Super Typhoon SONGDA (04W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s): Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Soliven (17.0 N, 122.4 E)
probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
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Londen time 
