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  • LOW PRESSURE AREA HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED TODAY
    Friday, June 25, 2010
    NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
    200 PM EDT FRI JUN 25 2010

    FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

    SATELLITE IMAGES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT THE LOW
    PRESSURE AREA BETWEEN THE NORTHERN COAST OF HONDURAS AND GRAND
    CAYMAN HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED TODAY. AN AIR FORCE
    RECONNAISSANCE PLANE IS CURRENTLY APPROACHING THE SYSTEM TO
    DETERMINE IF A TROPICAL DEPRESSION HAS FORMED. REGARDLESS...
    UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE BECOMING MORE CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT AND A
    TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL LIKELY FORM AT ANY TIME LATER TODAY OR
    SATURDAY. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...80 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM
    BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. THIS
    SYSTEM...ACCOMPANIED BY HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS...IS FORECAST
    TO MOVE SLOWLY TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND REACH THE YUCATAN
    PENINSULA IN A DAY OR TWO. ALL INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN
    CARIBBEAN SEA AND YUCATAN SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS
    SYSTEM.

    A LARGE BUT DISORGANIZED AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS CENTERED
    JUST EAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS IS ASSOCIATED WITH A
    TROPICAL WAVE INTERACTING WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH. THIS SYSTEM
    HAS THE POTENTIAL FOR SLOW DEVELOPMENT AS IT MOVES TOWARD THE
    NORTHWEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF
    THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

    ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
    NEXT 48 HOURS.

    $$
    FORECASTER AVILA/ROBERTS
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 10:27 PM  
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    The tropical cyclone data presented at this site are intended to convey only general information on current storms and must not be used to make life or death decisions or decisions relating to the protection of property: the data may not be accurate. If you are in the path of a storm you should be listening to official information sources. These data have no official status and should not be used for emergency response decision-making under any circumstances

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