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  • POWERFUL HURRICANE EARL CONTINUES WITH 135 MPH WINDS
    Tuesday, August 31, 2010
    HURRICANE EARL ADVISORY NUMBER 25
    NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072010
    1100 AM AST TUE AUG 31 2010

    ...POWERFUL HURRICANE EARL CONTINUES WITH 135 MPH WINDS...


    SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
    -----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...21.2N 67.9W
    ABOUT 205 MI...335 KM E OF GRAND TURK ISLAND
    ABOUT 1070 MI...1725 KM SSE OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...135 MPH...215 KM/HR
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/HR
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...939 MB...27.73 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

    NONE.

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS

    A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS

    INTERESTS FROM THE CAROLINAS NORTHWARD TO NEW ENGLAND SHOULD MONITOR
    THE PROGRESS OF EARL. A HURRICANE WATCH COULD BE REQUIRED FOR
    PORTIONS OF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST LATER TODAY.

    FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
    STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
    MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
    FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
    THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
    METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


    DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
    ------------------------------
    AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE EARL WAS LOCATED
    NEAR LATITUDE 21.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 67.9 WEST. EARL IS MOVING
    TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR BUT A GRADUAL TURN
    TO THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY. ON THE FORECAST
    TRACK...THE CORE OF HURRICANE EARL WILL MOVE OVER THE OPEN ATLANTIC
    EAST OF THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT.

    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 135 MPH...215 KM/HR...WITH
    HIGHER GUSTS. EARL IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE
    SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY
    ARE LIKELY BUT EARL IS FORECAST TO RETAIN CATEGORY FOUR STATUS FOR
    THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

    HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM...FROM
    THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200
    MILES...325 KM.

    THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE JUST REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE
    RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WAS 939 MB...27.73 INCHES.


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    WINDS...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN TO SPREAD
    INTO THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS BY THIS AFTERNOON.

    STORM SURGE...ABOVE NORMAL TIDES...ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND
    DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...ARE POSSIBLE IN THE TURKS AND CAICOS
    ISLANDS AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS.

    RAINFALL...RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE STILL
    POSSIBLE FOR PORTIONS OF THE U. S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO
    TODAY. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND
    MUDSLIDES. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED
    MAXIMUM OF 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND
    FOR THE TURK AND CAICOS ISLANDS.


    FORECASTER AVILA
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 6:55 PM  
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    The tropical cyclone data presented at this site are intended to convey only general information on current storms and must not be used to make life or death decisions or decisions relating to the protection of property: the data may not be accurate. If you are in the path of a storm you should be listening to official information sources. These data have no official status and should not be used for emergency response decision-making under any circumstances

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