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  • BONNIE NEARING SOUTH FLORIDA...HEAVY SQUALLS APPROACHING
    Friday, July 23, 2010
    WTNT33 KNHC 231138
    TCPAT3
    BULLETIN
    TROPICAL STORM BONNIE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 4A
    NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032010
    800 AM EDT FRI JUL 23 2010

    ...BONNIE NEARING SOUTH FLORIDA...HEAVY SQUALLS APPROACHING...


    SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...24.7N 79.8W
    ABOUT 80 MI...130 KM SSE OF MIAMI FLORIDA
    ABOUT 75 MI...120 KM E OF MARATHON FLORIDA
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 19 MPH...31 KM/HR
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

    NONE

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS
    * THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM DEERFIELD BEACH SOUTHWARD
    INCLUDING THE ENTIRE FLORIDA KEYS AND FLORIDA BAY...AND ALONG THE
    WEST COAST OF FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO ENGLEWOOD

    A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA NORTH OF DEERFIELD BEACH TO JUPITER
    INLET AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE
    * THE NORTHERN GULF COAST FROM DESTIN FLORIDA TO MORGAN CITY
    LOUISIANA


    INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST SHOULD MONITOR THE
    PROGRESS OF BONNIE.

    FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
    STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
    MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
    FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
    UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
    METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


    DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
    ------------------------------
    AT 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BONNIE WAS
    LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.8 WEST. BONNIE IS
    MOVING RAPIDLY TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 19 MPH...31 KM/HR.
    THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ON
    THE FORECAST TRACK...BONNIE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER THE SOUTHERN
    FLORIDA PENINSULA LATER TODAY...AND MOVE OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF
    MEXICO TONIGHT AND SATURDAY. BONNIE IS FORECAST TO APPROACH THE
    NORTHERN GULF COAST LATE SATURDAY OR EARLY SUNDAY.

    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
    GUSTS...IN A SMALL AREA NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. NO
    SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED BEFORE BONNIE MOVES OVER
    SOUTH FLORIDA. HOWEVER...SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE WHEN
    THE CYCLONE MOVES OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO ON SATURDAY.

    TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM
    MAINLY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER..

    LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE PLANE WAS
    1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF THE
    NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS THIS MORNING BUT SHOULD GRADUALLY DIMINISH
    TODAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS MAINLY IN SQUALLS ARE EXPECTED
    TO SPREAD OVER SOUTHERN FLORIDA AND PORTIONS OF THE KEYS IN THE
    WARNING AREA LATER TODAY.

    RAINFALL...BONNIE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
    1 TO 3 INCHES OVER SOUTH FLORIDA...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM
    AMOUNTS OF 5 INCHES. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES
    ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.

    STORM SURGE...STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 1 TO
    2 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL OVER PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWESTERN
    BAHAMAS...THE FLORIDA KEYS...AND THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA.

    TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER EXTREME SOUTHERN
    FLORIDA LATER TODAY.


    $$
    FORECASTER AVILA/ROBERTS
    (NOAA)
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 2:00 PM  
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