR...
    * THE COAST OF TEXAS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT OCONNOR
    * THE COAST OF MEXICO SOUTH OF LA CRUZ TO CABO ROJO

    FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
    STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
    MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
    FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
    UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
    METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


    DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
    ------------------------------
    AT 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE ALEX WAS LOCATED
    BY A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT AND NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR FROM
    BROWNSVILLE NEAR LATITUDE 24.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.8 WEST. ALEX
    HAS INCREASED ITS FORWARD SPEED AND IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR
    13 MPH...20 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
    UNTIL LANDFALL IN NORTHEASTERN MEXICO TONIGHT.

    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 90 MPH...150
    KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ALEX IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE
    SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING
    IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS BEFORE LANDFALL. A GRADUAL
    WEAKENING IS FORECAST AFTER THE CENTER CROSSES THE COASTLINE.

    ALEX IS A LARGE CYCLONE AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
    TO 70 MILES...110 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE
    WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM PRIMARILY TO THE
    NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. A MEXICAN NAVY AUTOMATED STATION IN
    MATAMOROS JUST REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 64 MPH...103 KM/HR.

    LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE
    RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 959 MB...28.32 INCHES.


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    RAINFALL...ALEX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS
    OF 6 TO 12 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO AND SOUTHERN
    TEXAS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES. THESE RAINS
    COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES...
    ESPECIALLY IN MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. THE BROWNSVILLE DOPPLER RADAR
    SHOWS NUMEROUS RAINBANDS ASSOCIATED WITH ALEX AFFECTING THE
    SOUTHERN TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO COASTS.

    WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST WITHIN
    THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA TONIGHT. HOWEVER...TROPICAL STORM WINDS
    ARE ALREADY AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE COAST.

    STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM TIDE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY
    AS MUCH AS 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST
    TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. THE WATER COULD
    PENETRATE INLAND AS FAR AS SEVERAL MILES FROM THE SHORE WITH DEPTH
    GENERALLY DECREASING AS THE STORM TIDE MOVES INLAND. NEAR THE
    COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE
    WAVES.

    TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF EXTREME
    SOUTHERN TEXAS TONIGHT.


    FORECASTER AVILA
    NOAA
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 10:27 PM  
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    The tropical cyclone data presented at this site are intended to convey only general information on current storms and must not be used to make life or death decisions or decisions relating to the protection of property: the data may not be accurate. If you are in the path of a storm you should be listening to official information sources. These data have no official status and should not be used for emergency response decision-making under any circumstances

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