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  • HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE MEXICAN GULF COAST...
    Thursday, September 16, 2010
    HURRICANE KARL ADVISORY

    ...KARL BECOMES A HURRICANE...HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE
    MEXICAN GULF COAST...


    SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
    -----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...19.7N 92.8W
    ABOUT 310 MI...500 KM ESE OF TUXPAN MEXICO
    ABOUT 150 MI...240 KM W OF CAMPECHE MEXICO
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/HR
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/HR
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...983 MB...29.03 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

    THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE GULF
    COAST OF MEXICO FROM PALMA SOLA TO CABO ROJO.

    THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE
    GULF COAST OF MEXICO NORTH OF CABO ROJO TO LA CRUZ...AND FOR THE
    GULF COAST OF MEXICO SOUTH OF PALMA SOLA TO VERACRUZ.

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

    A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM PALMA SOLA TO CABO ROJO

    A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * THE COAST OF MEXICO NORTH OF CABO ROJO TO LA CRUZ

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * THE COAST OF MEXICO NORTH OF CABO ROJO TO LA CRUZ
    * THE COAST OF MEXICO SOUTH OF PALMA SOLA TO VERACRUZ

    A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
    SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED
    36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF
    TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE
    PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
    AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

    A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
    WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE
    THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS
    ...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS.

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
    EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

    FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
    PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


    DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
    ------------------------------
    AT 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KARL WAS LOCATED
    NEAR LATITUDE 19.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.8 WEST. KARL IS MOVING
    TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS
    EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST
    TRACK...THE CENTER OF KARL WILL CROSS THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF
    MEXICO TODAY THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY...AND MOVE NEAR OR OVER THE
    COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO LATE FRIDAY OR FRIDAY NIGHT.

    REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE
    THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 75 MPH...120
    KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. KARL IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE
    SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS
    LIKELY...AND KARL COULD APPROACH MAJOR HURRICANE STRENGTH BEFORE
    THE CENTER REACHES THE MEXICAN COAST.

    HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 10 MILES...20 KM...FROM
    THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70
    MILES...110 KM.

    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE JUST REPORTED BY THE HURRICANE HUNTER IS
    983 MB...29.03 INCHES.


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY
    AS MUCH AS 6 TO 9 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE
    COAST NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.
    NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND
    DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.

    WIND...WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
    ARE EXPECTED BY FRIDAY...WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED BY
    LATE FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT.

    RAINFALL...KARL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5
    TO 10 INCHES ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN MEXICAN GULF COAST
    REGION...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE IN THE
    INTERIOR MOUNTAINS. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH
    FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.



    FORECASTER BEVEN
    NOAA
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 9:31 PM  
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    The tropical cyclone data presented at this site are intended to convey only general information on current storms and must not be used to make life or death decisions or decisions relating to the protection of property: the data may not be accurate. If you are in the path of a storm you should be listening to official information sources. These data have no official status and should not be used for emergency response decision-making under any circumstances

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