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  • IGOR WEAKENS A LITTLE MORE BUT STILL LARGE AND DANGEROUS... ...CONDITIONS ON BERMUDA ARE EXPECTED TO DETERIORATE THIS EVENING
    Saturday, September 18, 2010
    NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112010
    500 PM AST SAT SEP 18 2010

    ...IGOR WEAKENS A LITTLE MORE BUT STILL LARGE AND DANGEROUS...
    ...CONDITIONS ON BERMUDA ARE EXPECTED TO DETERIORATE THIS EVENING...


    SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...27.1N 64.3W
    ABOUT 360 MI...580 KM S OF BERMUDA
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...160 KM/HR
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/HR
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...945 MB...27.91 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

    NONE.

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

    A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * BERMUDA

    FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE...PLEASE MONITOR
    PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


    DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
    ------------------------------
    AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IGOR WAS LOCATED
    NEAR LATITUDE 27.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 64.3 WEST. IGOR IS MOVING
    TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST
    IS EXPECTED TONIGHT...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH ON
    SUNDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF IGOR WILL PASS NEAR
    OR OVER BERMUDA LATE SUNDAY OR EARLY MONDAY. HOWEVER...ADVERSE
    WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT BERMUDA THIS EVENING.

    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NOW NEAR 100 MPH...160 KM/HR...WITH
    HIGHER GUSTS. IGOR IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE
    SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH
    ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND IGOR IS EXPECTED TO
    REMAIN A DANGEROUS HURRICANE AS IT APPROACHES BERMUDA.

    HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM...FROM
    THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO
    345 MILES...555 KM. NOAA BUOY 41049...LOCATED ABOUT 80 MILES...
    130 KM...NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER OF IGOR...RECENTLY REPORTED A
    SUSTAINED WIND OF 62 MPH...100 KM/HR...AND A GUST OF 76 MPH...
    122 KM/HR.

    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 945 MB...27.91 INCHES.


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN BERMUDA BY THIS
    EVENING...WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON OR
    EVENING.

    RAINFALL...IGOR IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS
    OF 6 TO 9 INCHES OVER BERMUDA.

    STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
    SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING ON BERMUDA. THE SURGE WILL BE
    ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE
    SOUTHERN COAST.

    SURF...LARGE SWELLS WILL AFFECT AFFECT THE EAST COAST OF THE UNITED
    STATES THROUGH THE WEEKEND. LARGE SWELLS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE IN
    THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...
    HISPANIOLA...AND PORTIONS OF THE BAHAMAS DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
    DAYS. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND
    RIP CURRENTS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER
    OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.


    FORECASTER BEVEN
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 10:17 PM  
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    The tropical cyclone data presented at this site are intended to convey only general information on current storms and must not be used to make life or death decisions or decisions relating to the protection of property: the data may not be accurate. If you are in the path of a storm you should be listening to official information sources. These data have no official status and should not be used for emergency response decision-making under any circumstances

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