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  • IRENE MOVING ACROSS EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA
    Saturday, August 27, 2011
    HURRICANE IRENE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 29A...CORRECTED
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092011
    200 PM EDT SAT AUG 27 2011

    CORRECTED FORWARD SPEED IN THE SUMMARY SECTION

    ...IRENE MOVING ACROSS EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA...


    SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...35.5N 76.3W
    ABOUT 45 MI...70 KM WNW OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
    ABOUT 95 MI...155 KM S OF NORFOLK VIRGINIA
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...950 MB...28.05 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

    ENVIRONMENT CANADA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM THE
    UNITED STATES BORDER NORTHEASTWARD TO FORT LAWRENCE INCLUDING GRAND
    MANAN...AND FOR THE SOUTH COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA FROM FORT LAWRENCE
    TO PORTERS LAKE.

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

    A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * LITTLE RIVER INLET NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO SAGAMORE BEACH
    MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO...ALBEMARLE...AND CURRITUCK
    SOUNDS...DELAWARE BAY...CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF DRUM POINT...NEW
    YORK CITY...LONG ISLAND...LONG ISLAND SOUND...COASTAL CONNECTICUT
    AND RHODE ISLAND...BLOCK ISLAND...MARTHAS VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT NORTHWARD AND THE TIDAL POTOMAC
    * NORTH OF SAGAMORE BEACH TO EASTPORT MAINE
    * UNITED STATES/CANADA BORDER NORTHEASTWARD TO FORT LAWRENCE
    INCLUDING GRAND MANAN
    * SOUTH COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA FROM FORT LAWRENCE TO PORTERS LAKE

    INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN EASTERN CANADA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
    IRENE.

    FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
    STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
    MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
    FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
    THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
    METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


    DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
    ------------------------------
    AT 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IRENE WAS
    LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 35.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.3 WEST. IRENE IS
    MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H. A
    NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD MOTION AT A SLIGHTLY FASTER FORWARD SPEED IS
    EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE
    CENTER OF IRENE WILL MOVE ACROSS NORTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA THIS
    AFTERNOON. THE HURRICANE IS FORECAST TO MOVE NEAR OR OVER THE
    MID-ATLANTIC COAST TONIGHT AND MOVE OVER SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND ON
    SUNDAY.

    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
    GUSTS. SLIGHT WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS IRENE CROSSES EASTERN NORTH
    CAROLINA...BUT IRENE IS FORECAST TO REMAIN AT OR NEAR HURRICANE
    STRENGTH AS IT MOVES NEAR OR OVER THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES AND
    APPROACHES NEW ENGLAND.

    IRENE IS A LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND
    OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-
    STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 260 MILES...415 KM. A WIND
    GUST TO 78 MPH WAS RECENTLY MEASURED AT CAPE HATTERAS NORTH
    CAROLINA. A WIND GUST TO 67 MPH WAS RECENTLY REPORTED AT LANGLEY
    AIR FORCE BASE IN SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA.

    THE LATEST MINIMUM PRESSURE REPORTED FROM A DROPSONDE RELEASED BY AN
    AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 950 MB...28.05
    INCHES.


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD ALONG THE
    MID-ATLANTIC COAST TODAY WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED BY
    TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH SOUTHERN
    NEW ENGLAND LATE THIS EVENING WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED BY
    SUNDAY MORNING. WINDS AFFECTING THE UPPER FLOORS OF HIGH-RISE
    BUILDINGS WILL BE SIGNIFICANTLY STRONGER THAN THOSE NEAR
    GROUND-LEVEL.

    STORM SURGE...AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS STORM TIDE WILL RAISE WATER
    LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 5 TO 9 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL IN THE
    HURRICANE WARNING AREA IN NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE ALBEMARLE
    AND PAMLICO SOUNDS. STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH
    AS 4 TO 8 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA
    FROM THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER NORTHWARD TO CAPE COD
    INCLUDING SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE CHESAPEAKE BAY AND ITS
    TRIBUTARIES. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY
    LARGE...DESTRUCTIVE...AND LIFE-THREATENING WAVES. HIGHER THAN
    NORMAL ASTRONOMICAL TIDES ARE OCCURRING THIS WEEKEND. COASTAL AND
    RIVER FLOODING WILL BE HIGHEST IN AREAS WHERE THE PEAK SURGE OCCURS
    AROUND THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE. STORM TIDE AND SURGE VALUES ARE VERY
    LOCATION-SPECIFIC...AND USERS ARE URGED TO CONSULT PRODUCTS ISSUED
    BY THEIR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICES.

    RAINFALL...IRENE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF
    6 TO 12 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 18 INCHES...FROM
    EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD THROUGH THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES
    INTO EASTERN NEW YORK AND INTERIOR NEW ENGLAND. THESE RAINS...
    COMBINED WITH HEAVY RAINS OVER THE PAST FEW WEEKS...COULD CAUSE
    WIDESPREAD FLOODING...LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS...AND
    SIGNIFICANT UPROOTING OF TREES DUE TO RAIN-SOFTENED GROUNDS.

    SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY IRENE ARE AFFECTING MUCH OF THE
    COAST OF THE UNITED STATES. THESE SWELLS WILL CAUSE
    LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.

    TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHEASTERN
    VIRGINIA...EASTERN MARYLAND...DELAWARE...AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY
    THROUGH THIS EVENING.
    posted by Moderator Image Hosted by ImageShack.us Londen time 7:10 PM  
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