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  • LARGE HURRICANE EARL THREATENS PORTIONS OF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST...HURRICANE WARNINGS ISSUED
    Wednesday, September 1, 2010
    WTNT32 KNHC 011455
    TCPAT2
    BULLETIN
    HURRICANE EARL ADVISORY NUMBER 29
    NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072010
    1100 AM EDT WED SEP 01 2010

    ...LARGE HURRICANE EARL THREATENS PORTIONS OF THE MID ATLANTIC
    COAST...HURRICANE WARNINGS ISSUED...


    SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
    -----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...25.1N 72.1W
    ABOUT 170 MI...270 KM ENE OF SAN SALVADOR
    ABOUT 725 MI...1170 KM SSE OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH...205 KM/HR
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/HR
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...943 MB...27.85 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

    A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE EAST COAST OF THE UNITED
    STATES FROM BOGUE INLET NORTH CAROLINA NORTHEASTWARD TO THE NORTH
    CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE
    SOUNDS.

    THE HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ADJUSTED NORTHWARD AND NOW EXTENDS FROM
    THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER NORTHWARD TO CAPE HENLOPEN
    DELAWARE.

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM CAPE FEAR TO WEST OF
    BOGUE INLET.

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

    A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * BOGUE INLET NORTH CAROLINA NORTHEASTWARD TO THE NORTH
    CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE
    SOUNDS.

    A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * NORTH OF THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER TO CAPE HENLOPEN
    DELAWARE.

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * SAN SALVADOR ISLAND IN THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS
    * FROM CAPE FEAR TO WEST OF BOGUE INLET NORTH CAROLINA.

    A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
    SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED
    36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF
    TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE
    PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
    AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

    A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
    WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
    BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
    WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
    DANGEROUS.

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
    EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

    INTERESTS ELSEWHERE FROM NEW JERSEY TO NEW ENGLAND SHOULD MONITOR
    THE PROGRESS OF EARL.

    FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
    STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
    MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
    FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
    THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
    METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


    DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
    ------------------------------
    AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE EARL WAS LOCATED
    NEAR LATITUDE 25.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.1 WEST. EARL IS MOVING
    TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS
    EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTH ON
    THURSDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CORE OF THE HURRICANE WILL
    CONTINUE TO MOVE WELL EAST AND NORTHEAST OF THE BAHAMAS TODAY AND
    TONIGHT...AND WILL APPROACH THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST BY LATE
    THURSDAY.

    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 125 MPH...205 KM/HR...WITH
    HIGHER GUSTS. EARL IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE
    SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE EXPECTED
    DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

    EARL IS A LARGE HURRICANE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
    TO 90 MILES...150 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE
    WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM.

    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 943 MB...27.85 INCHES.


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    WINDS...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...MAINLY IN GUSTS OVER
    SAN SALVADOR ISLAND IN THE BAHAMAS...WILL DIMINISH LATER TODAY.

    STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER
    LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL WITHIN THE
    HURRICANE WARNING AREA. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE
    ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.

    RAINFALL...ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED
    MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER THE BAHAMAS AND
    EXTREME EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA INCLUDING THE OUTER BANKS.

    SURF...LARGE SWELLS FROM EARL SHOULD AFFECT THE BAHAMAS AND THE
    SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF THE UNITED STATES TODAY. THESE SWELLS WILL
    LIKELY CAUSE DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS AND RIP CURRENTS.


    FORECASTER AVILA
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 5:26 PM  
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