Tropical Storm CARLOS (15S) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s): Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s) Australia probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% currently probability for TS is 90% currently Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s) Onslow (21.7 S, 115.0 E)
probability for TS is 85% currently
Pannawonica (21.8 S, 116.3 E)
probability for TS is 75% currently
Exmouth (22.0 S, 114.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
Cardabia (23.0 S, 113.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 65% within 12 hoursNote that Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability. Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability. CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained. TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained. For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre. |
Londen time 
