Hurricane IRENE (AL09) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the United States
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
New York (40.7 N, 73.9 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Canada probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 21 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 21 hours Greenland
probability for TS is 60% in about 93 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Montpelier (44.3 N, 72.6 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 21 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 9 hours Concord (43.2 N, 71.5 W) probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 21 hours probability for TS is 100% within 9 hours
Albany (42.7 N, 73.8 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% within 9 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 9 hours
Boston (42.3 N, 71.0 W) probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 21 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 9 hours
Providence (41.8 N, 71.4 W) probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% within 9 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 9 hours
Philadelphia (39.9 N, 75.2 W)
probability for TS is 100% currently
Augusta (44.3 N, 69.8 W) probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 21 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 21 hours Sept-Iles (50.3 N, 66.4 W) probability for TS is 100% in about 33 hours
Fredericton (45.9 N, 66.7 W)
probability for TS is 100% in about 33 hours
Saint John (45.3 N, 66.1 W)
probability for TS is 100% in about 33 hours
Goose Bay (53.3 N, 60.3 W)
probability for TS is 95% in about 45 hours
Quebec (46.8 N, 71.2 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 21 hours probability for TS is 85% in about 21 hours
Charlottetown (46.2 N, 63.1 W)
probability for TS is 85% in about 33 hours
Washington D.C. (38.9 N, 77.0 W)
probability for TS is 80% currently
Halifax (44.6 N, 63.6 W)
probability for TS is 75% in about 33 hours
Norfolk (36.9 N, 76.2 W)
probability for TS is 60% currently
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre. |
Londen time 
