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  • BONNIE WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION
    Friday, July 23, 2010
    WTNT33 KNHC 232032
    TCPAT3
    BULLETIN
    TROPICAL DEPRESSION BONNIE ADVISORY NUMBER 6
    NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032010
    500 PM EDT FRI JUL 23 2010

    ...BONNIE WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION...


    SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...26.2N 81.9W
    ABOUT 485 MI...780 KM ESE OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
    ABOUT 35 MI...55 KM S OF FT. MYERS FLORIDA
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/HR
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

    THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA AND THE
    TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED.

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * DESTIN FLORIDA TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA...INCLUDING LAKE
    PONTCHARTRAIN

    FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA INCLUDING POSSIBLE
    INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
    YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.


    DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
    ------------------------------
    AT 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION BONNIE
    WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.9 WEST. THE
    DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH...30
    KM/HR. THIS GENERAL TRACK WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS
    EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS. BONNIE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER
    THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO TONIGHT AND SATURDAY AND REACH THE
    NORTHERN GULF COAST LATE SATURDAY.

    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASE TO NEAR 35 MPH...55
    KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. BONNIE COULD REGAIN TROPICAL STORM
    STRENGTH WHEN IT MOVES OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO.

    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES.


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    WIND...WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE IN SOUTH FLORIDA WHILE
    TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS MAINLY IN SQUALLS WILL LIKELY BEGIN
    ALONG PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
    ON SATURDAY.

    RAINFALL...BONNIE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
    ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN
    LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN ALABAMA...SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...AND THE FAR
    WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS
    OF 5 INCHES. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE
    POSSIBLE OVER CENTRAL AND SOUTH FLORIDA THROUGH THIS EVENING.

    STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE
    GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST NEAR AND TO THE RIGHT OF
    WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL ON THE NORTHERN GULF COAST.


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 PM EDT.
    NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM EDT.

    $$
    FORECASTER AVILA/ROBERTS
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 11:29 PM  
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