Tropical Storm ERROL (21S) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s): Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Indonesia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Nemperola (10.9 S, 122.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
Sawu (10.6 S, 122.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre. |
Londen time 
