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  • ALEX STILL A TROPICAL STORM AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN YUCATAN PENINSULA
    Sunday, June 27, 2010
    NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010
    400 AM CDT SUN JUN 27 2010


    ...ALEX STILL A TROPICAL STORM AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
    YUCATAN PENINSULA...


    SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...18.3N 89.4W
    ABOUT 75 MI...120 KM W OF CHETUMAL MEXICO
    ABOUT 130 MI...210 KM SSE OF CAMPECHE MEXICO
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/HR
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

    NONE.

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * THE COAST OF BELIZE AND THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
    OF MEXICO FROM CHETUMAL TO CANCUN. THE WARNING WILL LIKELY BE
    DISCONTINUED LATER THIS MORNING.

    FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE UNITED STATES...
    PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL
    SERVICE.


    DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
    ------------------------------
    AT 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALEX WAS
    LOCATED BY SATELLITE AND BELIZE RADAR TO BE NEAR LATITUDE 18.3
    NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.4 WEST. ALEX IS MOVING TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST
    NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION...ACCOMPANIED
    BY A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED...IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
    FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...ALEX WILL MOVE
    ACROSS THE SOUTHERN YUCATAN PENINSULA THIS MORNING AND EMERGE OVER
    THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO BY THIS AFTERNOON.

    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
    GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS EXPECTED WHILE OVER LAND...AND ALEX COULD
    BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER THIS MORNING. HOWEVER...
    RE-STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST SUNDAY NIGHT...AND ESPECIALLY ON
    MONDAY...WHEN ALEX WILL BE BACK OVER WARM WATER.

    TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
    FROM THE CENTER...MAINLY TO THE EAST AND NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER OFF
    THE COASTS OF THE EASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA AND BELIZE.

    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    RAINFALL...ALEX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
    4 TO 8 INCHES OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...SOUTHERN MEXICO...
    GUATEMALA...AND BELIZE THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. ISOLATED MAXIMUM
    AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. THESE
    RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.

    WIND...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF BELIZE
    AND THE EASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. THESE
    WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE OVERNIGHT AS ALEX WEAKENS AND MOVES
    FARTHER INLAND THIS MORNING.


    FORECASTER STEWART
    (NOAA)
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 12:02 PM  
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    The tropical cyclone data presented at this site are intended to convey only general information on current storms and must not be used to make life or death decisions or decisions relating to the protection of property: the data may not be accurate. If you are in the path of a storm you should be listening to official information sources. These data have no official status and should not be used for emergency response decision-making under any circumstances

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