| probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
Typhoon CONSON (03W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
probability for TS is 100% currently
probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Daet (14.2 N, 122.9 E)
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
San Jose (15.8 N, 121.5 E)
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Royal & SunAlliance, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre. TSR acknowledges the support of the UK Met Office.