Typhoon MUIFA (11W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s): Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 48 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Ningbo (29.7 N, 121.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Shanghai (31.2 N, 121.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 48 hours
Wenling (28.4 N, 121.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 48 hours
Hangzhou (30.3 N, 120.2 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Jinhua (29.2 N, 120.0 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Taizhou (32.4 N, 119.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
Xiangshui (34.2 N, 119.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre. |
Londen time 
