Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Saga (33.0 N, 133.0 E)
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit
http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Londen time 
